Junior Olympic National Championships

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, February 17, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 1% 6% 34% 59%
2 SHIFRON Daniel A. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
3 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
3 WEISS Miles J. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
5 NGUYEN Ethan D. - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
6 KIM Ethan S. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
7 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
8 HUGHES Levi H. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
9 GIBSON Nowell L. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
10 GAIDAR Daniel B. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
11 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
12 LEE Aaron Y. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
12 KUMASHI Mihir R. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
14 MARAKOV Allen B. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
15 KAMBESELES Peter G. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
16 MUN Michael K. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
17 SPIER Julian H. - 1% 7% 20% 33% 29% 10%
18 HERBST Isaac L. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
19 MA Ark - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
20 ZHU Wilson - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
21 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
22 CAI Kevin P. - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
23 LEE Ryan - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
24 GRABER Andrew J. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
24 RAJPAL Sartaj S. - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
26 IVE Isaac L. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
27 SILVERS Noah E. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 8%
28 BODON Michele I. 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 2%
29 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
30 RUSSANOV Dennis - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
31 JEONG Connor - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
32 MALIASSOV Nikita S. - - 2% 11% 33% 43% 11%
33 MERCHANT Reza H. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
34 IYOKI Kent - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
35 ZHENG Hagen - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
35 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
37 LAWSON Henry A. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
38 WEI Zikun - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
38 CHA Russell W. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
40 INSLER Gabriel C. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 17%
41 VERMEULE Spencer - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
42 SHIN Joshua - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
43 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
44 RINEHART Conner M. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
45 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
46 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
47 KIM Ethan J. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
48 KRONROD Tal - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
49 O'HARA Keegan J. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
50 DIXON Samuel - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
51 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
52 BURNHAM Charlie E. 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
53 LEVY Zachari I. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
54 PAVLENISHVILI David G. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
55 COMBS Colson - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
56 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
57 SHUGART Henry R. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
58 KEHOE James E. - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
59 ROBINSON Riley - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
60 MCDERMOTT Brian - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
61 BOWERMAN Lucas A. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
62 BLISS Atticus H. 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
63 HODGE Jaydon L. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
64 KUTTRUS Max D. - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
65 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
66 LIN Ryan - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
67 GONZALEZ II Ricky G. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
68 SHENG Patrick Y. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
69 ANDREEV Arthur - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
70 MALYSZ Anthony J. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
71 ROY Joseph T. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
72 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
73 SHINE Peter C. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
74 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
75 KIM Juni C. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
76 MOTIR Lucas D. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
77 RA Jr. Daniel M. - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
77 GRAY Sterling B. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
79 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
80 BEKKER Mitchel - 1% 8% 28% 37% 22% 4%
81 MILAM Hugh - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
82 TAE William G. - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
83 JUNG Alexander 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
84 ZHANG Eric - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
85 DOLGONOS Mark 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
85 NIEBERGALL Colin G. - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15%
87 LEE Alexander G. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2%
88 LEIGH David A. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
89 WELLS Tommy R. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
90 KUMAR Anitya 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
91 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
92 WEISE Eli S. 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
92 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
94 KAMBESELES Jack M. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 3%
95 FELDMAN Jaemin - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
96 MAENG Jake W. 3% 19% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
97 WYATT Seth - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
98 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
99 JEON Alexander E. 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
100 WANG Nathan - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
101 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 5%
102 LENDER David - - 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
103 RUSSANOV Boris J. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
104 MOHEBI Saam 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
105 LEI Joshua 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
106 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
107 INSLER Ethan C. - 4% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
108 CANDELA Nicholas - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
109 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
110 STONE Henry J. 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 10% 1%
111 TUCKER Owen J. 34% 48% 16% 2% - - -
112 LYUTIKOV Yegor 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
113 KANG Michael H. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
114 CHIN Ethan - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
114 WIMMER Chandler M. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
116 BALAJI Tharoon N. - 4% 14% 29% 31% 17% 4%
117 CARVALHO Daniel S. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
118 CHO Tyler H. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
119 SPANO Gideon S. 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
119 MIELE Benjamin - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
121 CHU Anthony 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
122 TARBUSKOVICH III John 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
123 LIANG Aaron 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
123 LIM Timothy D. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
125 MIEZIANKO Sebastian A. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1% -
126 LIBSON Tazman 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
127 POHL Merik A. - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
128 IVAKIMOV Vasil 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
129 LEI Jacob - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7%
130 ALAIMO Charles - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
131 DESOUZA Hansel S. - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
132 WALKER IV Weymouth D. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
133 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
134 ODEN Isaac M. 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
134 KELSEY Ryan 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
136 SHAMIS Mark - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
136 RODRIGUEZ Ryan 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
138 MCGAW Julian E. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
139 BRANDRETH Garret 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
140 SHUR Yakov C. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
141 MEINHOLD Li - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
141 TOPAZ Nicholas - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
141 ZUBECK Dominic 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
144 JOVANOVIC Jovan - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
145 CORRALES Nikolas 1% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
146 NOMANI Shibli D. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
147 WOZNIAK David - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
147 DING Phillip C. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
149 BURGER Logan 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
150 CAPELLUA Tommaso 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
151 LI Brian X 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
152 IMREK Samuel A. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
153 PRASAD Ankith - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
154 RUTHERFURD John (Trace) - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
155 OH Matthew M. - 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3%
155 NEHILA Stephen D. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
157 BORATIN Daniel I. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
157 MORSE Tyler - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
157 MOORE Thomas J. - 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2%
160 PARKER Riley D. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
161 YUMIACO Nolan C. 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
162 KOKENGE Clark - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
162 HOLDERNESS Landon 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
164 GANA Jr Jorge M. 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
165 COMPTON Michael 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
166 CUMMINGS Kai W. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
167 ALVIOR Jacob A. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
168 JIN Nicholas - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
168 ZHANG Tianyi - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2%
170 CASTLE Aaron 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
171 ZHOU Alec Q. 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
171 GYURE Brayden H. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
173 RODE Damian E. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
173 VAN TASSEL Schuyler 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
175 TRAN Dai Long - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
176 YOO David D. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
177 LEE Timothy S. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
178 PARK Minchan 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
179 JOHNSON Evan 1% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
180 SHAW Ian 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
181 NOP Will H. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
182 FURST Matthew C. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
183 LIU John - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
184 PICCUS Isaac S. 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
185 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
186 LIU Alexander 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
187 SHARMA Sanil 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
188 GREEN Ummi - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
189 ANDERSON Elias W. 4% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
190 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. - 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3%
191 DAO Matthew M. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
192 COOPER Rowan - 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
192 WISOFF Jeffrey - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
194 JAMES Samuel 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
195 BRENNAN Charles F. 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
195 CRANE Matthew T. 3% 14% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
197 ADLER Ethan M. 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
198 JOSEPH Abey 2% 18% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
199 HANRAHAN Liam P. 5% 25% 40% 25% 5% - -
200 SHAH S Ayush 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
201 MARCHANT Albert J. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
201 MOSES Alexander - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
201 ZONE Liam 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
204 KANG Philip F. 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
205 NESTEROV Andrew E. 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
206 CHU Ian 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
207 SHOURIE Jai 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
208 GOLDMAN Rami 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
208 MATTIS George 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
208 AHN Gus 17% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
211 SCHULTZ Alex - 6% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
211 KIM PAUL - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
213 KOFROTH Zachary R. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
213 FLEYSH Dennis 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
215 SMITH Nicholas S. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
216 SIDDIQUI HUMZA K. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
217 DISIMONE David Z. - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
217 MOYA Mason 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
219 PARAMESH Dhilan R. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
219 DIEDERICHS Jimmy G. 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
221 WOMACH Tristan 2% 23% 38% 26% 9% 2% -
222 SRINIVASAN Avinash N. 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
223 YOON Nathan 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
223 CUMMING Thomas 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
225 LEHR William D. 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
226 DUCHOW Benjamin W. - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
227 DEO Ameya 6% 41% 37% 13% 2% - -
228 BYNAGARI Niketh 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
229 MCKEEVER Luca 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
230 LEE Matthew C. 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
230 SIMMONS Tristan A. 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
232 HAIDER Syed Mikail - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
233 BAGHA Armin 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
234 SIVAGAR Leo 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
235 BARRY Dominick 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
236 DYER Ian E. 14% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
237 CHUNG Thomas 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
238 TEICHMANN Christopher 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
239 BORLAND Isaac 79% 20% 2% - - - -
240 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
241 GREGORY Nicholas 14% 41% 36% 8% 1% -
242 JORDAN Jonathan ". 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% -
243 PADHYE Siddhant 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
244 OGILVIE Evan C. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
245 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
246 LI Brian 16% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
247 DUONG Enoch 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
248 JUSCINSKI Michal 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
249 SCRIBNER Aidan C. 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
250 JACKSON James 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
251 HU Matthew 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
251 HE Jason 1% 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
251 ATANAS Matthew M. - 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1%
254 HENSAL Nicolas A. 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
254 MACKIN Samuel 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
256 WOLOSINSKI Peter - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
257 ROMERO Caleb E. 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
257 DYER Carson C. 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
257 KIM Minjun 6% 31% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
260 DORRELL Connor I. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
260 WILLIAMS Martin T. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
260 BHATNAGAR Ayan 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
260 RAY Johnathan 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
264 PARAKH Darayus 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
265 YULE Alexander L. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
265 GILBRETH Miles S. - 3% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
265 HUANG Thomas 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
268 GILLISON Edward L. 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
269 TAYLOR Nolan J. 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
270 LIM Ryan 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
270 REICHBACH Solomon 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
272 KATZE Chad M. 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
273 KORTZ Austin 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
274 STRAWDER Dason 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
274 FOLKERTS Paul 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
276 STEWART Charlie 69% 27% 4% - - - -
277 WESTON Henry 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
278 VENKAT Rakesh 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
279 GARRETT Samuel 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
280 ZHANG Matthew 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1%
281 BOWDEN JR. william 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
282 XU Zitong (Evan) < 1% 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
282 KOPPE Benjamin 35% 43% 18% 4% - - -
284 SINGH Laekhram < 1% 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
285 KENT Matthew 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
286 MIRANDA Matteo 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
287 BURKE Spencer W. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
287 WENGER Caleb 46% 49% 5% - - - -
287 NEAL Henry 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
287 SHAPIRO Samuel 65% 29% 5% - - - -
291 BUTLER Garett 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
293 HURDAL Leif G. 4% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
293 CANO Diego A. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
293 REYES Vincent 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
296 ROY NATHAN J 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
297 GRAY Joshua 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
298 KURBEGOV Alexander R. 31% 49% 17% 2% - - -
298 TRUJILLO Andres 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
298 BISEN Aryaman 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
301 GATRELL Mitchell E. 30% 47% 20% 3% - - -
301 HESSE Frederick Q. 78% 20% 2% - - - -
303 BOWDEN Ian 22% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
304 KITE Robbie 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.