National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
3 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
5 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
6 LI Jeff 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
7 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
8 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
9 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
10 HU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
11 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
12 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
13 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
14 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
15 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
16 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
17 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
18 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
19 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
20 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
21 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
22 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
22 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
24 WU Steven 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
25 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 4%
25 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
27 HE Kaixuan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
27 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
29 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
30 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
31 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
32 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
33 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
34 LASIYCHUK Nikita 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
35 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
36 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
37 CHUTKAY Pratham 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
38 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
39 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 7%
40 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
41 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
42 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 12%
43 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
44 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 23% 3%
45 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 9%
47 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
48 BUI Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
49 LU Jacob 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
50 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
51 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
52 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
53 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
53 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
55 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
56 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
57 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 13%
58 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
59 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
60 JEONG Arisu 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
61 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29% 4%
62 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
63 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
64 CUELLAR Markus 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
65 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
66 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
67 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
67 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
69 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% < 1%
70 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
71 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
72 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
73 IBANEZ Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
74 GONZALEZ Kian 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
75 DUKO Phillip 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
76 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
77 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
78 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
79 GAO Victor 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
80 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 32%
81 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
82 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 92% 54% 17% 2% -
83 CAMP Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
83 CHEN Edward 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
85 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
86 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
86 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 1%
88 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
89 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
90 LEE Royce 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 20% 2%
91 DECKER Hunter 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 2%
91 YANG Gary 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
93 LAI QiYong 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 8%
94 HE Bronto 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
95 LI Tristan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
95 MULDOON Thomas 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
97 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
98 CHEW Aedan 100% 99% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
99 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
100 KIM Gene 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
101 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
101 LI Grayson 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2% -
103 MANGAN Hunter 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
104 DILDA Griffin 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
105 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
106 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
106 LI Morgan 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
108 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
109 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
110 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
111 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
112 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 96% 79% 45% 11%
113 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
114 NORTON Henry 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
114 HERDMAN Julian 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
116 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
117 LI Jade 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
118 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
119 CHARETTE Alex 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 4% -
121 VOO Lucas 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
122 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
123 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1%
124 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 2%
125 MAXU Tiger 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
126 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
127 DENG Destin 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
128 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
129 CABRERA Jorge Arturo 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
130 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
131 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
132 FRANGER Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
133 HSU Joshua 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% 1%
133 MUDGE Lachlan 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
135 LEECH Braedan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
136 LEWIS Michael 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
137 LEE Inwoo 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
137 HERBRANDSON Luke 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
139 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
140 LU Ryan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
141 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
142 GACIOCH Noah 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
143 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
144 GUO Woody 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
145 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
146 SEUNG HYUN SHIN 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
147 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
148 MOORE Alexander 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
149 WANG Marcus 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
150 NOOL Alexander 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
151 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
152 LI Timothy 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
153 CHU Ted 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
154 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
154 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
154 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
154 KABA Elias 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
158 KE Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1%
159 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
160 RONG Marcus 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
160 MUENKE Magnus 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 3%
162 GADHVI Darius 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
163 HERRERA Xavier 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
164 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 89% 52% 16% 3% - -
164 YU Jason 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
164 SONG Charlie 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
167 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
168 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
169 WANG Charles 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
170 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
171 ZHAI Junqi 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
171 ZHU Yiming 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% - -
173 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
174 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6% -
174 KIM Alexander 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 2% -
176 NIKIFOROV Timofei 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
177 SUROV Alexander 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
178 KONG Brandon 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
179 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 10%
180 CHANEY Charles 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
180 KLINKNER Richard 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
182 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
183 SHILOV Maxim 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
183 LIU Max 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
185 WANG Kaiyan 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
185 BUTTA Reese 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
187 MCNARY Sean 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
188 LOUIE Joseph 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
188 SU Samuel 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
190 BREILING Sebastian 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
191 DELONG Joshua 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
192 GOROZA Eric 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
193 ARZT Nicholas 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
194 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
195 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
196 LI Ryan 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
196 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
198 HAMILTON Travis 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
199 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
200 WANG Devin 100% 100% 94% 75% 39% 10% 1%
201 SOOS Whitman 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
202 NG Nico 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
203 NILSEN Mark 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
203 LEE Benjamin 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
205 QIAN Irvine 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
205 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% -
207 BENNETT Pierce 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
207 MARENCIK Miles 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
209 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
209 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
211 GLUSHKOV David 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
212 KROPP Wesley 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
213 GREENMAN Duke 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
214 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
215 REICHMANN Theo 100% 99% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
215 LIN ZIJIE 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
217 D'SA Thomas 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
217 OSHIMA Robert 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
219 BAKKEN Archer 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
219 KIM Zac 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
219 BROWN Korbyn 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
219 SUH Aiden 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
223 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
224 YI Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
225 NOLAN Tyler 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
225 KIM Ian 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
227 YU David 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
228 GE Ray 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% -
229 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
230 CHOI Elliot 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
230 TSIEN Richard 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
232 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 91% 56% 21% 4% - -
233 CHEN Tianjun 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
233 LIANG Donny 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
235 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
236 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
237 KOSTUSIAK Evan 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
238 HONG Daniel 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
239 WANG Dylan 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
239 MA James 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
241 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
241 JHA Adarsh 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
243 OLSON Joseph 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
243 RAMEY Daylon 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
245 GUO Luke 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% - -
246 YANG Julian 100% 30% 3% - - - -
247 ZHANG James 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1%
248 POHL Philip 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
249 WONG Vansen 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
250 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
251 MENG Haoyi 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
252 CHO Alex 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
253 KIM Remington 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
254 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
255 MASSIE Jay 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
256 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
257 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
257 ZHANG Luqi 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
259 FU Nolan 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
260 PAN Anthony 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
261 LIN Haley 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
262 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 2%
262 RONG Gordon 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
264 JAO Aaron 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
264 MUNOZ Rocco 100% 27% 3% - - - -
264 HUANG Ethan 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
267 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
268 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
268 SADLER August 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
268 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
271 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
271 GU Eric 100% 97% 70% 25% 4% - -
273 EMERSON Zachary 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
274 RAHMAN Ali 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
275 HANNA Alexander 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% - -
276 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
276 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
276 SATHYAN Dev 100% 94% 55% 14% 2% - -
276 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
276 WANG Lucas 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
281 YAO Tristan 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
282 TANG Michael 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
283 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
283 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
285 ZHENG Jason 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
286 DINH Nam 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
287 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 82% 41% 12% 2% - -
288 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
289 BANG Dylan 100% 73% 26% 4% - - -
290 LI Ray 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
291 SUN Neo 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
292 LEE Henry 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
293 ZHANG Austin 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
294 LEE Daniel 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
295 GOWDA Suyog 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1%
296 FU Adrian 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
296 LIM-SEIWERT Armand 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
296 MODI Rohan 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
299 MCCABE Kian 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
300 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
301 MOSLEY Wally 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
302 GOODMAN Liam 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
303 KOU Mason 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
304 GOODMAN Benjamin 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
305 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
305 JERDEE Colton 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
307 KOLHE Tanish 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
308 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
309 WOO Lucas 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
309 SONG Jonathan 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
311 DAVIS Andrew 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -
312 MAKOLO Hudson 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
313 QIAO James 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
314 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
315 DEPAUW Achiel 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.