Division 1/Para Championships + April NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Monday, April 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Los Angeles Convention Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98%
2 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
5 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
6 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
7 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
8 CO Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
9 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
10 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
11 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
12 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
13 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 6%
14 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28% 2%
15 DERRICK Blake 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
16 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
17 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
18 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
19 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
20 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
21 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21% -
22 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
23 LIN James G. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
24 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
25 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
26 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
27 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
28 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
29 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
30 LIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
31 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
32 XU Andy P. 100% 89% 52% 18% 4% - -
33 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
34 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
35 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
36 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
37 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
38 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
39 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 15%
40 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
41 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
42 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
43 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
44 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
45 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
46 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
47 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 4%
48 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 99% 86% 54% 18% 3% -
49 WANG Aaron 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2%
50 SHENG Dalton 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
51 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
52 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
52 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
54 ZHANG Aaron 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
55 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
56 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5% -
57 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10% 1%
58 DIERKS Kian 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 6% -
59 GONG Benjamin 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
60 MIN Eric 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
61 LO Preston 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
62 HUTH Jacob 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
63 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10% -
64 PARRISH Evan 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
65 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
66 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
67 LE Jacob H. 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% - -
68 JIANG Owen 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
69 PARK Sky 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
70 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
71 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
72 LI Matthew 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
73 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
74 SONG Noel 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
75 LIU Derek 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
76 PARK Rion 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
77 LEE Brendan 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
78 YAO Bradley 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
79 TANG Albert 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
80 NGUYEN Martin 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
81 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
82 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
83 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
84 TANG Owen S. 100% 99% 87% 56% 18% 1%
85 SONG Aiden S. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
85 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
85 FUKUDA Diego 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
88 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
89 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
90 WU Trevor 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
91 BADLANI Dev 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
92 LEE Christopher T. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
93 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
94 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
95 LING Eddie 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
96 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
96 WU Alistair 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
96 MARTIN Darius 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
99 WU Alber Y. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
100 HUANG Eythan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
101 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 1%
102 CHENG Ethan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
103 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% - -
104 TAN Aidan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
105 PO Oliver 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
106 CHOI Ethan 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
107 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
108 FENG Michael 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
109 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
110 LIU William 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
111 YI William W. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
112 WANDJI Noah 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
113 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
114 TANG August L. 100% 82% 40% 11% 2% - -
115 TALASILA Arush 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
116 ZHANG Jacob 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
117 GUTH Joseph 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
118 PARKER Isaiah 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
118 LEE Eugene 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
120 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
121 LEE Jonah 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
122 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
123 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
124 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
125 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
126 PINCHENG Yao 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
127 TANG Alexander L. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
127 CHUANG Oscar 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
129 LI Samuel 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.