Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Seungwon - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
2 WU Jonathan - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
3 IMREK Elijah S. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
3 KHANNA Nikhil - - - 1% 12% 44% 43%
5 KOKENGE Reid - - - 1% 8% 33% 58%
6 CAO Albert - - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
7 TREBON Hayden - - - 3% 17% 46% 34%
8 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - - 5% 29% 65%
9 DESTEFANO Julius - - - 2% 15% 44% 38%
10 KARNAS Karol - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
11 LEE JoonWon - - 1% 10% 32% 43% 13%
12 SILVERS Ari - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
13 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
14 CAO Brad - - - 5% 25% 48% 22%
15 LEE Samuel Y. - - 3% 13% 34% 36% 14%
16 WOLFE Alex - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
17 DODIN David - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
18 LOISEAU Eliott - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
19 CHOI Aleksey - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
20 WANG zhixing (Daniel) - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
21 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
22 PAN Tristan 1% 6% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
23 ABBOUD Michael - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
24 SINGH Aryaman - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 8%
25 CHEN Brian 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
26 KUGLER Luke 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
27 LAM Alan - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12% 1%
28 KOYFMAN Benjamin - 2% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
29 MEGGERS Davin 3% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
30 LEE Aiden 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
30 ZENG Andrew - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
30 KANG EUNWOO - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1%
33 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
34 MAO Benjamin - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 1%
35 YU Austin 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
36 HULL Liam 31% 43% 22% 5% < 1% - -
37 SINGH Ravin 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
38 NAKAS Levent - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
39 CHEN Bowen 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
40 LIU Adam 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
41 LOISEAU Oscar 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
42 COUSINS Cameron - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
43 JIANG Matthew 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4% -
44 MODANLOU Navid 3% 25% 39% 25% 8% 1% -
45 TRIPATHY Ayush 37% 47% 14% 2% - - -
46 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
46 MEHROTRA Neel - 2% 10% 30% 39% 17% 2%
48 DANIZ FERNANDO A. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
49 ZIEGLER John 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 2% -
50 LI Zachary 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
51 SNYDER Ari - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
52 ZHAI Avalo 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
53 HU Anton 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
54 YU Jason 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
55 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
56 ALI Farhan 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
57 HERNDON Liam 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
58 CORBIN Bennett 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
59 FRANGER Max 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
60 GINZBURG Adam 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
61 LEE DoWon 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
62 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
63 PETROW Zoryan 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
64 RUSSELL Michael 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
65 CHENG Bingyi 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
66 PAL Ian K. 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
67 ARMSTRONG TyLee 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
68 BRADSHAW Carter 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
69 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
70 KE Sebastian 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
71 SHIN SEUNGHYUN 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
72 SAUNIER Cameron 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
73 PENG Yue 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
74 MA YIXING (Tiger) 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
75 MARTINEZ Gabriel 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
76 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% - -
77 BORISENKO Samuel 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
78 CARNALL Hunter 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
79 CHHU Allen 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
80 SIEDOW William 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
80 MARTINEZ Kenneth 63% 31% 6% - - - -
80 LEE HUSEUNG 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
83 QIU William 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
84 AYOTTE James 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.