Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 1:00 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
2 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
3 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
3 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
5 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
6 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 GU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
8 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
9 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
10 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
11 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
11 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
13 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
14 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 15%
15 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
15 ORR Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 42% 8%
17 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
18 LIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 82% 41% 8%
19 XIAO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
20 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 6%
21 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
22 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
23 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
23 LI Chenglang Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 3%
25 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
26 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
27 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
28 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
29 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
30 CATINO Brennen 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
31 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 5%
32 LEWIS Akhil 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
33 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
34 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 12%
35 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 3%
36 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 7%
37 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
38 ZHOU Leon 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
39 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
40 WANG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 5%
41 LIN James G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 4%
42 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 15%
43 XIANG Derrick 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 24% 2%
44 LI Jinghua E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14% 1%
45 LAI Twayne 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1%
46 LIN Andy 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
47 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
48 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 3%
49 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
50 GUO Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% -
50 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 6%
50 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% - -
53 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% -
54 RAJ Jay 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
55 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
56 WANG Auther 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1%
57 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
58 LUAN Tian 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
59 PARK Joseph 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
60 MATSAKH Philip 100% 98% 83% 53% 20% 4% -
61 BURGOS Jacob R. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
62 GUTH Joseph 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
63 ROSE Ben 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
64 SONG Austin 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
65 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
66 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
67 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9%
68 XU Ethan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
69 YAO Bradley 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
70 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
71 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 91% 51% 14% 1%
72 TANG Albert 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 12% 1%
73 LEWIS Nikhil I. 100% 93% 51% 9% 1% - -
74 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
75 XU Ethan 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
76 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
77 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10% 1%
78 CASTRO Gabriel D. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
79 STONE Adam 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
79 ZENG Rick 100% 96% 73% 29% 5% - -
81 LIU Ryan 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
82 WONG Jackson 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
83 SIMON Luke 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
84 WONG Jacob W. 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
85 QUINTERO Julian 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
86 SINHA Rounawk 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
87 LEE Lukas 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
88 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
89 FINDLAY Zachary 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
90 GENIESER Graydon 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
91 ONIK Ari N. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
92 LEE Brendan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
93 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
93 TSAO Lukas 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
95 FECHTNER Ezra M. 100% 99% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
95 LI Lianhan 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% - -
97 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 18% 2%
98 COPELAND Nigel 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% - -
99 TAN Aidan 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1% -
100 HOSANAGAR Ninad 100% 72% 20% 2% - - -
101 HARRELL Brendan 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
102 MAIER Finn 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
103 PAN Henry 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
104 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 19%
105 SORSAIA John 100% 28% 1% - - -
106 KU Nolan 100% 85% 27% 3% - -
107 BERNARD Cohen 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
108 BLACK Zachary 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
109 ZHAO Adam 100% 99% 88% 46% 10% 1% -
110 HUA Aiden 100% 100% 97% 76% 29% 5% -
111 RILEY Colin T. 100% 63% 16% 1% - - -
111 HUANG Eythan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
113 ZHANG Alex 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
113 JIE WanYue 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
115 JONES Jackson 100% 78% 34% 6% 1% - -
115 SHIM Peter S. 100% 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
117 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
118 LEE Eugene 100% 72% 23% 3% - - -
119 VEDRE-KYANAM KABIR BAIG Aaradhya 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
120 CHA James 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1% -
121 ZHENG LEON 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
122 WANG Winston 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
123 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
124 SUI Samuel 100% 90% 49% 13% 2% - -
125 GERRISH William 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
125 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 39% 5%
127 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
128 BELOKON Sammy 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
129 CHONG Tristan 100% 98% 75% 32% 7% - -
130 CHUNG Ian 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
131 SHELDON Owen 100% 94% 61% 19% 3% - -
131 BROADWELL Lukas 100% 71% 22% 3% - - -
131 CHOI Eugene 100% 19% 1% - - - -
134 CAO Vincent 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
135 SENIC Lucas 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
136 BALDWIN Benjamin 100% 70% 19% 2% - -
137 HARRELL Charles 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
138 KOE Beckett 100% 97% 59% 19% 3% - -
138 BROWNING Michael 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2% -
140 MACKAY Ian 100% 39% 6% - - - -
141 CHEN Junxuan 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
142 YU William 100% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.