Division 1/Para Championships + April NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Monday, April 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Los Angeles Convention Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - - 2% 98%
2 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
3 BOURTIS James S. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
3 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
5 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 1% 15% 84%
6 GRIFFITH JACK - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
7 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
8 CO Dylan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
9 LEE Jacob J - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
10 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 1% 7% 37% 55%
11 SENIC Lucas - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
12 DESHMUKH Arjun - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
13 WU Alexander - - 3% 18% 41% 31% 6%
14 SISINNI Riccardo - 1% 6% 23% 42% 26% 2%
15 DERRICK Blake 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
16 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
17 MATSAKH Philip - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 3%
18 BURKE Spencer W. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
19 LIN Youlong - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
20 ROSE Ben - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
21 LEWIS Akhil - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21% -
22 MITBERG Gregory W. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
23 LIN James G. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
24 KUMBLA Samarth - - - 4% 27% 69%
25 GUERRA Gabriel H. 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 3%
26 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 20%
27 BRUK Peter J. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
28 OURSLER Jack - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
29 KATAYAMA Kevin - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
30 LIN Michael - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
31 YU Vinni - - 4% 20% 41% 30% 5%
32 XU Andy P. 11% 37% 34% 15% 3% - -
33 KAO Castor T. - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
34 CANLAS Nathan - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
35 RUSADZE Nickolas - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
36 ONIK Elijah T. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
37 LEWIS Paul D. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
38 DICKSON Farr R. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
39 KIM Nicholas W. - - 1% 8% 30% 46% 15%
40 TIYA BIAYA K. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
41 GOOR Julian - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
42 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
43 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
44 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
45 RASMUSSEN Sage 2% 14% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
46 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
47 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
48 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
49 WANG Aaron 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2%
50 SHENG Dalton 18% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
51 CHEN Raymond - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
52 HUTH Mitchell - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
52 LEE Aidan - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
54 ZHANG Aaron 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
55 SHAPIRO Leon 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
56 NICOLETTI Luca 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
57 ZHENG Alan H. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10% 1%
58 DIERKS Kian 1% 6% 24% 40% 24% 5% -
59 GONG Benjamin 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
60 MIN Eric 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 8% 1%
61 LO Preston 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
62 HUTH Jacob 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
63 JAIN Aditya - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10% -
64 PARRISH Evan 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% - -
65 KIM Ryan Y. 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
66 LO Conrad - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
67 LE Jacob H. 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% - -
68 JIANG Owen 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
69 PARK Sky 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
70 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
71 QIAN Jason H. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
72 LI Matthew 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
73 JEON Caleb A. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
74 SONG Noel 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
75 LIU Derek 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 3% -
76 PARK Rion 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
77 LEE Brendan 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
78 YAO Bradley 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
79 TANG Albert 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
80 NGUYEN Martin 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
81 CORTRIGHT Skipper 12% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
82 ZOBEL Eric H. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3%
83 STANLEY Mason B. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
84 TANG Owen S. 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 1%
85 SONG Aiden S. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
85 KIM Yonjae - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
85 FUKUDA Diego 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
88 KLOTZ Isaiah 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% -
89 KRYLTSOV Michael 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
90 WU Trevor 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
91 BADLANI Dev 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
92 LEE Christopher T. 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
93 KONG Luculentus X. 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
94 CHEN Kyle P. 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
95 LING Eddie 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
96 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
96 WU Alistair 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1% -
96 MARTIN Darius 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
99 WU Alber Y. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
100 HUANG Eythan 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
101 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 25% 1%
102 CHENG Ethan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
103 HOWLAND Jonas 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
104 TAN Aidan 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% -
105 PO Oliver 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
106 CHOI Ethan 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
107 SHAGIDANYAN German 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
108 FENG Michael 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
109 DINSAY Kristjan 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
110 LIU William 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
111 YI William W. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
112 WANDJI Noah 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
113 SIMA Congyu Josh 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
114 TANG August L. 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
115 TALASILA Arush 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
116 ZHANG Jacob 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
117 GUTH Joseph 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
118 PARKER Isaiah 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
118 LEE Eugene 32% 44% 19% 4% - - -
120 ROZALSKI Eli 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
121 LEE Jonah 17% 40% 32% 11% 1% -
122 KIM Daniel Y. 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
123 STRUGAR Marcus A. 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
124 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
125 SISINNI Leonardo 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
126 PINCHENG Yao 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
127 TANG Alexander L. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
127 CHUANG Oscar 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
129 LI Samuel 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.