Junior Olympic National Championships

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, February 17, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
2 SHIFRON Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
3 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
3 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
5 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
6 KIM Ethan S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
7 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
8 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
9 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
10 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
11 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
12 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
12 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
14 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
15 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
16 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
17 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
18 HERBST Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
19 MA Ark 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
20 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
21 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
22 CAI Kevin P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
23 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
24 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
24 RAJPAL Sartaj S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
26 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
27 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
28 BODON Michele I. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 2%
29 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10%
30 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
31 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
32 MALIASSOV Nikita S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 11%
33 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
34 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
35 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
35 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
37 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
38 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
38 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
40 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
41 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
42 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
43 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
44 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
45 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
46 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
47 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
48 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 3%
49 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
50 DIXON Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
51 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
52 BURNHAM Charlie E. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
53 LEVY Zachari I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
54 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
55 COMBS Colson 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
56 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
57 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
58 KEHOE James E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
59 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
60 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
61 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
62 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
63 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
64 KUTTRUS Max D. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
65 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
66 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
67 GONZALEZ II Ricky G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
68 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
69 ANDREEV Arthur 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
70 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 12%
71 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
72 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
73 SHINE Peter C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
74 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 13%
75 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
76 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
77 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
77 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
79 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
80 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
81 MILAM Hugh 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
82 TAE William G. 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
83 JUNG Alexander 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
84 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
85 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 5%
85 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
87 LEE Alexander G. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
88 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
89 WELLS Tommy R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
90 KUMAR Anitya 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
91 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
92 WEISE Eli S. 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
92 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
94 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
95 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
96 MAENG Jake W. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
97 WYATT Seth 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
98 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2%
99 JEON Alexander E. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
100 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
101 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
102 LENDER David 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 3%
103 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
104 MOHEBI Saam 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 11% 1%
105 LEI Joshua 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
106 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
107 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
108 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
109 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10% 1%
110 STONE Henry J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
111 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 66% 18% 2% - - -
112 LYUTIKOV Yegor 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
113 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
114 CHIN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 12% 1%
114 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
116 BALAJI Tharoon N. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
117 CARVALHO Daniel S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
118 CHO Tyler H. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
119 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 2% -
119 MIELE Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
121 CHU Anthony 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
122 TARBUSKOVICH III John 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
123 LIANG Aaron 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% 1% -
123 LIM Timothy D. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 21% 3%
125 MIEZIANKO Sebastian A. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
126 LIBSON Tazman 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
127 POHL Merik A. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
128 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
129 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 7%
130 ALAIMO Charles 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
131 DESOUZA Hansel S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
132 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
133 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
134 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
134 KELSEY Ryan 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
136 SHAMIS Mark 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
136 RODRIGUEZ Ryan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
138 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
139 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
140 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
141 MEINHOLD Li 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
141 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 3%
141 ZUBECK Dominic 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
144 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
145 CORRALES Nikolas 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
146 NOMANI Shibli D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
147 WOZNIAK David 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
147 DING Phillip C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
149 BURGER Logan 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
150 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 97% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
151 LI Brian X 100% 99% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
152 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
153 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
154 RUTHERFURD John (Trace) 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
155 OH Matthew M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
155 NEHILA Stephen D. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
157 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
157 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
157 MOORE Thomas J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
160 PARKER Riley D. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
161 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
162 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
162 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
164 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
165 COMPTON Michael 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
166 CUMMINGS Kai W. 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
167 ALVIOR Jacob A. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
168 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
168 ZHANG Tianyi 100% 100% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
170 CASTLE Aaron 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
171 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
171 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
173 RODE Damian E. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
173 VAN TASSEL Schuyler 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
175 TRAN Dai Long 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
176 YOO David D. 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
177 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
178 PARK Minchan 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
179 JOHNSON Evan 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
180 SHAW Ian 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
181 NOP Will H. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
182 FURST Matthew C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
183 LIU John 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
184 PICCUS Isaac S. 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
185 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
186 LIU Alexander 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 5%
187 SHARMA Sanil 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
188 GREEN Ummi 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
189 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 96% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
190 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
191 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
192 COOPER Rowan 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
192 WISOFF Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
194 JAMES Samuel 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
195 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
195 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
197 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
198 JOSEPH Abey 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
199 HANRAHAN Liam P. 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% - -
200 SHAH S Ayush 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
201 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
201 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
201 ZONE Liam 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
204 KANG Philip F. 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
205 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
206 CHU Ian 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
207 SHOURIE Jai 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
208 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
208 MATTIS George 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
208 AHN Gus 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
211 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
211 KIM PAUL 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
213 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
213 FLEYSH Dennis 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
215 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5% -
216 SIDDIQUI HUMZA K. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
217 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
217 MOYA Mason 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
219 PARAMESH Dhilan R. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
219 DIEDERICHS Jimmy G. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
221 WOMACH Tristan 100% 98% 75% 37% 11% 2% -
222 SRINIVASAN Avinash N. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
223 YOON Nathan 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
223 CUMMING Thomas 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
225 LEHR William D. 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
226 DUCHOW Benjamin W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
227 DEO Ameya 100% 94% 52% 15% 2% - -
228 BYNAGARI Niketh 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
229 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
230 LEE Matthew C. 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
230 SIMMONS Tristan A. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
232 HAIDER Syed Mikail 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
233 BAGHA Armin 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
234 SIVAGAR Leo 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
235 BARRY Dominick 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
236 DYER Ian E. 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
237 CHUNG Thomas 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
238 TEICHMANN Christopher 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
239 BORLAND Isaac 100% 21% 2% - - - -
240 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
241 GREGORY Nicholas 100% 86% 45% 9% 1% -
242 JORDAN Jonathan ". 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
243 PADHYE Siddhant 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
244 OGILVIE Evan C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
245 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
246 LI Brian 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
247 DUONG Enoch 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
248 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
249 SCRIBNER Aidan C. 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
250 JACKSON James 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
251 HU Matthew 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
251 HE Jason 100% 99% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
251 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 100% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
254 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
254 MACKIN Samuel 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
256 WOLOSINSKI Peter 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
257 ROMERO Caleb E. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
257 DYER Carson C. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
257 KIM Minjun 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
260 DORRELL Connor I. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
260 WILLIAMS Martin T. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
260 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
260 RAY Johnathan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
264 PARAKH Darayus 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
265 YULE Alexander L. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
265 GILBRETH Miles S. 100% 100% 97% 71% 30% 6% -
265 HUANG Thomas 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
268 GILLISON Edward L. 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
269 TAYLOR Nolan J. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
270 LIM Ryan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
270 REICHBACH Solomon 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
272 KATZE Chad M. 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
273 KORTZ Austin 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
274 STRAWDER Dason 100% 90% 55% 18% 2% - -
274 FOLKERTS Paul 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
276 STEWART Charlie 100% 31% 4% - - - -
277 WESTON Henry 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
278 VENKAT Rakesh 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
279 GARRETT Samuel 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
280 ZHANG Matthew 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
281 BOWDEN JR. william 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
282 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
282 KOPPE Benjamin 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
284 SINGH Laekhram 100% 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
285 KENT Matthew 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
286 MIRANDA Matteo 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
287 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
287 WENGER Caleb 100% 54% 5% - - - -
287 NEAL Henry 100% 93% 63% 23% 5% - -
287 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 35% 6% 1% - - -
291 BUTLER Garett 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
293 HURDAL Leif G. 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
293 CANO Diego A. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
293 REYES Vincent 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
296 ROY NATHAN J 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
297 GRAY Joshua 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
298 KURBEGOV Alexander R. 100% 69% 19% 3% - - -
298 TRUJILLO Andres 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
298 BISEN Aryaman 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
301 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
301 HESSE Frederick Q. 100% 22% 2% - - - -
303 BOWDEN Ian 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
304 KITE Robbie 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.