Richard F Oles Memorial Charm City Classic ROC (D1A) & RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 8:00 AM

University of Maryland Retriever Activity Center (RAC) - Catonsville, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 DOSS David A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
3 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
5 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
6 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
7 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
8 SCHWARTZ Elliott 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
9 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
10 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
11 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
12 WILCOX Alexander 100% 96% 77% 42% 15% 3% -
13 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 15%
14 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
15 CAO Albert 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
16 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
17 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
18 WRIGHT Ezra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
19 DICKENS Robert W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
20 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
21 CAO Brad 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
22 SAFKO Jeffrey A. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
23 ANDREWS Iain 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
24 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 18%
25 DUAN eric 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
26 ZHANG Richard 100% 53% 10% 1% < 1% - -
27 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
28 KING Cameron 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
29 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
30 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
31 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
32 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
33 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 7%
34 GRUPP Tristan E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
35 WU Byron 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
36 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
37 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
38 USDIN Anton 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
39 HANSEN Lars 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
40 WANG Clayton 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
41 DUDLEY Logan M. 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
42 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5% -
43 LAM Bill 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
44 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
45 WANG Trontour 100% 34% 5% - - -
46 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 98% 78% 35% 6% -
47 WANG Tristan 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
48 CHEN Wesley 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 12% 1%
49 JONES Tyler 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
50 GUIMIOT Henri 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
51 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 3%
52 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
53 PAN Colin 100% 99% 90% 52% 15% 2% -
54 LIN Harrison 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
55 CHEN Chang-Rung 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
56 WOLFE Alex 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
57 BYUN Andrew 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
57 MARSH Alex 100% 42% 6% - - - -
59 JANG Elliot 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
60 SINGH Aryaman 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
61 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
62 WATERFIELD Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
63 MILLER Kurt 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
64 LEE Joonwon 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
65 HERMAN Nathan 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
66 SIMS Martin L. 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
67 EHRGOTT Christian 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
68 FINCH Parker 100% 91% 52% 6% - - -
69 FLORES Jonathan 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.