Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, April 24, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
2 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 20%
3 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
5 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
6 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 LI Richard Y. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
8 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
9 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
10 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
11 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
12 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
13 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
14 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
15 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
16 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
17 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
18 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 17%
19 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 8%
20 CO Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
21 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
22 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
23 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
24 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
25 LING Eddie 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 2%
26 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
27 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 3%
28 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
29 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
30 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
31 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
32 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
33 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 20%
34 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
35 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
36 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
37 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
38 ZHANG Aaron 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
39 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
40 LI Bradley 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
41 GHEDINI Luca 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
42 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27% 3%
43 YI William W. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
44 WANDJI Noah 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
45 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
46 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
47 CHENG Ethan 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
48 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 69%
49 LIU Derek 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
50 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
51 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
52 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
52 FUKUDA Diego 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
54 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
55 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
56 BAILEY William F. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
57 CHENG Logan 100% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
58 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
58 TANG Alexander L. 100% 96% 76% 34% 4% -
60 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 77% 38% 10% 2% - -
61 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 18% 2%
62 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
63 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
64 CHEN Ethan 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
65 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
66 LIN James G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
67 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
68 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
69 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
70 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 6% -
71 PARRISH Evan 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
72 RAJ Jay 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
73 JIANG Owen 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
74 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
75 OH SEAN 100% 97% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
76 PARK Rion 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
77 WANG Rory 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
78 WOO Christian 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
79 LEE Christopher T. 100% 96% 75% 36% 7% 1% -
80 DERRICK Blake 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
81 SHENG Dalton 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
82 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
83 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
84 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
85 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
86 LEE Brendan 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
87 SONG Noel 100% 95% 70% 31% 5% -
88 CHANG Jonathan 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
89 ZHOU Shawn 100% 88% 51% 14% 1% -
90 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
91 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
92 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 85% 46% 11% 1% -
93 LO Preston 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
94 ZHENG Marcus 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
95 LI Aaron 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
96 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
96 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
98 OZAWA Taishi 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
99 NGUYEN Martin 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
100 BIELER Mason 100% 86% 48% 13% 2% - -
101 MCKEE Calvin 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
102 WONG Garrick G. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% 1%
102 TOEWS Jackson 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
104 GUTH Joseph 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
105 DOELL Ethan 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
106 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 4%
107 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
107 HART-SYED declan 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
109 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
110 YAO Pincheng 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
111 MARTIN Darius 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
112 YAO Bradley 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% -
113 CHOI Benjamin 100% 80% 38% 8% - -
114 LIM Charlie 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
114 YOON Junhyeok 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1% -
116 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
117 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
118 GE Felix Fei 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
118 CHA James 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
120 HARROCH Faustin 100% 65% 23% 5% 1% - -
121 YANG Charles 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
121 LU Kevin 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
123 CLARK Benjamin 100% 74% 27% 4% - - -
124 LEE Aidan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
125 SHANNON Jack 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
126 FANG Haoyu 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
127 LIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23% 2%
128 CHUANG Oscar 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
129 XU Andy P. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
129 CHOI Ethan 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
129 SHIN Noah 100% 67% 20% 3% - - -
132 HUA Aaron 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
133 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 79% 38% 10% 2% - -
134 HOU Gaven 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
135 MORROW Brenden 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.