February NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUDOVSKYI Borys - - 6% 34% 45% 15%
2 JEON Caleb A. - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
3 LI Bradley - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
3 ROSE Ben - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
5 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
6 KAO Castor T. - - - 1% 9% 39% 52%
7 LIU Derek - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
8 WANG Aaron - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
9 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
10 BAS Liam - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
11 ZOU QINGCHU - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
12 SISINNI Riccardo - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
13 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
14 LU Royce Youshi - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
15 TANG Alexander L. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
16 SHENG Dalton - 3% 20% 43% 27% 7% 1%
17 LIN Youlong - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
18 KNIZHNIK David - - 1% 9% 31% 44% 14%
19 CO Dylan - - - 5% 21% 43% 32%
20 DESHMUKH Arjun - - - 3% 18% 42% 35%
21 CHENG Ethan - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 3%
22 SENIC Lucas - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
23 WONG Adrian - - 1% 13% 38% 37% 11%
24 YAO Bradley - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
25 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
26 LU Yikai - - 7% 37% 43% 13%
27 WU Alexander - - - - 3% 33% 63%
28 LIU Jinning - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
29 KIM Daniel Y. - 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
30 YOON Junhyeok 1% 15% 56% 24% 4% -
31 DOELL Ethan - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
32 CULLIVAN Justice - - 1% 15% 45% 39%
33 MATSAKH Philip - - - 5% 27% 44% 23%
34 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
35 LI Matthew - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
35 PARRISH Evan - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
37 CHEN Matthew - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
38 LIN James G. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
38 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
40 LI Richard Y. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
41 CHOI Ethan - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
42 RASMUSSEN Sage - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
43 LIN Michael - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
44 LO Preston - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
44 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
46 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 4% 22% 45% 28%
47 CHEN Kyle P. - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
48 SIMONOV Timofey 1% 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
49 WONG Garrick G. - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
50 DAI Jonathan T. - - 1% 7% 30% 43% 19%
50 SIU Aiden - - - - 6% 32% 62%
52 YU Jason - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
53 OZAWA Taishi - 6% 34% 38% 18% 4% -
54 LEWIS Akhil - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
55 NGUYEN Martin - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
56 GUTH Joseph - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
57 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
57 LI Samuel - 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
59 MARTIN Darius - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
60 BIELER Mason 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
61 CHEUNG Hank - 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
62 ZHANG Jacob 1% 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
63 TIYA BIAYA K. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 11%
64 WU Alistair 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
65 LI Toby Muhua - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
66 KIM Ryan Y. - - - 3% 22% 55% 19%
67 WU Tong - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
68 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
69 LO Conrad - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
70 CHEN Ethan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
71 LING Eddie - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
72 LU Kevin 1% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
73 XU Andy P. 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
74 CANLAS Nathan - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
75 SUAREZ Adrian 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
76 WU Alber Y. - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
76 LU Andy 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
78 HAYES Stewart - 5% 23% 39% 27% 5%
79 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
80 BLACK Zachary 6% 32% 39% 19% 4% -
81 WUJASTYK Leon - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
82 SONG Noel - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
83 VAABEN Frode - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
84 TAN Aidan - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
85 MORROW Brenden 4% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
86 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
87 WANDJI Noah - 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
88 LEE Brendan - 1% 9% 30% 38% 20% 4%
89 DINSAY Kristjan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
89 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
91 CLARK Benjamin 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
92 QIU Zhaocheng - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
93 CHENG Logan 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
94 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 3% 19% 38% 31% 8%
95 MAZAHERI Fletcher 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 1%
96 LEPAROUX Jean 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
97 SONG Aiden S. - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
98 ZHOU Shawn 21% 42% 29% 7% 1%
99 PLUMMER Waylon 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
100 HUANG Jonathan 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
101 CHEN Hanson - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
102 CHEN Anson 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
103 ROZALSKI Eli - 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
104 LI Aaron 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
105 TANG Albert - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
106 HAN Changhee - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
107 LIM Charlie 2% 30% 41% 22% 5% 1% -
108 LIU Aaron 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 3% -
109 DERRICK Blake - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 7%
110 MCISAAC Finn 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
111 SHANNON Jack 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
112 PARK William 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
113 TANG Owen S. - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
114 QIAN Jason H. 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
115 ZHOU Ryan 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
116 HOWLAND Jonas 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
117 HE Patrick - - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
118 SHAGIDANYAN German - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
118 PARK Sky 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
120 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
121 CHOI Ethan 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2% -
122 ZHONG Maxwell 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
123 ZHOU Chenqiao - 3% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
124 KUE Temujin 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% - -
125 LIPPMAN Sam 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
126 COPELAND Nigel 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% -
127 CHUANG Oscar - 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
128 CHO Jadon Yushin - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
129 YAO Pincheng - 6% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
130 VANOYEN Dominick 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
131 SISINNI Leonardo 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
132 BAI Brian 14% 39% 35% 11% 1%
133 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
134 KIM Daniel 9% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
135 YU William 1% 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
135 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
137 CHANG Jonathan - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
138 ALLEN Henry G. 3% 20% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
139 CHA James 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
140 LI Edison M. - 7% 27% 40% 22% 3% -
141 YI William W. - 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
142 LE Jacob H. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
143 WANG Rory 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
144 LIU Zixian 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
146 ZHANG Aaron - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
147 KETTELLE John 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
148 PECK Quinn 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
149 MARTIRE Luca 29% 57% 13% 1% - -
149 TOOMRE Kai 62% 32% 5% - - -
149 HUA Aaron 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
152 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
153 FOY Grant 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
154 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
155 ZHENG Marcus 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
156 HICKEY Connor 2% 15% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
157 TAGORE Reyansh 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
158 HOLLIS Sean 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
159 LEE Jaden 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
160 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
161 PAN Ethan 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
162 WONG Evan - 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
163 CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor 6% 36% 42% 14% 2% - -
164 HARROCH Faustin 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
165 DALBERG Anders 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
166 SHIN Noah 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
167 TANG August L. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
168 RAUTUREAU Arthur 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
169 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
170 TANG Terry 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
171 BAI Austin 27% 48% 21% 4% - -
172 WANG Michael - 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
173 LIU Ethan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
174 ZHAO Nathan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
175 CHO Xzander 15% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
176 SFINTESCU Alex 24% 47% 24% 5% - - -
176 ZHAO Ryan 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
176 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
179 RAJ Jay - 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
179 LEE Jayden J. 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
181 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
182 GHEDINI Luca 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
183 METZ Mason 5% 34% 44% 16% 2% - -
184 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
185 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
185 SUMIN Yang 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
188 HUANG Eythan 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
189 JIMENEZ Naveen 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
190 YEVDAYEV Tamir 25% 56% 17% 2% - - -
190 WENGER Liam 89% 11% - - - - -
192 WONG Jacob W. 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
193 AKYAMAC Bora < 1% 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
194 CHOI Benjamin 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
195 JIANG Owen < 1% 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
196 ORLOV Dmitriy 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
197 NOFZIGER Bennett 6% 31% 39% 20% 4% - -
197 BAKSHI Aman 50% 38% 11% 1% - -
199 ZHAO Brian 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
200 GAO Andrew 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
201 FAN Sean 58% 38% 4% - - - -
202 XIE Buster 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
203 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
203 NEWMAN Noah 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
205 ZAIDI Adil 36% 46% 16% 2% - -
206 BARRETT Austin 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
206 DUNLAP Ian 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
206 HOWARD Fox 86% 13% 1% - - - -
206 YOU Martin 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
210 HARKINS Asher 56% 40% 4% - - -
211 DEPP Edward 88% 12% 1% - - - -
212 GODIN Willis 68% 28% 4% - - - -
213 HOWARD Mekai 100% - - - - - -
214 DENG Albert 98% 2% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.