Champagne Challenge #2

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 15%
2 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 3%
3 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
5 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
6 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
7 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 2% -
8 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
9 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
10 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4%
11 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 51% 12% -
12 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
13 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
14 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
15 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
16 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
17 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
18 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 5%
19 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 11% 1%
20 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
21 USDIN Anton 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
22 O'DOWD Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
23 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
24 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 5%
25 HARDY Tristan L. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
26 HOFFMANN Christopher J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 20% 2%
27 GRUPP Tristan E. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
28 WANG Clayton 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
29 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
30 WANG Trontour 100% 64% 15% 1% - -
31 LU Samantha R. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
32 LEE JoonWon 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
33 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 94% 63% 22% 4% - -
34 LAM Bill 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
35 LAWSON Dylan 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% - -
36 BEREZOVSKI Eugene 100% 85% 48% 17% 3% - -
37 YU Eric 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
38 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
39 ZHANG Caden 100% 73% 26% 4% - - -
40 ZHANG Andy 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
41 LU Qi 100% 62% 14% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.