National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
2 SUNG Chang-Han S. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
3 BALL James T. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
3 HOBSON Aaron K. - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
5 AHN Jun - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
6 LIN Dashiell - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
7 SICHITIU Alexander - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
8 DAVIS Christopher M. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
9 GONG Benjamin - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
10 WANG Gerald Y. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
11 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
12 LUH Ethan K. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
13 TSINIS Alexander E. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7%
14 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
15 CHENG Nathan 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5%
16 TSAY Jeremy M. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
17 NUNNINK Phillip W. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
18 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
19 JOSEPH Willem - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
20 LIAO Alex J. - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
21 CAI Jason Zhicheng - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
22 SODERBERG Alex Z. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
23 DANKAR Neel - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 29%
24 ACHILOV Sayid 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
25 LI Eric - 4% 21% 37% 29% 9%
26 PATINO Yahir - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
27 DIERKS Kian - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
28 WILLIAMS Connor J. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
29 WU Conrad J. - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
30 STRAYER Andrew 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
31 TAHOUN Mostafa - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
32 KLEIN Sebastian W. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
33 CAI Oliver K. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
34 WESTPHAL David R. - - 1% 7% 28% 46% 19%
35 KIM Ryan Y. - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
36 TIAN Aaron C. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
37 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
38 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
39 RINEHART Conner M. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
40 SHIN Joshua J. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
41 JI Aidan Y. - 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1%
42 MCCORD Clark - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
43 JIANG Owen 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
44 BRYANT Max - 6% 23% 37% 27% 8%
45 SCHAEFER Joshua M. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
46 HSIUNG Richie - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
47 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
48 LE Vyn A. 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
49 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
50 GAUTAM Vishnu 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
51 XU Max - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
52 PALMA Matthew Dominic - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
53 KHER Roan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
54 LEE Lukas 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
55 KIM Jackson 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
56 KIM Aaron J. - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
57 CHIN Julian S. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
57 TSAO Lukas 9% 34% 40% 15% 2% -
59 MENG Zhaoyi 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
60 QI Steve 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
61 GARR James D. 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1%
62 BERNABE Rafael 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
63 SIMA Congyu Josh 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
64 DE COQUET Maximilian 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
65 FU Yifan - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
66 HAN Lawrence - 1% 8% 21% 33% 27% 9%
67 DAUM Charlie - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
68 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
69 PETERSON Dale 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
70 HOWARD Michael - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
71 SANTULLI Tristan - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
72 CHUNG Yeongbin - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
73 BERK Theodore - 1% 12% 35% 37% 13% 1%
74 MILLER Chance 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
75 KUO Evan 1% 5% 17% 30% 29% 15% 3%
76 ROUNTREE Rob 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
76 JAUME Andrei - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
76 KEE Andrew L. - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
79 CANO Marcos E. - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
79 LEE Jacob - 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
81 WHITEHEAD Amir - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
82 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
83 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4%
84 PEGRAM Rafferty G. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
84 BROWN Darius D. 27% 45% 24% 5% - -
86 GATRELL Mitchell E. - 2% 18% 40% 31% 9% 1%
87 LIM Charles Q. - 7% 34% 39% 17% 3% -
87 GISLER Benjamin B. - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
89 FURST Matthew C. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
90 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
91 WERWA Griffith - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
92 ZHAO Dylan L. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
93 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
94 SELL Ethan J. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
95 LOVIN Vlad 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
96 GOGOI Vir K. - 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
97 GUTHRIE Liam J. 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
98 SZEGO Bence P. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
98 ZHAO Jesse 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
100 WANG Michael 1% 6% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
101 GOLDADE Luke A. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
102 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
103 PRASANNA Advaith 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
104 SMITH Erick 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
105 XU Mathu Yang 20% 50% 24% 5% - - -
106 STOCKDALE Alexander 2% 23% 40% 27% 8% 1%
107 WECHSLER Jacob 1% 10% 30% 36% 20% 4%
108 BROWN Alexander R. 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
109 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
110 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
111 MO Jason 1% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
112 DESHMUKH Ayush - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
113 FINLEY Dylan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
114 GALLUCCI Charles John - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
115 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
116 LIU Eric Y. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
117 MONTALBINE Aidan 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 4% -
117 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
119 DAVIDSON Elliot 2% 20% 37% 28% 11% 2% -
120 BARTEL Jacob L. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
120 SANTOS Carlos R. 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
122 CUTLER Andrew 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
123 YEE Johnathan 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
124 HONG Issac 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
125 PITERBARG Maxim 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
126 HARRIS Otto 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
127 LI Arvin 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
128 ORVANANOS Jorge 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5%
129 TSIMMERMAN Michael 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
130 MILLER Jordan 1% 13% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
131 CHUFONG-SPRAGUE Matthew 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
132 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
133 DURHAM Porter - < 1% 5% 35% 48% 12%
134 LIGH Thomas 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
135 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
135 KLYCZEK Andrew 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
137 ZACHARY Zane 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
137 QUINN Nathan 81% 17% 1% - - - -
139 MUSAJI Asgar 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
140 CLAYMAN John A. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
140 GUO Sean 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
142 LLIDO Soren 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
142 LIU Lawrence 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
144 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
145 HUANG Kevin D. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
145 WEI William - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
147 COLLUM Thomas 13% 56% 26% 4% - - -
148 ZHENG zhe 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
149 WANG Brayden 4% 41% 39% 14% 2% - -
150 ARANA Massimo 32% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
151 ROSS III Paul D. 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
152 CURTIS William K. 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
153 PALWAI Suhas 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
154 JEFFERY Jakob 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
155 SEAL Maximus R. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
156 DRESSEL Jet 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
157 SPINA Joseph B. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
158 AMRANI David 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
158 LIM Lance Jeremiah 55% 39% 6% - - - -
160 HOANG Michael 67% 28% 5% - - -
161 KLOTZ Isaiah 18% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
161 TOMASI John 58% 33% 7% 1% - -
163 BOSSONG Reagan 16% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
164 LEE Alex 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
165 MARTIN William 85% 14% - - - -
166 TEH Ryan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
166 ROBINSON Matthew 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
168 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 67% 28% 4% - - - -
168 BLAM Matthew 73% 25% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.