Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 1, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Secaucus, NJ - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
5 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
6 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
7 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
8 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 47%
9 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
10 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
11 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 31%
12 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
13 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
14 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
15 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
16 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
17 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
18 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 17%
19 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
20 ZHENG zhe 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 6%
21 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
22 LI Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
23 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
24 LIN Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
25 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 10%
26 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
26 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
28 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 13%
29 LIN James G. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
30 XIAO Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
31 YU Jason 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
32 NICOLL William 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
33 LI Chenglang Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 3%
34 PO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
35 LIU Derek 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
36 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
37 LI Jinghua E. 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11% 1%
38 TANG Albert 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
39 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 100% 93% 63% 16% 1% -
40 HUANG Eythan 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
41 ZHOU Leon 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 16% 1%
42 PARK Joseph 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
43 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 1%
43 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 14% 1%
43 HUA Aiden 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
46 GUO Justin 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% -
47 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
48 CATINO Brennen 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
49 BAO Aaron 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
50 ARICO Trey 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 3%
51 SHAO Eric 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
52 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
53 LIU Ryan 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
54 AROUH Dylan 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 24% 3%
55 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
56 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
57 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
57 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
59 XIANG Derrick 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 21% 2%
60 WANG Winston 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
61 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
62 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
63 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% - -
64 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
65 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
66 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
67 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 98% 77% 34% 6%
68 WANG Jackson 100% 100% 91% 57% 18% 2%
69 SHEN Mingxuan 100% 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
70 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 20% 2%
71 LI Ayren 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
71 JIA Jing Yu 100% 91% 44% 8% 1% - -
73 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
74 SONG Austin 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
75 TANG Alexander L. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
76 CULHANE Dechen 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
77 BOBROW Silas 100% 100% 95% 60% 18% 2%
78 SHIM Peter S. 100% 99% 88% 51% 14% 1%
79 LEWIS Nikhil I. 100% 28% 3% - - -
80 WANG Julang 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
81 LU Guanxun (James) 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
82 JURMAN Therin 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
83 WANG Mason 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
84 TAN Aidan 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3% -
85 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 99% 87% 58% 22% 4% -
86 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1% -
87 XU Ethan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
88 GAO Payton 100% 94% 62% 19% 2% - -
89 CHA James 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
90 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
91 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
92 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10% 1%
93 BANG Ian 100% 42% 6% - - - -
94 SIMON Luke 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
95 HE Yuxiang 100% 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
96 CAO Ray 100% 94% 56% 17% 2% -
97 RAJ Jay 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
98 ZHANG Aaron 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
99 LI Lianhan 100% 97% 67% 25% 4% -
99 PAN Henry 100% 80% 33% 6% - -
101 MALHAM Andrew 100% 85% 21% 2% - -
102 LIEW Jeremy K. 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
103 LIU Jeremiah 100% 85% 40% 7% - - -
104 ZENG Rick 100% 97% 72% 23% 3% - -
105 YE Gavin 100% 14% 1% - - - -
106 XU Ethan 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 6% -
107 XIE Buster 100% 93% 59% 14% 2% - -
108 ONIK Ari N. 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1% -
109 LEE Eugene 100% 85% 35% 5% - - -
110 LOGAN Kai 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
111 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
112 ZHENG LEON 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
113 WONG Jacob W. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
114 SHIN Jiho 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
115 HOSANAGAR Ninad 100% 58% 14% 1% - -
115 CHOI Eugene 100% 18% 1% - - -
117 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
118 ZHANG Teddy 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
118 BELOKON Sammy 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
118 WEI Qian 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
121 WANG Ralph 100% 23% 1% - - -
122 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
123 HOPPING Nolan 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
123 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
125 YANG Hongyu 100% 93% 61% 19% 3% - -
126 ZHANG Lucas 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
126 BANG Sian 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.