Champagne Challenge #2

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORTH Gary S. - - - 6% 28% 51% 15%
2 RHYU Kozmo - - 6% 26% 40% 24% 3%
3 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - - 5% 32% 63%
3 LEE Daniel Y. - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
5 SU Caleb - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
6 CHAWLA Armaan - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
7 KWOUN Miles S. 1% 11% 32% 38% 15% 2% -
8 HILBERT Gabriel E. 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
9 PARK Ian C. - - - 6% 26% 43% 24%
10 TAMULONIS Fen C. - 5% 29% 41% 21% 4%
11 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 1% 9% 39% 39% 12% -
12 KORFONTA Jolie 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
13 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
14 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
15 PARK Faith K. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
16 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
17 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
18 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
19 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
20 LEE Samuel Y. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
21 USDIN Anton 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
22 O'DOWD Andrew J. - - 7% 28% 43% 22%
23 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
24 HUGHES Michael D. - 1% 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
25 HARDY Tristan L. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
26 HOFFMANN Christopher J. - 1% 7% 30% 42% 19% 2%
27 GRUPP Tristan E. - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9% 1%
28 WANG Clayton 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
29 KUCZAJDA Matthew 1% 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
30 WANG Trontour 36% 49% 13% 1% - -
31 LU Samantha R. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
32 LEE JoonWon 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
33 PENNER Kyle D. 6% 31% 42% 18% 3% - -
34 LAM Bill 12% 41% 34% 12% 2% - -
35 LAWSON Dylan 14% 41% 35% 9% 1% - -
36 BEREZOVSKI Eugene 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
37 YU Eric 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
38 ROTHKA Spencer J. 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
39 ZHANG Caden 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
40 ZHANG Andy 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% - -
41 LU Qi 38% 48% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.