National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PETROW Zoryan - - 1% 7% 28% 47% 17%
2 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
3 LOISEAU Oscar - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
3 GAO Victor 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
5 MATHES Caleb - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
6 DECKER Hunter 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
7 MARENCIK Miles 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
8 CHEN YiHeng - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
9 WONG Garrick G. - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
10 GOLDSON Tyrese - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
11 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
12 BOSS Evan - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
13 KE Sebastian 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
14 FEINBERG James Y. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
15 KIM Joshua 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
16 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
17 YANG Alex 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% < 1%
18 LINDOW Connor - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
18 ADDLEMAN Joshua 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% < 1%
20 GREENMAN Duke 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% -
21 MOORE Alexander - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
22 CHEN Edward 1% 6% 19% 31% 27% 12% 2%
23 LI Grayson 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
24 LI Morgan - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 7%
25 LI Timothy 3% 15% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
26 MANGAN Hunter - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
27 BETTS Jr Anthony P. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
28 FELICIANO Damien - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
29 SUN Lucas 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
30 GUO Woody 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
31 DINH Nam 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
32 RICHARDSON Ray 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
33 VRUBEL Eli - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
34 YANG Zeph - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
35 MARTIN Mason - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
36 LEHNER Brian 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
36 ST CLAIR Soren 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
38 AYOTTE James 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
39 LEE DoWon - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
40 HENSLEY Roran 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
41 KERKHOF Peter L. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
42 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
43 HENNESSY Levon 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
44 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
45 ALEXANDER Jacksen 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% -
46 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
47 WANG David - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
48 ANAFI Ari - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 6%
49 AGGELER Donovan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
50 VARNEY Douglas W. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
52 TIEMANN Landen - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
53 PIASIO Jack E. - - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
54 CHU Ted 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
55 AKYAMAC Bora - 2% 9% 23% 33% 26% 8%
55 SNYDER Alex - 5% 27% 41% 22% 4%
57 DEVINENI Avyang 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
58 WATERS Nathaniel 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
59 GOROZA Eric 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
60 JOBE Connor 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
61 SIM Ian - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
62 PAN Anthony 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
63 ADAMS Tyler - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
64 JEONG Arisu 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
65 HELMY Richard 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
66 HAN Sam - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
67 ADDYSON Aidan 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
68 PETERSEN Zachary 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
69 GOODMAN Benjamin 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
70 SONG Charlie - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
71 TATE William Isom - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
72 FAN Joshua 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
73 WANG Charles 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
74 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
75 YANG Ethan - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
76 ISAACSON Calev 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
77 SOOS Whitman - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
78 LI Tristan 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
79 MAXU Tiger 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
80 CHANEY Charles 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
82 WAID Ian 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
83 PAINTER Noah - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
84 CONKLIN Jim - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
85 SHILOV Maxim 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
86 BUACHIE Aaron - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
86 VINOTH Aaron - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
88 CHEW Aedan 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
89 DELONG Joshua 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
90 LEE Jake (JiYuen) - 4% 14% 29% 31% 17% 4%
91 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
91 YOUNG Quentin 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
93 GARBER Robert A. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
94 MALLON Scooter 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
95 ZHANG James 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
96 KENT IV David - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
96 HINTON Evan - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
96 YI Nathan - 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
96 BRASSARD Calvin - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
101 TAKATA Benjamin - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
102 OTTAVIANO Aaron 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
103 LEE Inwoo - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
104 NUDELMAN Aleksandr - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
105 JONES Jackson 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
106 RUFANOV Maxim 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
107 OLSON Kevin 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
108 NALLICHERI Ayaan 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
110 RAHMAN Zayd 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
110 KIM Ian 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
112 DENISON Declan - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
113 LEECH Braedan 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
114 NUNEZ Jorge 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
115 O'HARROW Tristan C. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
116 KIM Jeff - 1% 11% 35% 41% 13%
117 POHL Philip 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
118 CHARETTE Matt 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
119 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
120 SHOEMAKER Oliver 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
121 CUMMINGS Kai - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
122 GOVOROV Alexander 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
123 CHRISTIAN John R. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 12%
124 PAULSEN Zachary - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
125 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
126 CHARETTE Alex 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
127 WEINSTEIN Ethan 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
128 CHENG Trevor 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
129 CHEMEZOV Trent - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
130 EDGECOMB Michael J. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
131 ZHU Yiming 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
132 NG Nico 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
133 CHAKRABORTY Zorian - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
134 ALEXANDER Christopher 4% 18% 31% 28% 14% 4% -
135 WILSON Ian G. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
135 LAWLOR Lee - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
137 WANG Aiden 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
138 DAVIS Jonah 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
138 HSU Joshua 2% 10% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
140 SAHA Sayan 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
141 CHOI JJ 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
142 GUO Luke 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
143 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
144 CUMMINGS Owen 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
145 EVERT Todd - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
146 MOSKOWITZ Martin 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
147 RAO Neil - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
148 WANG Marcus 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
149 NIXON Scott - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
150 KIM Zac 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
151 DADE MAXIMUS 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
151 SEABLOOM Jack 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
153 VEERAVALLI Vivek 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
154 VOO Lucas 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
155 RVACHEV Michael 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
156 LI Ryan 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
157 GOWDA Suyog 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
158 ELTERMAN Lev - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
159 CLAYTON Byron - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
159 MUENKE Torben 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
161 SIALA Omar - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
162 WU Jerry 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
163 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
163 ZHOU alex 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
165 BISSEN Quinn - 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
166 CUELLAR Markus 6% 21% 32% 26% 11% 3% -
167 SATHYAN Dev 20% 51% 25% 4% - -
168 SZIEDE Kieran 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
169 STENCEL Andrew E. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
169 WHITE Aidan 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
171 SLOTER Lewis E. 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
172 RONG Gordon 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 5% -
173 EVANS Joseph 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
174 SCHWITZER Eliot 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
175 KELLEY Hayden - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
176 WOO Lucas 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
177 KIM Teo - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
178 WONG Maximus - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
178 RITTERBUSCH Timothy 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
180 REED David 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
181 EMERSON Zachary 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
182 PAGE Aaron M. - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
183 AU Joshua 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
184 SHULL Marc - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
185 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. - 1% 8% 22% 35% 26% 8%
186 JAO Aaron 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
187 HAMILTON Travis 6% 23% 33% 25% 11% 2% -
188 RAHMAN Ali 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
189 PATEL Aayan 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
190 CHO Alex - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
191 LITTLE Alex 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
191 KLINKNER Richard 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
193 NOOL Alexander 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
194 DEPAUW Achiel 40% 42% 16% 3% - -
195 BANNEN Nicholas - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
196 DAVIDSON James 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
197 SCHAUER Oliver 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
197 ALLEN David - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
199 SENECHAL Alexander 1% 7% 25% 36% 25% 6%
199 OSHIMA Robert 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
199 COHEN Nathan 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
199 TAHA Ray 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
203 MALLON Jaxson - 4% 16% 29% 30% 16% 4%
204 ARZT Nicholas 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 3%
204 DENG Destin 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
206 PRICE Cory J. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
206 DAVIS Kelly 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
209 MA Ryan 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
210 BRUNO Timothy - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 2%
211 SEYMOUR Phoenix 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
212 DOWD Peter L. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
213 OZANNE Jeffrey S. - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
214 WANG Kaiyan 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
215 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
216 COLE Perrin 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
217 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 3%
218 GLUSHKOV David 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
218 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
220 OLSON Joseph 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
221 HUNKER Frederick - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
222 GUILFORD Corey - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
223 DOLLARHITE Tommy 12% 31% 32% 18% 5% 1% -
224 DILDA Griffin 3% 17% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
224 MCLAREN Mason 1% 9% 35% 38% 15% 2%
226 MAGNUSON Thomas 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
227 PAYNE Gareth - < 1% 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
227 NILSEN Mark 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
229 MARRAN John 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
230 JANYSKA Allen - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
230 HERDMAN Julian 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
232 SPRINGER Elijah 14% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
233 URCIOLI Phenix 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
234 DURKIN Hudson 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
235 CHIZ Max H. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
235 MARTINEZ Joshua 1% 6% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
237 COHEN Joshua 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
238 BOHLER-PARK Henry 16% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
239 WONG Vansen 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
240 BALDWIN Alexander 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
241 BUTTA Reese 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
242 AGUIRRE Diego 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
243 PAPP Mike 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
243 RICHMOND Ozan 19% 36% 29% 12% 3% - -
243 LEE Henry 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
246 BENUCCI Vincent 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
247 LAWRENCE Brady 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
248 STEVENS Owen 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
249 TENHUNDFELD Jack 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
249 FENG Xinmin 52% 40% 8% 1% - -
251 SAYLER Gordon 2% 10% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
252 GAO Ryan 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
253 MILLER Hayden 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
254 JERDEE Colton 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
255 VRUBEL Nathan 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
256 KIM Remington 20% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
256 BATISTA Julian 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
258 JADHAV Tanay 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
259 MARTELL Antonio 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
260 MARTIN Dirk < 1% 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 8%
260 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
260 GOODMAN Craig 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
263 JARRATT Isaac 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
263 VERWORN Jonathan 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
265 LOFTIN Benjamin 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
266 ELLING Jack 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.