Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
2 CHEN Eric - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
3 LEE Shwan - - 4% 18% 39% 31% 8%
3 SU Caleb - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
5 STEVENS Daniel - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
6 DUAN eric 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
7 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
8 PARK Ian C. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
9 KIM Ethan J. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
10 WOZNIAK Ignacy - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
11 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
12 CHAWLA Armaan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
13 TREBON Hayden - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
14 KING Cameron - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
15 MURPHY Thomas P. 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
16 KROPP Jack - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
17 HENSAL Nicolas A. - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
18 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
19 CAO Brad - 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
20 SHIV Rishi - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
21 LEE Samuel Y. - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
22 KIM Dylan J. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
23 JOSEPH William - 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%
24 O'CONNOR Riley 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
25 VALES Keyan 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% -
26 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
27 WOLFE Alex 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
28 LEONE III Charles D. - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 20%
29 VACCARO Dominick J. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
30 LEE JoonWon 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
31 KIM Ryan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
32 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
33 PARK Vincent 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
34 JANG Elliot - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
35 CAO Albert 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
36 NORTH Alexander M. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
37 CLICK Aiden - - - 3% 20% 44% 33%
38 KWOUN Miles S. 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% - -
39 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
40 WANG Trontour 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
41 MODULLA Yathin 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
42 JORDAN Anton 1% 6% 24% 39% 24% 6% -
43 ZHANG Andy 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
44 ZHANG Caden 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
44 DAVIS Jonah 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
46 BERNARD Jack B. 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
47 MILLER Kurt 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
48 MING Isaac 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
49 JUNG Minche 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
50 CRANE Matthew T. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
50 LAM Bill 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
52 JONES Tyler 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
53 POIST Wylie 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
54 LIN Harrison 18% 43% 29% 9% 1% - -
55 SINFUEGO Adrian 21% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
56 ILYAS Zakariya 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
57 FU Ethan 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
58 SLOUGH Sean < 1% 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
59 BANNEN Nicholas 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
60 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 37% 44% 16% 3% - - -
61 COREY Colin 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.