National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
2 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 BALL James T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
3 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
5 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
6 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
7 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
8 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
9 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
10 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
11 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
12 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
13 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
14 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
15 CHENG Nathan 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
16 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19%
17 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
18 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
19 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 19%
20 LIAO Alex J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
21 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
22 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
23 DANKAR Neel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 29%
24 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
25 LI Eric 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 9%
26 PATINO Yahir 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
27 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
28 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
29 WU Conrad J. 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
30 STRAYER Andrew 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
31 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
32 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
33 CAI Oliver K. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
34 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
35 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
36 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
37 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
38 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
39 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
40 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
41 JI Aidan Y. 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
42 MCCORD Clark 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
43 JIANG Owen 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
44 BRYANT Max 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8%
45 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
46 HSIUNG Richie 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
47 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 6%
48 LE Vyn A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
49 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
50 GAUTAM Vishnu 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
51 XU Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
52 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
53 KHER Roan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
54 LEE Lukas 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
55 KIM Jackson 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
56 KIM Aaron J. 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
57 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
57 TSAO Lukas 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
59 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
60 QI Steve 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
61 GARR James D. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
62 BERNABE Rafael 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
63 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
64 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% -
65 FU Yifan 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
66 HAN Lawrence 100% 100% 98% 91% 70% 37% 9%
67 DAUM Charlie 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
68 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
69 PETERSON Dale 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
70 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
71 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
72 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
73 BERK Theodore 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
74 MILLER Chance 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
75 KUO Evan 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 17% 3%
76 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
76 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
76 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
79 CANO Marcos E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
79 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
81 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 16% 2%
82 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
83 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4%
84 PEGRAM Rafferty G. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
84 BROWN Darius D. 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
86 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1%
87 LIM Charles Q. 100% 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
87 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
89 FURST Matthew C. 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 17% 3%
90 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
91 WERWA Griffith 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
92 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
93 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
94 SELL Ethan J. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
95 LOVIN Vlad 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
96 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
97 GUTHRIE Liam J. 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
98 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
98 ZHAO Jesse 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
100 WANG Michael 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 14% 2%
101 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
102 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
103 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
104 SMITH Erick 100% 97% 84% 56% 26% 7% 1%
105 XU Mathu Yang 100% 80% 29% 5% - - -
106 STOCKDALE Alexander 100% 98% 75% 35% 8% 1%
107 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
108 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
109 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
110 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
111 MO Jason 100% 99% 83% 48% 15% 2%
112 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
113 FINLEY Dylan 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
114 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
115 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
116 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
117 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
117 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
119 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 98% 78% 41% 13% 2% -
120 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
120 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
122 CUTLER Andrew 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
123 YEE Johnathan 100% 98% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
124 HONG Issac 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
125 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
126 HARRIS Otto 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
127 LI Arvin 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% 1%
128 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
129 TSIMMERMAN Michael 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
130 MILLER Jordan 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
131 CHUFONG-SPRAGUE Matthew 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
132 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
133 DURHAM Porter 100% 100% 100% 95% 60% 12%
134 LIGH Thomas 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
135 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
135 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
137 ZACHARY Zane 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
137 QUINN Nathan 100% 19% 1% - - - -
139 MUSAJI Asgar 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
140 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
140 GUO Sean 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
142 LLIDO Soren 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
142 LIU Lawrence 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
144 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
145 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
145 WEI William 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
147 COLLUM Thomas 100% 87% 30% 4% - - -
148 ZHENG zhe 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
149 WANG Brayden 100% 96% 55% 16% 2% - -
150 ARANA Massimo 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
151 ROSS III Paul D. 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 5% -
152 CURTIS William K. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
153 PALWAI Suhas 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
154 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
155 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
156 DRESSEL Jet 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
157 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
158 AMRANI David 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
158 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 45% 6% - - - -
160 HOANG Michael 100% 33% 5% - - -
161 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 82% 40% 8% 1% -
161 TOMASI John 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
163 BOSSONG Reagan 100% 84% 41% 11% 2% - -
164 LEE Alex 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
165 MARTIN William 100% 15% - - - -
166 TEH Ryan 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
166 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
168 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 100% 33% 5% - - - -
168 BLAM Matthew 100% 27% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.