American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KIM Byung 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
2 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
3 WU Byron 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
3 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 98% 78% 33% 4%
5 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
7 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
8 WADE Grayson 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
9 MISHIMA Torata 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
10 SERAFIN Ben 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
11 CHOE Andrew 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
12 WANG Tristan 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
13 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 99% 91% 56% 18% 2%
14 DOTSON Gus 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
15 BASOK Nikita 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
16 CHEN Matthew 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
17 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
18 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
19 NIXON Christian A. 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 20%
20 PARK Vincent 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
21 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
22 PARK Frederick 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
23 LI Jeffrey 100% 99% 85% 53% 19% 3%
24 MAGDA Daniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
25 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
26 SHEN Max 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
27 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
28 JORDAN Anton 100% 94% 73% 38% 12% 2%
29 WANG Clayton 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
30 WU Jonathan 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
31 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
32 MILLER Kurt 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
33 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
34 SVIBEN Cameron 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
34 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
36 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 25%
37 SKAALAND Will 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
38 REID Michael 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
39 BLUM Oliver 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
40 LI Jalen 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
41 HERMANSON David B. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
42 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 65% 14% 1% - -
43 NAVIK Roy 100% 59% 12% 1% - -
44 JENNINGS Adin 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
45 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
46 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
47 ERDEK Michael 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
48 CAO Albert 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.