February NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 100% 100% 94% 60% 15%
2 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
3 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
5 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
6 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
7 LIU Derek 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
8 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18%
9 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
10 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
11 ZOU QINGCHU 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
12 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
13 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
14 LU Royce Youshi 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
15 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 2%
16 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 7% 1%
17 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
18 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 14%
19 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
20 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
21 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
22 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
23 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
24 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
25 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
26 LU Yikai 100% 100% 100% 93% 55% 13%
27 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 63%
28 LIU Jinning 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
29 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
30 YOON Junhyeok 100% 99% 84% 28% 4% -
31 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
32 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
33 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
34 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
35 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
35 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
37 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
38 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
38 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
40 LI Richard Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
41 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
42 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
43 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
44 LO Preston 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
44 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
46 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
47 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
48 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 99% 93% 65% 26% 4%
49 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
50 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
50 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
52 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
53 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% -
54 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
55 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
56 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 4%
57 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
57 LI Samuel 100% 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
59 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
60 BIELER Mason 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
61 CHEUNG Hank 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
62 ZHANG Jacob 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
63 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
64 WU Alistair 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
65 LI Toby Muhua 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
66 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 19%
67 WU Tong 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
68 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
69 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
70 CHEN Ethan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
71 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
72 LU Kevin 100% 99% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
73 XU Andy P. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
74 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
75 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
76 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
76 LU Andy 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
78 HAYES Stewart 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 5%
79 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
80 BLACK Zachary 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% -
81 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
82 SONG Noel 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
83 VAABEN Frode 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
84 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
85 MORROW Brenden 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% -
86 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
87 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
88 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4%
89 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
89 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
91 CLARK Benjamin 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
92 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
93 CHENG Logan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
94 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 8%
95 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
96 LEPAROUX Jean 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
97 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
98 ZHOU Shawn 100% 79% 37% 8% 1%
99 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
100 HUANG Jonathan 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
101 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
102 CHEN Anson 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
103 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
104 LI Aaron 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
105 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
106 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
107 LIM Charlie 100% 98% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
108 LIU Aaron 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
109 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
110 MCISAAC Finn 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
111 SHANNON Jack 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
112 PARK William 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
113 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
114 QIAN Jason H. 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
115 ZHOU Ryan 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
116 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
117 HE Patrick 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
118 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
118 PARK Sky 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
120 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
121 CHOI Ethan 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2% -
122 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
123 ZHOU Chenqiao 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
124 KUE Temujin 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
125 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
126 COPELAND Nigel 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
127 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
128 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
129 YAO Pincheng 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
130 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
131 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
132 BAI Brian 100% 86% 47% 13% 1%
133 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
134 KIM Daniel 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
135 YU William 100% 99% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
135 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
137 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
138 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
139 CHA James 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
140 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 92% 65% 26% 3% -
141 YI William W. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
142 LE Jacob H. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
143 WANG Rory 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
144 LIU Zixian 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
146 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
147 KETTELLE John 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
148 PECK Quinn 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
149 MARTIRE Luca 100% 71% 14% 1% - -
149 TOOMRE Kai 100% 38% 6% - - -
149 HUA Aaron 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
152 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
153 FOY Grant 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
154 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
155 ZHENG Marcus 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
156 HICKEY Connor 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
157 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
158 HOLLIS Sean 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
159 LEE Jaden 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
160 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
161 PAN Ethan 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
162 WONG Evan 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
163 CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor 100% 94% 58% 16% 2% - -
164 HARROCH Faustin 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
165 DALBERG Anders 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
166 SHIN Noah 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
167 TANG August L. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
168 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
169 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 87% 50% 14% 1%
170 TANG Terry 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
171 BAI Austin 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
172 WANG Michael 100% 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
173 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
174 ZHAO Nathan 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
175 CHO Xzander 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
176 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 76% 29% 5% - - -
176 ZHAO Ryan 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
176 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
179 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
179 LEE Jayden J. 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
181 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
182 GHEDINI Luca 100% 99% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
183 METZ Mason 100% 95% 62% 18% 2% - -
184 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
185 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
185 SUMIN Yang 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
188 HUANG Eythan 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
189 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
190 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 75% 19% 2% - - -
190 WENGER Liam 100% 11% 1% - - - -
192 WONG Jacob W. 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
193 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
194 CHOI Benjamin 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
195 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
196 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
197 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% - -
197 BAKSHI Aman 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
199 ZHAO Brian 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
200 GAO Andrew 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
201 FAN Sean 100% 42% 5% - - - -
202 XIE Buster 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
203 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
203 NEWMAN Noah 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
205 ZAIDI Adil 100% 64% 18% 2% - -
206 BARRETT Austin 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
206 DUNLAP Ian 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
206 HOWARD Fox 100% 14% 1% - - - -
206 YOU Martin 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
210 HARKINS Asher 100% 44% 4% - - -
211 DEPP Edward 100% 12% 1% - - - -
212 GODIN Willis 100% 32% 4% - - - -
213 HOWARD Mekai 100% - - - - - -
214 DENG Albert 100% 2% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.