Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
3 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 2%
5 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
6 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
7 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
8 CHOI Aleksey 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
9 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 8%
10 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13%
11 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
12 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
13 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
14 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
15 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
16 LI Jalen 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
17 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
18 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
19 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
20 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
21 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
22 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
23 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
24 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
25 EKE Frank 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
26 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
27 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
28 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
29 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 12%
30 YANG Edward 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
31 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 14%
32 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 90% 49% 13% 2% -
33 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
34 TEH Steven 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
35 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
36 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 98% 86% 50% 14% 1%
37 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 77% 32% 5% - -
38 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
39 THAKUR Om S. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
40 GONG Haixiang 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
41 LEE Hudson 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
42 STABB Xuan 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
43 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 4% -
44 STEWART Charlie 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
45 BEALS Alden 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
46 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
47 KALKANIS George 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% - -
48 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
49 BRODSKY Julian 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
50 HU Robert J. 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
51 SONG Troy 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% -
52 XIE Brandon 100% 80% 32% 6% - -
53 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 81% 37% 7% - -
54 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 92% 51% 13% 1% - -
55 TANG WanLi 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
56 LIU Jeremiah 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
57 CHEN Brian 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1% -
58 CHOI Christian 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
58 BYUN Kevin 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
60 KIM Dylan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
61 MACNEILL Owen 100% 84% 41% 8% 1% -
61 BYARS John 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
61 PANDALAI Aryan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
64 TEREB Daniel 100% 20% 2% - - - -
65 MASSE Jack 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.