National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Men's Épée

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - - 3% 23% 75%
2 MAO Benjamin - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 HAMZA Tudor - - - - 2% 20% 77%
3 GRAVES Lawson - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
5 ZHENG Andy - - - - - 11% 89%
6 TRULL A.J. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
7 CARTY JR Johndale - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
8 TAI Edison - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
9 GINZBURG Adam - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
10 KUGLER Luke - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
11 CHOI Zachary - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
12 PARK Sangwook - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
13 CHEN Leonardo - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
14 JAIN Samyak - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
15 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 1% 5% 24% 44% 26%
16 LU Jacob - - 1% 8% 29% 45% 17%
17 LAI Boden - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
18 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
19 KIM Jayden - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
19 BORISENKO Samuel - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
21 BRADSHAW Carter - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
22 NORMILE Nicholas - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
23 LIU Adam - - 6% 28% 46% 20%
24 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
25 WONG Baron - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
26 ZIEGLER John - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
27 BOUDREAUX James - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
28 MITEV Alexander - - - 2% 13% 38% 47%
29 LAM Alan - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
30 MODANLOU Navid - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
31 YU Jason - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16%
32 LEE DoWon - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
33 OSBORN Hunter - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 21%
34 ROBINSON Samuel - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
35 KIM Teddy - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
36 SHIN Ryan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
37 KARIMOV Amir - - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
38 MIZRAHI Michael - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
39 DOUBOV Andrew - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
40 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
40 LEE Jayden J. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 27%
42 XIA Dashan - - - 2% 15% 50% 33%
42 AHMED Mohsen - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
44 LEE Damien - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
44 BUI Henry - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
46 TRAN Spencer - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 19%
47 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
48 YI Nathan - 2% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
49 DODIN Daniel M. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
50 CORBIN Bennett - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
51 HERBRANDSON Luke 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
52 SOKOL Luke - - - 1% 12% 47% 40%
53 GAO Victor - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
54 RAPALSKI Thomas - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
55 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
56 ZHAO Pierce 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
57 SOOS Whitman - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
58 SINGLETON Aman - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10% 1%
59 LIDSKY Phineas - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
60 KIM Ian 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
61 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
62 LI Ray 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
63 CHUTKAY Pratham - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
64 CHEN Jayden - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 2%
65 FRANGER Max - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
66 KIM Gene - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
67 KIM Alexander - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
68 ALI Farhan - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
69 LEVESQUE Gabriel 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% < 1%
70 GUO Woody 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 5%
71 HERNDON Liam - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
72 LI Morgan - 2% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
73 XI Benjamin - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
74 LASIYCHUK Nikita - - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%
75 SUN Lucas - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
76 LIM-SEIWERT Armand 3% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
77 ZENG Andrew - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
78 LI Jade 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
79 LEE Inwoo - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
80 MIKHAIL Lucas 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
81 HEADRICK Jack - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
82 MULDOON Thomas - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
83 TSE Maxwell - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
84 MIDYANY Evan - 2% 12% 35% 38% 14%
85 SIEDOW William - 1% 5% 20% 37% 31% 6%
86 SINGH Ravin - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
86 ZAHRAN Aiden - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
88 MEHROTRA Neel - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
89 NEICE William - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 16%
90 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
91 LOISEAU Oscar - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
91 CHA Patrick - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
93 WU Steven - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
94 LEE Aiden - - 3% 13% 33% 38% 13%
95 BAJAJ Nakul - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
95 YANG Gary - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
97 VEERAVALLI Vivek 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
98 LEE Benjamin 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
99 CAMP Ethan - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
99 KE Sebastian - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
99 VAN RIET Stefan 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
102 WANG Kunqi - 1% 8% 25% 38% 25% 4%
103 MANGAN Hunter 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
104 SAUNIER Cameron - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
105 MILEY Walker - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
106 NGUYEN Peyton 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
106 SZCZAPA Lukas 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 6% 1%
108 HUANG Kenneth - - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15%
109 LIU Yueri - 1% 12% 34% 38% 14%
110 KONG Brandon 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
111 STARKIE Kitteridge 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
112 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
113 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
114 ZHANG James - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
115 MAXU Tiger 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
115 WANG Devin 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
117 RONG Gordon - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
118 AYOTTE James - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 1%
119 GOROZA Eric - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
120 YILMAZ Tarik 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 9% 1%
121 BRASSARD Calvin 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
122 KLINKNER Richard - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15% 2%
123 CZEPLA Andrew - 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
124 ZHAI Junqi - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
125 LEE Anton - 5% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
126 SUNKARA Vishnu 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
127 CHARETTE Alex 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
128 GLUSHKOV David 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
129 SIMMES Jackson - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
130 LEE Aiden - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
131 TWEMLOW Sacha - 2% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
132 BARFORD Giovanni - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
133 DECKER Hunter - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
134 GREENMAN Duke 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
135 LI Tristan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
136 BAGDONAS Olivier 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
137 ALEXANDER Christopher - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
138 MUENKE Magnus 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
139 EMERSON Zachary 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
140 KIM Remington 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
141 WANG-SONG Evan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
142 TOYOFUKU Ethan - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
143 PAN Anthony 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
144 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
145 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 6% 28% 43% 20% 3% -
146 NOOL Alexander 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
147 CHEW Aedan 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
148 LEE Royce - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
149 PARKER Isaiah - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 29%
150 MARENCIK Miles 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
150 PARKE Nathaniel 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
152 LEE Daniel 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
152 LI Yunji (Rain) - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
154 LI Timothy 1% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
155 CHO Alex 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
155 HWANG Aidan - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 16%
157 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
158 SUN Ethan 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
159 LI Allen - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
160 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
161 ROBERTS Phoenix 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
162 CUELLAR Markus 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
162 SHILOV Maxim 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
164 CHAWLA Aarav 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
164 POHL Philip 1% 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
166 IBANEZ Benjamin 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
167 KATS Brandon 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
168 FONG Henry 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
169 JOHNSON Soren 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
170 KROPP Wesley 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
171 LYCHKO Maksym 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
172 NILSEN Mark 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
173 LEWIS Michael 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
173 HERDMAN Julian 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
175 CAFASSO Alexander 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
175 WANG Kaiyan 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
177 BENNETT Pierce 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
177 FU Nolan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
179 BAKKEN Archer 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
179 SU Samuel 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
179 HAMILTON Travis 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
182 GACIOCH Noah - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10% -
183 LIGHT Luke 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
184 JIANG Harry 2% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
185 SHAFFER Tyler 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
186 REICHMANN Theo - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
187 OSHIMA Robert 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
188 SHEN Orlando - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
189 SUN Neo 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
190 LI Ryan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
190 LEE Davidson 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
192 KIM Henry - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
193 MORI Seneca 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2%
193 PIVOVAROV Lucas - 3% 19% 43% 28% 5%
195 D'SA Thomas 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
196 LIU Max 21% 47% 26% 5% - -
197 WANG Lucas 3% 23% 44% 24% 5% -
198 WU Johnny y. 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 5%
199 HELMY Richard 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
200 RAHMAN Ali 7% 35% 39% 16% 3% -
201 WANG Marcus 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
202 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
202 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
202 LEECH Braedan 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
205 MA Ciel 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
206 LEE Henry 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1% -
207 ZHANG Luqi 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
208 SMITH Bram 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
209 PEREZ Daniel 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
210 ZHANG Lucas - 2% 13% 31% 36% 17% 2%
210 DELONG Joshua 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
210 SI Anderson 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
213 NAM Nathaniel 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
214 HSU Joshua - 3% 15% 32% 34% 14% 2%
214 CZACHOROWSKI Mark 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
216 SCHWITZER Eliot 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
217 TUMULA Arihaan 7% 36% 38% 16% 3% - -
218 VYSOTSKIY Evan - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
218 YAO Tristan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
220 DENG Destin 8% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
221 TSIEN Richard 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
222 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
222 AUSTIN Atlas 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
222 KOSTUSIAK Evan 4% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
225 LIU Ethan 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
225 MA Ryan 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3% -
225 ST CLAIR Soren 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
225 SONG Charlie - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
229 ZOU Vincent 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
230 GOWDA Suyog 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
231 TESFAYE Elias 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
232 SONG Aidan 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
233 CORDOVA Colin 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
234 BAUMAN Colin 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
234 AVETISIAN Michael - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
236 LEE Harrison 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
237 CHEONG Cameron 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
238 FENG Xinmin 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
239 KIM Evan 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
240 RAKOTOZAFY Mitantsiky 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
241 TOEWS Jackson 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
242 ZOU Jerry 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
243 WOO Lucas 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
243 KIM Julian 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
243 DEVINENI Avyang 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
246 ADDYSON Aidan 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
247 MUDGE Lachlan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
248 XUE Michael 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
249 ADDLEMAN Joshua 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
250 LOUIE Joseph 4% 25% 42% 24% 6% -
251 PATEL Krish 38% 44% 15% 2% - -
252 FEI Victor - 3% 19% 42% 29% 6%
253 FAN Jordan 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
254 MILLER Xavier 57% 34% 8% 1% - -
255 GREENFIELD Caleb 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 2%
256 KIM Zac 21% 46% 27% 5% - -
257 CHANG Matthew 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
258 CHOI Elliot 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
259 KABA Elias 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
260 SAMIMI Sina 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
261 GATEWOOD Michael 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
262 HANNA Alexander 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
263 ARZT Nicholas 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6% -
264 MOORE Alexander 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
264 WHITE Jackson 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% - -
266 NOLAN Tyler 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
267 WONG Vansen 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
267 WELLING Cohen 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
269 BATISTA Julian - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
270 ROSIELLO Francesco 18% 45% 30% 7% 1% - -
271 MASSIE Jay Thomas 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
272 SARMIENTO Luke 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
273 ERIZE Alex 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
274 DANILOV Artur 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
274 DEPAUW Achiel 6% 30% 42% 18% 3% - -
276 DAI Steven (Chengwen) - 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
276 ZHAI Christopher 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
278 FU Adrian 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
279 SOLARZ Arthur 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
280 RAHMAN Zayd 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
281 WILKERSON Tobias 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
281 WANG Charles 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
281 FRIEDMAN Andres - < 1% 5% 24% 43% 26% 1%
284 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
285 KARLEKAR Veer 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
286 OCONNOR Paul 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
287 DING Max 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
287 BANGAYAN Anthony 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
287 ZHAN ETHAN 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
290 CHEN Edward 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
291 PARIGIAN Alexander 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
292 YU Kenneth 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
293 GADHVI Darius 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
293 BUENAVENTURA Camden 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
293 HENNESSY Levon 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
293 NG Nico 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
297 LI Sean 9% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
298 MCNARY Sean 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 3% -
298 GUIRAUDET Alistair 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
300 BHANDARE Veer 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
301 STRAFFORD Andrew 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
302 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
303 CHEN Christopher 59% 34% 7% - - -
304 QIAO James 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
305 WU Nathan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
306 JONES Colby 34% 46% 18% 2% - -
307 SONG Sawyer 35% 43% 19% 4% - - -
307 DAVIS Andrew 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
309 ROBERTS Arthur 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
310 BREILING Sebastian 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
311 BOHLER-PARK Henry 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
312 D'SA Stephen 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
313 WU Matthew 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
314 VEERAVALLI Pranav 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
315 MAZAHERI Theodore 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
315 PUTHOFF Henry 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
317 BINDER Ayven 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
318 DAVIDSON James 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
318 LIN Daniel 63% 31% 5% - - - -
320 MYRAH Devin 27% 43% 24% 5% - -
321 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
322 PROFFITT Pablo-Diego 73% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.