Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, April 24, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMMER Chase T. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
2 BOURTIS James S. - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. - 1% 6% 26% 48% 20%
3 CHEN Hanson - 5% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
5 BRUK Peter J. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
6 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
7 LI Richard Y. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
8 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
9 LEE Jacob J - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
10 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
11 ROSE Ben - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
12 TIYA BIAYA K. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
13 MAZAHERI Fletcher 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
14 GRIFFITH JACK - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
15 DESHMUKH Arjun 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
16 CHEN Kyle P. - 2% 10% 27% 37% 22% 3%
17 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
18 KAO Castor T. - - - 6% 29% 48% 17%
19 BURKE Spencer W. - - 2% 12% 36% 42% 8%
20 CO Dylan - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
21 BAS Liam - - 2% 13% 38% 38% 9%
22 TAN Aidan - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
23 SISINNI Riccardo - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
24 CANLAS Nathan - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
25 LING Eddie 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
26 LOUIE Bryce - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
27 WANG Aaron - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 3%
28 RASMUSSEN Sage - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
29 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
30 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
31 WU Alber Y. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
32 QIAN Jason H. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
33 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 2% 17% 62% 20%
34 DINSAY Kristjan - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
35 SIU Aiden - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
36 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
37 MATSAKH Philip - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
38 ZHANG Aaron 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
39 YANG Luao - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
40 LI Bradley - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
41 GHEDINI Luca 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
42 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 5% 23% 45% 24% 3%
43 YI William W. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
44 WANDJI Noah 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
45 RAUTUREAU Hugo - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
46 CHOI Ethan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
47 CHENG Ethan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
48 KUMBLA Samarth - - - 2% 29% 69%
49 LIU Derek 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
50 KIM Nicholas W. - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
51 OURSLER Jack - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
52 HUTH Jacob - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
52 FUKUDA Diego 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
54 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
55 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
56 BAILEY William F. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
57 CHENG Logan 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
58 STANLEY Mason B. - 2% 11% 33% 41% 14%
58 TANG Alexander L. 4% 21% 42% 30% 4% -
60 JIMENEZ Naveen 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
61 TANG Owen S. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
62 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
63 CHO Jadon Yushin 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
64 CHEN Ethan 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
65 SENIC Lucas - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
66 LIN James G. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
67 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 21%
68 ONIK Elijah T. - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
69 HUTH Mitchell - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
70 ZOBEL Eric H. - 5% 24% 41% 24% 5% -
71 PARRISH Evan 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
72 RAJ Jay 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
73 JIANG Owen 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4% -
74 YU Vinni - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
75 OH SEAN 3% 19% 42% 29% 7% 1% -
76 PARK Rion 11% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
77 WANG Rory 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
78 WOO Christian - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
79 LEE Christopher T. 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% 1% -
80 DERRICK Blake 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
81 SHENG Dalton 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
82 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
83 LEWIS Akhil - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
84 SINGH Dayaal - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
85 MITBERG Gregory W. - - 5% 23% 42% 26% 4%
86 LEE Brendan 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
87 SONG Noel 5% 25% 39% 25% 5% -
88 CHANG Jonathan 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
89 ZHOU Shawn 12% 37% 37% 13% 1% -
90 AKYAMAC Bora 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
91 SUAREZ Adrian 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
92 RAUTUREAU Arthur 15% 40% 35% 10% 1% -
93 LO Preston 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
94 ZHENG Marcus 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
95 LI Aaron 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
96 KIM Ryan Y. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
96 SIMONOV Timofey 1% 7% 26% 37% 22% 6% -
98 OZAWA Taishi 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
99 NGUYEN Martin 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
100 BIELER Mason 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
101 MCKEE Calvin 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
102 WONG Garrick G. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% 1%
102 TOEWS Jackson 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
104 GUTH Joseph 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
105 DOELL Ethan 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
106 CHEN Raymond - - 4% 19% 41% 31% 4%
107 HOWLAND Jonas 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
107 HART-SYED declan 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
109 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
110 YAO Pincheng 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
111 MARTIN Darius 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
112 YAO Bradley 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
113 CHOI Benjamin 20% 42% 30% 8% - -
114 LIM Charlie 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
114 YOON Junhyeok 4% 20% 39% 29% 7% 1% -
116 ROZALSKI Eli 4% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
117 LEWIS Paul D. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
118 GE Felix Fei 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
118 CHA James 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
120 HARROCH Faustin 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
121 YANG Charles 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
121 LU Kevin 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
123 CLARK Benjamin 26% 47% 23% 4% - - -
124 LEE Aidan 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
125 SHANNON Jack 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
126 FANG Haoyu 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
127 LIN Michael < 1% 1% 8% 27% 41% 21% 2%
128 CHUANG Oscar 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
129 XU Andy P. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
129 CHOI Ethan 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
129 SHIN Noah 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
132 HUA Aaron 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
133 SISINNI Leonardo 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
134 HOU Gaven 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
135 MORROW Brenden 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.