The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Joseph - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
2 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
3 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
3 AGAON Ethan - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16% 2%
5 CHEN Eric - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 8%
6 FELDMAN Jaemin - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
7 LIEF Isaac R. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
8 CHOI Aleksey 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
9 ZENG Zihan - 2% 13% 42% 35% 8%
10 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - 1% 9% 32% 44% 13%
11 GAO Daniel - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
12 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
13 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - - 3% 20% 44% 32%
14 JOSLIN Tyler 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
15 AGAON Shawn - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
16 LI Jalen 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
17 HE Lawrence - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
18 MISHIMA Torata - 2% 15% 38% 34% 9%
19 KOKENGE Reid - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
20 SKAALAND Will - - 6% 26% 46% 22%
21 SHAH Maximilian A. - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
22 BORODITSKY Ethan - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
23 PAHLAVI Kamran - 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
24 RICHARD Owen - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
25 EKE Frank - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
26 PRIHODKO Max - 2% 15% 38% 35% 9%
27 LAI Aedin 1% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1%
28 ROLLO Emmett H. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
29 KOBI Samuel - - 1% 10% 33% 44% 12%
30 YANG Edward 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
31 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 1% 8% 34% 44% 14%
32 SANTOS Francisco M. 10% 40% 36% 12% 1% -
33 LEE Noah - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
34 TEH Steven - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
35 CHEN Jun Ho 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
36 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
37 FUSSMAN Yuval 23% 45% 27% 5% - -
38 OTTO Nathaniel B. 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 1%
39 THAKUR Om S. - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
40 GONG Haixiang 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
41 LEE Hudson - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
42 STABB Xuan 1% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
43 WU Jonathan - 6% 28% 42% 20% 4% -
44 STEWART Charlie 6% 34% 40% 17% 3% -
45 BEALS Alden 4% 27% 42% 23% 5% -
46 BEZRODNOV Michael - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 19%
47 KALKANIS George 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% - -
48 OSTIGUY Cameron 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
49 BRODSKY Julian 2% 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
50 HU Robert J. 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
51 SONG Troy 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% -
52 XIE Brandon 20% 48% 26% 5% - -
53 SANTOS Antonio K. 19% 44% 30% 6% - -
54 KUBATIN Anton V. 8% 41% 39% 11% 1% - -
55 TANG WanLi 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
56 LIU Jeremiah 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
57 CHEN Brian 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1% -
58 CHOI Christian 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
58 BYUN Kevin 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
60 KIM Dylan 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
61 MACNEILL Owen 16% 42% 33% 7% 1% -
61 BYARS John 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
61 PANDALAI Aryan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
64 TEREB Daniel 80% 19% 2% - - - -
65 MASSE Jack 68% 29% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.