National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Men's Épée

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
2 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
5 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
6 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
7 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
8 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
9 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
10 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
11 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
12 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
13 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
14 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
15 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
16 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 17%
17 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
18 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
19 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
19 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
21 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
22 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
23 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
24 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
25 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
26 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
27 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
28 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
29 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
30 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
31 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 57% 16%
32 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
33 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
34 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
35 KIM Teddy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
36 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
37 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
38 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
39 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
40 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
40 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
42 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 33%
42 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
44 LEE Damien 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
44 BUI Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
46 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
47 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
48 YI Nathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
49 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
50 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
51 HERBRANDSON Luke 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
52 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 40%
53 GAO Victor 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 12% 1%
54 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
55 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
56 ZHAO Pierce 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
57 SOOS Whitman 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
58 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
59 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
60 KIM Ian 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
61 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
62 LI Ray 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
63 CHUTKAY Pratham 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
64 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 2%
65 FRANGER Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
66 KIM Gene 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
67 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
68 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
69 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% < 1%
70 GUO Woody 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
71 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
72 LI Morgan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
73 XI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
74 LASIYCHUK Nikita 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
75 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
76 LIM-SEIWERT Armand 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
77 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
78 LI Jade 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
79 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
80 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
81 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
82 MULDOON Thomas 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
83 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
84 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
85 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
86 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
86 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
88 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
89 NEICE William 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 16%
90 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
91 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
91 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
93 WU Steven 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
94 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
95 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
95 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
97 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
98 LEE Benjamin 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
99 CAMP Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
99 KE Sebastian 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 2%
99 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
102 WANG Kunqi 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
103 MANGAN Hunter 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
104 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
105 MILEY Walker 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
106 NGUYEN Peyton 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
106 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
108 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
109 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
110 KONG Brandon 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
111 STARKIE Kitteridge 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
112 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
113 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
114 ZHANG James 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
115 MAXU Tiger 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
115 WANG Devin 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
117 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
118 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 1%
119 GOROZA Eric 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
120 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
121 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
122 KLINKNER Richard 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
123 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
124 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
125 LEE Anton 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
126 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
127 CHARETTE Alex 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
128 GLUSHKOV David 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
129 SIMMES Jackson 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
130 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
131 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 27% 4%
132 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
133 DECKER Hunter 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
134 GREENMAN Duke 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
135 LI Tristan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
136 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
137 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
138 MUENKE Magnus 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
139 EMERSON Zachary 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
140 KIM Remington 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
141 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
142 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
143 PAN Anthony 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
144 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
145 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 94% 66% 23% 3% -
146 NOOL Alexander 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
147 CHEW Aedan 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
148 LEE Royce 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
149 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 29%
150 MARENCIK Miles 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
150 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
152 LEE Daniel 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
152 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
154 LI Timothy 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
155 CHO Alex 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
155 HWANG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
157 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
158 SUN Ethan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
159 LI Allen 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
160 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
161 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
162 CUELLAR Markus 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
162 SHILOV Maxim 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 11% 1%
164 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
164 POHL Philip 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
166 IBANEZ Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
167 KATS Brandon 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
168 FONG Henry 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
169 JOHNSON Soren 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
170 KROPP Wesley 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
171 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
172 NILSEN Mark 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
173 LEWIS Michael 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
173 HERDMAN Julian 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
175 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
175 WANG Kaiyan 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
177 BENNETT Pierce 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
177 FU Nolan 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
179 BAKKEN Archer 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
179 SU Samuel 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
179 HAMILTON Travis 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% - -
182 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% -
183 LIGHT Luke 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
184 JIANG Harry 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
185 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
186 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
187 OSHIMA Robert 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
188 SHEN Orlando 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
189 SUN Neo 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
190 LI Ryan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
190 LEE Davidson 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
192 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
193 MORI Seneca 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
193 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 5%
195 D'SA Thomas 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
196 LIU Max 100% 79% 31% 5% - -
197 WANG Lucas 100% 97% 74% 30% 5% -
198 WU Johnny y. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
199 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
200 RAHMAN Ali 100% 93% 58% 18% 3% -
201 WANG Marcus 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
202 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
202 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
202 LEECH Braedan 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
205 MA Ciel 100% 98% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
206 LEE Henry 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
207 ZHANG Luqi 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
208 SMITH Bram 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
209 PEREZ Daniel 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
210 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
210 DELONG Joshua 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
210 SI Anderson 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
213 NAM Nathaniel 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
214 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
214 CZACHOROWSKI Mark 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
216 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
217 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 93% 57% 20% 3% - -
218 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
218 YAO Tristan 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
220 DENG Destin 100% 92% 55% 19% 3% - -
221 TSIEN Richard 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
222 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
222 AUSTIN Atlas 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
222 KOSTUSIAK Evan 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
225 LIU Ethan 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
225 MA Ryan 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3% -
225 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
225 SONG Charlie 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 4%
229 ZOU Vincent 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
230 GOWDA Suyog 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
231 TESFAYE Elias 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
232 SONG Aidan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
233 CORDOVA Colin 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
234 BAUMAN Colin 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
234 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 1%
236 LEE Harrison 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
237 CHEONG Cameron 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
238 FENG Xinmin 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
239 KIM Evan 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
240 RAKOTOZAFY Mitantsiky 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
241 TOEWS Jackson 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
242 ZOU Jerry 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
243 WOO Lucas 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
243 KIM Julian 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
243 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
246 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
247 MUDGE Lachlan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
248 XUE Michael 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
249 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
250 LOUIE Joseph 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% -
251 PATEL Krish 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
252 FEI Victor 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 6%
253 FAN Jordan 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
254 MILLER Xavier 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
255 GREENFIELD Caleb 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
256 KIM Zac 100% 79% 33% 6% - -
257 CHANG Matthew 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
258 CHOI Elliot 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
259 KABA Elias 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
260 SAMIMI Sina 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
261 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
262 HANNA Alexander 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
263 ARZT Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7% -
264 MOORE Alexander 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
264 WHITE Jackson 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% - -
266 NOLAN Tyler 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
267 WONG Vansen 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -
267 WELLING Cohen 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
269 BATISTA Julian 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
270 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 82% 37% 7% 1% - -
271 MASSIE Jay Thomas 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
272 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
273 ERIZE Alex 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
274 DANILOV Artur 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
274 DEPAUW Achiel 100% 94% 63% 21% 4% - -
276 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
276 ZHAI Christopher 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
278 FU Adrian 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
279 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
280 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
281 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
281 WANG Charles 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
281 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 1%
284 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
285 KARLEKAR Veer 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
286 OCONNOR Paul 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
287 DING Max 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
287 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
287 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
290 CHEN Edward 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
291 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
292 YU Kenneth 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
293 GADHVI Darius 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
293 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
293 HENNESSY Levon 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
293 NG Nico 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
297 LI Sean 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
298 MCNARY Sean 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3% -
298 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
300 BHANDARE Veer 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
301 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
302 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
303 CHEN Christopher 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
304 QIAO James 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
305 WU Nathan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
306 JONES Colby 100% 66% 20% 2% - -
307 SONG Sawyer 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
307 DAVIS Andrew 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
309 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
310 BREILING Sebastian 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
311 BOHLER-PARK Henry 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
312 D'SA Stephen 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
313 WU Matthew 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
314 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
315 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
315 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
317 BINDER Ayven 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
318 DAVIDSON James 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
318 LIN Daniel 100% 37% 6% - - - -
320 MYRAH Devin 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
321 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
322 PROFFITT Pablo-Diego 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.