Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
3 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
5 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
6 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
7 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
8 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
9 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
10 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
11 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 13%
12 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
13 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
14 CAO Brad 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 22%
15 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
16 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
17 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
18 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
19 CHOI Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
20 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
21 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
22 PAN Tristan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
23 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
24 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
25 CHEN Brian 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
26 KUGLER Luke 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
27 LAM Alan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
28 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 3%
29 MEGGERS Davin 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
30 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
30 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
30 KANG EUNWOO 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
33 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
34 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 1%
35 YU Austin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
36 HULL Liam 100% 69% 27% 5% < 1% - -
37 SINGH Ravin 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
38 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
39 CHEN Bowen 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
40 LIU Adam 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
41 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 94% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
42 COUSINS Cameron 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
43 JIANG Matthew 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4% -
44 MODANLOU Navid 100% 97% 72% 33% 9% 1% -
45 TRIPATHY Ayush 100% 63% 16% 2% - - -
46 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
46 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 2%
48 DANIZ FERNANDO A. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
49 ZIEGLER John 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
50 LI Zachary 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
51 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
52 ZHAI Avalo 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
53 HU Anton 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
54 YU Jason 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
55 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
56 ALI Farhan 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
57 HERNDON Liam 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
58 CORBIN Bennett 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
59 FRANGER Max 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
60 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
61 LEE DoWon 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
62 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
63 PETROW Zoryan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
64 RUSSELL Michael 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
65 CHENG Bingyi 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% - -
66 PAL Ian K. 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
67 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
68 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
69 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
70 KE Sebastian 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
71 SHIN SEUNGHYUN 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
72 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
73 PENG Yue 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
74 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
75 MARTINEZ Gabriel 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
76 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
77 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
78 CARNALL Hunter 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
79 CHHU Allen 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
80 SIEDOW William 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
80 MARTINEZ Kenneth 100% 37% 6% - - - -
80 LEE HUSEUNG 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
83 QIU William 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
84 AYOTTE James 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.