Fairfax Challenge Spring RJCC/RYC Reg Opens 12/1

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 27, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 97% 74% 27%
2 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 96% 72% 25%
3 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
3 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 99% 88% 46% 9%
5 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 13%
6 TRIMMER Colin 100% 97% 74% 33% 6%
7 JIN Owen 100% 100% 89% 52% 12%
8 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
9 LEE Shwan 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
10 CHEN Eric 100% 99% 72% 27% 4%
11 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 99% 89% 54% 11%
12 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
13 JAMES Samuel 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
14 YOON Nathan 100% 100% 92% 64% 22%
15 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 100% 93% 64% 20%
16 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 98% 71% 27% 4%
17 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 91% 58% 19% 2%
18 TAE William G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
19 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 96% 71% 26%
20 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
21 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
22 SHIV Rishi 100% 93% 58% 19% 2%
23 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
24 WANG Tristan 100% 99% 85% 37% 7% -
25 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 99% 83% 43% 9%
26 LEE Kennith 100% 86% 32% 5% -
27 PARK Vincent 100% 74% 31% 6% -
28 KIM Dylan J. 100% 88% 48% 12% 1%
29 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 93% 64% 24% 4%
30 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
31 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 81% 26% 3% - -
32 KING Cameron 100% 99% 78% 34% 5%
33 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 96% 60% 19% 2%
34 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 100% 91% 54% 13%
35 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
36 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
37 JUNG Minche 100% 99% 74% 29% 4%
38 CLICK Aiden 100% 99% 82% 40% 8%
39 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 100% 99% 85% 43%
40 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 89% 51% 11%
41 VALES Keyan 100% 81% 34% 6% -
42 STEVENS Daniel 100% 88% 51% 15% 2%
43 HORTELANO Ethan 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
44 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
45 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
46 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 43% 9% 1% -
46 HERMANSON David B. 100% 94% 64% 21% 2%
48 NOMANI Shibli D. 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
49 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
50 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 97% 75% 27%
51 FU Ethan 100% 59% 15% 2% -
52 GOLDER Will W. 100% 96% 73% 28% 4%
53 ZHANG Caden 100% 12% 1% - -
54 USDIN Anton 100% 91% 47% 12% 2% -
55 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
56 SINGH Aryaman 100% 58% 16% 2% -
57 CHOI Marcus 100% 33% 3% - -
57 ZHANG Richard 100% 43% 8% 1% -
59 LAM Bill 100% 23% 2% - -
60 ZHANG Andy 100% 14% 1% - -
61 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 83% 35% 7% 1% -
62 LEE JoonWon 100% 37% 3% - - -
62 WANG Trontour 100% 35% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.