National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 17%
2 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
3 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
3 GAO Victor 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
5 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
6 DECKER Hunter 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
7 MARENCIK Miles 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% -
8 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
9 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
10 GOLDSON Tyrese 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
11 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
12 BOSS Evan 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 4%
13 KE Sebastian 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
14 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
15 KIM Joshua 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1%
16 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
17 YANG Alex 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% < 1%
18 LINDOW Connor 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
18 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% < 1%
20 GREENMAN Duke 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
21 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
22 CHEN Edward 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
23 LI Grayson 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
24 LI Morgan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 7%
25 LI Timothy 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 5% -
26 MANGAN Hunter 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
27 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
28 FELICIANO Damien 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
29 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
30 GUO Woody 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
31 DINH Nam 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
32 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
33 VRUBEL Eli 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
34 YANG Zeph 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
35 MARTIN Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
36 LEHNER Brian 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
36 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
38 AYOTTE James 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 5% -
39 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
40 HENSLEY Roran 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 10% 1%
41 KERKHOF Peter L. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
42 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
43 HENNESSY Levon 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
44 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
45 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
46 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
47 WANG David 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
48 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
49 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
50 VARNEY Douglas W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
52 TIEMANN Landen 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
53 PIASIO Jack E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
54 CHU Ted 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
55 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
55 SNYDER Alex 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
57 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
58 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
59 GOROZA Eric 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
60 JOBE Connor 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 4%
61 SIM Ian 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
62 PAN Anthony 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
63 ADAMS Tyler 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
64 JEONG Arisu 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
65 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
66 HAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
67 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
68 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
69 GOODMAN Benjamin 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
70 SONG Charlie 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
71 TATE William Isom 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
72 FAN Joshua 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
73 WANG Charles 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
74 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
75 YANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
76 ISAACSON Calev 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
77 SOOS Whitman 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
78 LI Tristan 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
79 MAXU Tiger 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% -
80 CHANEY Charles 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
82 WAID Ian 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
83 PAINTER Noah 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
84 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
85 SHILOV Maxim 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
86 BUACHIE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
86 VINOTH Aaron 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
88 CHEW Aedan 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
89 DELONG Joshua 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
90 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 100% 96% 81% 53% 21% 4%
91 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
91 YOUNG Quentin 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
93 GARBER Robert A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
94 MALLON Scooter 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
95 ZHANG James 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
96 KENT IV David 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
96 HINTON Evan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
96 YI Nathan 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
96 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
101 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
102 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
103 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
104 NUDELMAN Aleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
105 JONES Jackson 100% 99% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
106 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
107 OLSON Kevin 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
108 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
110 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 89% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
110 KIM Ian 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
112 DENISON Declan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
113 LEECH Braedan 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
114 NUNEZ Jorge 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
115 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
116 KIM Jeff 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
117 POHL Philip 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
118 CHARETTE Matt 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
119 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
120 SHOEMAKER Oliver 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
121 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
122 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
123 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
124 PAULSEN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
125 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
126 CHARETTE Alex 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
127 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
128 CHENG Trevor 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
129 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
130 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
131 ZHU Yiming 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
132 NG Nico 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
133 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
134 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
135 WILSON Ian G. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
135 LAWLOR Lee 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
137 WANG Aiden 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
138 DAVIS Jonah 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
138 HSU Joshua 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
140 SAHA Sayan 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
141 CHOI JJ 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
142 GUO Luke 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
143 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
144 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
145 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
146 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
147 RAO Neil 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
148 WANG Marcus 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
149 NIXON Scott 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
150 KIM Zac 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
151 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
151 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
153 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
154 VOO Lucas 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
155 RVACHEV Michael 100% 99% 92% 72% 41% 14% 2%
156 LI Ryan 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
157 GOWDA Suyog 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
158 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
159 CLAYTON Byron 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 7%
159 MUENKE Torben 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
161 SIALA Omar 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
162 WU Jerry 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
163 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
163 ZHOU alex 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
165 BISSEN Quinn 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
166 CUELLAR Markus 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
167 SATHYAN Dev 100% 80% 29% 5% - -
168 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
169 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
169 WHITE Aidan 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
171 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
172 RONG Gordon 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
173 EVANS Joseph 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
174 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
175 KELLEY Hayden 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
176 WOO Lucas 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
177 KIM Teo 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
178 WONG Maximus 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
178 RITTERBUSCH Timothy 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
180 REED David 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
181 EMERSON Zachary 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
182 PAGE Aaron M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
183 AU Joshua 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
184 SHULL Marc 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 10%
185 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
186 JAO Aaron 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
187 HAMILTON Travis 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 3% -
188 RAHMAN Ali 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
189 PATEL Aayan 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
190 CHO Alex 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
191 LITTLE Alex 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
191 KLINKNER Richard 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
193 NOOL Alexander 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
194 DEPAUW Achiel 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
195 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
196 DAVIDSON James 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
197 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
197 ALLEN David 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
199 SENECHAL Alexander 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
199 OSHIMA Robert 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
199 COHEN Nathan 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 13% 2%
199 TAHA Ray 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
203 MALLON Jaxson 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 4%
204 ARZT Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 75% 44% 16% 3%
204 DENG Destin 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
206 PRICE Cory J. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
206 DAVIS Kelly 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
209 MA Ryan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
210 BRUNO Timothy 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
211 SEYMOUR Phoenix 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
212 DOWD Peter L. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
213 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
214 WANG Kaiyan 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
215 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
216 COLE Perrin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
217 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 99% 93% 74% 44% 16% 3%
218 GLUSHKOV David 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
218 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
220 OLSON Joseph 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
221 HUNKER Frederick 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
222 GUILFORD Corey 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
223 DOLLARHITE Tommy 100% 88% 56% 24% 6% 1% -
224 DILDA Griffin 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
224 MCLAREN Mason 100% 99% 90% 55% 17% 2%
226 MAGNUSON Thomas 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
227 PAYNE Gareth 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
227 NILSEN Mark 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
229 MARRAN John 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
230 JANYSKA Allen 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
230 HERDMAN Julian 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
232 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
233 URCIOLI Phenix 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
234 DURKIN Hudson 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
235 CHIZ Max H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
235 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
237 COHEN Joshua 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
238 BOHLER-PARK Henry 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
239 WONG Vansen 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
240 BALDWIN Alexander 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
241 BUTTA Reese 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
242 AGUIRRE Diego 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
243 PAPP Mike 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
243 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 81% 45% 16% 3% - -
243 LEE Henry 100% 91% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
246 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
247 LAWRENCE Brady 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
248 STEVENS Owen 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
249 TENHUNDFELD Jack 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
249 FENG Xinmin 100% 48% 9% 1% - -
251 SAYLER Gordon 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
252 GAO Ryan 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
253 MILLER Hayden 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
254 JERDEE Colton 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
255 VRUBEL Nathan 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
256 KIM Remington 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
256 BATISTA Julian 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
258 JADHAV Tanay 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 3% -
259 MARTELL Antonio 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
260 MARTIN Dirk 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
260 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
260 GOODMAN Craig 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
263 JARRATT Isaac 100% 79% 39% 12% 2% - -
263 VERWORN Jonathan 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
265 LOFTIN Benjamin 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
266 ELLING Jack 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.