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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
3 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
3 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
5 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
6 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
7 MAHESH Tarun 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
8 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
9 PARK Frederick 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
10 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
11 WIECHMANN Colin 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
12 SHEN Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
13 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
14 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
15 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
16 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
17 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
18 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 5% -
19 ROSENBERG Jacob 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
20 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
21 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
22 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
23 GONG Haixiang 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
24 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
25 GORTI Agustya 100% 98% 79% 36% 6%
26 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 64% 19% 2% -
27 STABB Xuan 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -
28 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
29 SERAFIN Ben 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
30 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
31 SUN James H. 100% 78% 32% 6% -
32 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
33 WADE Grayson 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
34 SUN Jason 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
35 MORTON William 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
36 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 3% -
37 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
38 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 90% 55% 18% 2% -
39 XIE Brandon 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
40 HU Anton 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
41 CHESNEY Aiden R. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
42 PAN Tristan 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
43 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
44 KUMAR Aidan 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
44 SUN Jeffery 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
46 BEAUCHESNE Rudy 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
47 RIVERA Louis 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
48 PERSAUD Daivik 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
49 ZOU Xianyang 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
50 REDDY Arya 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
51 HU Robert J. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
52 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 87% 46% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.