National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Simon - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 ZHENG Andy - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 TRULL A.J. - - - - 6% 30% 64%
3 YUE Hongrui - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
5 MAO Benjamin - - - 4% 28% 67%
6 LI Jeff - - - - 6% 34% 59%
7 MITEV Alexander - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
8 LAI Boden - - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
9 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - - 2% 22% 76%
10 HU Lucas - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
11 XIA Dashan - - - - 4% 25% 71%
12 JAIN Samyak - 1% 8% 28% 43% 19%
13 RUBIN Daniel - - - - 4% 28% 67%
14 SOKOL Luke - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
15 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
16 NORMILE Nicholas - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
17 CHOI Zachary - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
18 TSE Maxwell - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
19 DOUBOV Andrew - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
20 LAM Alan - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
21 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
22 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
22 CHEN Leonardo - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
24 WU Steven - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
25 LOISEAU Oscar - 1% 6% 22% 39% 29% 4%
25 PARK Sangwook - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
27 HE Kaixuan - - 2% 10% 33% 41% 14%
27 VYSOTSKIY Evan - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
29 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
30 GRAVES Lawson - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
31 SHOUSHA Hamza - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
32 NAKAS Levent - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
33 BRADSHAW Carter - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
34 LASIYCHUK Nikita - - 3% 12% 31% 38% 16%
35 TAI Edison - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
36 CORBIN Bennett - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
37 CHUTKAY Pratham 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
38 LIU Adam - - 1% 4% 19% 42% 34%
39 SERAFYM Damian - - 2% 16% 40% 34% 7%
40 HAMZA Tudor - - - - 4% 28% 67%
41 DONAHUE Lake - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
42 LEE Aiden - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 12%
43 LEE Aiden - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
44 CHEN Jayden - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 3%
45 SAUNIER Cameron - - 1% 9% 33% 48% 9%
47 MIZRAHI Michael - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
48 BUI Henry - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
49 LU Jacob - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
50 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
51 DONG Haiyi(Leo) - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
52 SIEDOW William - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
53 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
53 AHMED Mohsen - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
55 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
56 SINGLETON Aman - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
57 HUANG Kenneth - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
58 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
59 LIDSKY Phineas - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
60 JEONG Arisu 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
61 LEE Jayden J. - 1% 6% 23% 41% 25% 4%
62 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
63 BAJAJ Nakul - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
64 CUELLAR Markus 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
65 GINZBURG Adam - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
66 KIM Jayden - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
67 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
67 HEADRICK Jack - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
69 BAGDONAS Olivier 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% < 1%
70 KUGLER Luke - - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
71 KIM Henry - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
72 BORISENKO Samuel - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
73 IBANEZ Benjamin 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
74 GONZALEZ Kian 1% 9% 32% 39% 18% 2%
75 DUKO Phillip - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 5%
76 MODANLOU Navid - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
77 ROBINSON Samuel - - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
78 TOWNSHEND Connor 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
79 GAO Victor - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
80 LIU Yueri - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
81 WONG Baron - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
82 PARKE Nathaniel 8% 37% 38% 14% 2% -
83 CAMP Ethan - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
83 CHEN Edward 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
85 KARIMOV Amir - - 1% 9% 33% 42% 15%
86 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
86 TRAN Spencer - 1% 8% 31% 42% 17% 1%
88 HERNDON Liam - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
89 OSBORN Hunter - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
90 LEE Royce - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
91 DECKER Hunter - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 2%
91 YANG Gary - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
93 LAI QiYong - - 1% 10% 36% 44% 8%
94 HE Bronto 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
95 LI Tristan - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
95 MULDOON Thomas - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 3%
97 ZHANG Jonathan 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
98 CHEW Aedan 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% -
99 DURKIN Hudson - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
100 KIM Gene - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
101 SUN Lucas 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
101 LI Grayson 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
103 MANGAN Hunter - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
104 DILDA Griffin 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
105 GATEWOOD Michael 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
106 ZIEGLER John - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
106 LI Morgan - 7% 25% 38% 25% 6%
108 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
109 BOUDREAUX James - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
110 WANG Joey - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
111 MEHROTRA Neel - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
112 JIANG Matthew - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
113 ADDLEMAN Joshua - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
114 NORTON Henry - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
114 HERDMAN Julian 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
116 ZENG Andrew - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
117 LI Jade - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
118 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
119 CHARETTE Alex 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
121 VOO Lucas 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
122 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
123 ORESKOVIC Olivier 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
124 KIM Joshua - 3% 13% 32% 36% 14% 2%
125 MAXU Tiger 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
126 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
127 DENG Destin 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
128 KOGAN Yelisey L. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
129 CABRERA Jorge Arturo - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
130 CHA Patrick - 1% 11% 33% 41% 14%
131 CARTY JR Johndale - - 1% 5% 24% 45% 25%
132 FRANGER Max - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
133 HSU Joshua 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
133 MUDGE Lachlan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
135 LEECH Braedan 1% 6% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
136 LEWIS Michael 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
137 LEE Inwoo 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2%
137 HERBRANDSON Luke - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
139 TOYOFUKU Ethan - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 3%
140 LU Ryan - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
141 LI Yunji (Rain) - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
142 GACIOCH Noah 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
143 LEE DoWon - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
144 GUO Woody 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
145 DODIN Daniel M. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
146 SEUNG HYUN SHIN - 1% 8% 24% 37% 24% 6%
147 BARFORD Giovanni 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
148 MOORE Alexander 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
149 WANG Marcus 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
150 NOOL Alexander 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
151 GUIRAUDET Alistair 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3% -
152 LI Timothy 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
153 CHU Ted 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
154 MILINKOVIC Maksim 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
154 SINGH Ravin - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
154 LYCHKO Maksym 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
154 KABA Elias 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
158 KE Sebastian - 2% 17% 41% 31% 8% 1%
159 ST CLAIR Soren 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
160 RONG Marcus 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
160 MUENKE Magnus - - 4% 23% 43% 27% 3%
162 GADHVI Darius 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
163 HERRERA Xavier 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
164 CAFASSO Alexander 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
164 YU Jason - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
164 SONG Charlie - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
167 RAPALSKI Thomas 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
168 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
169 WANG Charles 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
170 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
171 ZHAI Junqi 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
171 ZHU Yiming 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
173 AYOTTE James - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
174 SHCHUR Grayson - 5% 21% 39% 28% 6% -
174 KIM Alexander 1% 9% 33% 39% 16% 2% -
176 NIKIFOROV Timofei - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
177 SUROV Alexander 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
178 KONG Brandon 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
179 ALI Farhan - - 3% 14% 35% 39% 10%
180 CHANEY Charles 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
180 KLINKNER Richard 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 2% -
182 CUMMINGS Owen 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
183 SHILOV Maxim 1% 12% 31% 36% 16% 3% -
183 LIU Max 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -
185 WANG Kaiyan 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
185 BUTTA Reese 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
187 MCNARY Sean 11% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
188 LOUIE Joseph - 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
188 SU Samuel 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
190 BREILING Sebastian 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
191 DELONG Joshua 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
192 GOROZA Eric 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
193 ARZT Nicholas 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
194 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
195 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
196 LI Ryan 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
196 BROSNAN Solomon 55% 35% 8% 1% - -
198 HAMILTON Travis 12% 35% 35% 15% 2% -
199 GOVOROV Alexander 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
200 WANG Devin - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
201 SOOS Whitman 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
202 NG Nico 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
203 NILSEN Mark 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
203 LEE Benjamin 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
205 QIAN Irvine - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
205 ROBERTS Phoenix 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
207 BENNETT Pierce 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
207 MARENCIK Miles 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
209 SHIN Ryan - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
209 ALEXANDER Christopher 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
211 GLUSHKOV David - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
212 KROPP Wesley 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
213 GREENMAN Duke 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
214 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
215 REICHMANN Theo 1% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
215 LIN ZIJIE 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
217 D'SA Thomas 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
217 OSHIMA Robert 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
219 BAKKEN Archer 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
219 KIM Zac 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
219 BROWN Korbyn 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
219 SUH Aiden 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
223 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
224 YI Nathan - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 3%
225 NOLAN Tyler 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
225 KIM Ian 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4% -
227 YU David 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
228 GE Ray 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
229 ROBINSON Garrett 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
230 CHOI Elliot 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
230 TSIEN Richard 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
232 TUMULA Arihaan 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
233 CHEN Tianjun 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
233 LIANG Donny 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
235 VEERAVALLI Vivek 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
236 SZIEDE Kieran 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
237 KOSTUSIAK Evan 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
238 HONG Daniel 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
239 WANG Dylan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
239 MA James 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
241 CZEPLA Andrew 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
241 JHA Adarsh 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
243 OLSON Joseph 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
243 RAMEY Daylon 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
245 GUO Luke 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
246 YANG Julian 70% 26% 3% - - - -
247 ZHANG James 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
248 POHL Philip 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
249 WONG Vansen 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
250 BRASSARD Calvin 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
251 MENG Haoyi 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
252 CHO Alex - 5% 23% 41% 25% 5%
253 KIM Remington 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
254 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
255 MASSIE Jay 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
256 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
257 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
257 ZHANG Luqi 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
259 FU Nolan 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
260 PAN Anthony 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
261 LIN Haley 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
262 MIDYANY Evan - 6% 27% 41% 23% 2%
262 RONG Gordon 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
264 JAO Aaron 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
264 MUNOZ Rocco 73% 24% 3% - - - -
264 HUANG Ethan 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
267 HELMY Richard 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
268 SHAFFER Tyler 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
268 SADLER August 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
268 DEVINENI Avyang 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
271 SRIKANTH Hariharan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
271 GU Eric 3% 28% 45% 20% 3% - -
273 EMERSON Zachary 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
274 RAHMAN Ali 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
275 HANNA Alexander 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
276 ZHANG Lucas 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
276 ADDYSON Aidan 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
276 SATHYAN Dev 6% 39% 41% 13% 2% - -
276 BUENAVENTURA Camden 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
276 WANG Lucas 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
281 YAO Tristan 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
282 TANG Michael 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
283 SOLOMON Aryeh 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
283 RICHMOND Ozan 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
285 ZHENG Jason 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
286 DINH Nam 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
287 RAHMAN Zayd 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
288 ROSIELLO Francesco 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
289 BANG Dylan 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
290 LI Ray 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
291 SUN Neo 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
292 LEE Henry 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
293 ZHANG Austin 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
294 LEE Daniel 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
295 GOWDA Suyog 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
296 FU Adrian 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
296 LIM-SEIWERT Armand 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
296 MODI Rohan 24% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
299 MCCABE Kian 33% 43% 19% 4% - -
300 WANG-SONG Evan 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
301 MOSLEY Wally 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
302 GOODMAN Liam 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
303 KOU Mason 39% 42% 16% 2% - - -
304 GOODMAN Benjamin 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
305 MOLLINIER Angel 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
305 JERDEE Colton 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
307 KOLHE Tanish 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
308 SCHWITZER Eliot 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
309 WOO Lucas 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
309 SONG Jonathan 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
311 DAVIS Andrew 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
312 MAKOLO Hudson 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
313 QIAO James 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
314 KHAVKIN Alexander 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
315 DEPAUW Achiel 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.