Fortune Fencing ROC/VET/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Monday, September 6, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Ontario, CA - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 7%
3 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 MATTIS George 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
5 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
6 TAYLOR Daryl J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
7 HE Lawrence 100% 99% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
8 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
9 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
10 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 4%
11 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5%
12 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% -
13 ZHUANG William 100% 83% 41% 11% 2% - -
14 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
15 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
16 WONG Daniel 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
17 TSANG Lok Hin Gary 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
18 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
19 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 25%
20 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
21 MA Victor 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
22 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
23 AHN Gus 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
24 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 4%
25 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
26 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
27 GREEN Jabreel 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
28 ZHU Max 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
29 RITCHIE Phillip 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
30 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 15%
31 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
32 BURCHARD Byron M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 2%
33 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
34 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
35 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
36 CHU Allan 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
37 USHER Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
38 WANG DEVON 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
39 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
40 CAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
41 POLAKOSKI David R. 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
42 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
43 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
44 LIANG Aaron 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
45 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
46 WERCHAN Andrew R. 100% 99% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
47 GAO Chaney C. 100% 78% 36% 10% 1% - -
48 GOMEZ Isaac 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
48 WATT Darren 100% 73% 26% 5% - - -
50 WEAVER Neil 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
51 HIGGINS Branford 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
52 KILUK Andrew 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
53 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
54 LEE Joseph J. 100% 95% 55% 15% 2% - -
55 WONG Nathan 100% 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% -
56 JIN daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
57 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
58 MOHEBI Saam 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
59 SHA Michael 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
60 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
61 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
62 HARRIS Roark S. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
63 LEE Richard U. 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
64 LEE Chun Po 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
65 GAURIAT Olivier 100% 96% 51% 14% 2% - -
66 YOUNG Jr Colby 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% -
67 WANG owen 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
68 RINGACH Noam 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
69 ANDERSON Donald 100% 14% 1% - - - -
70 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
71 CHUANG Kenneth H. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
72 GU Aidan 100% 37% 6% - - -
73 CUEVAS Tom 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
74 MIAO KUNQI 100% 21% 1% - - - -
75 LIU Yikun 100% 42% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.