Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
2 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
3 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
3 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
5 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 18%
6 DUAN eric 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
7 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
8 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
9 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
11 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
12 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
13 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
14 KING Cameron 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
15 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
16 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
17 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
18 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
19 CAO Brad 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
20 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
21 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
22 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
23 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
24 O'CONNOR Riley 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
25 VALES Keyan 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% -
26 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
27 WOLFE Alex 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
28 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
29 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
30 LEE JoonWon 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
31 KIM Ryan 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
32 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
33 PARK Vincent 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
34 JANG Elliot 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
35 CAO Albert 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
36 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
37 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
38 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 92% 59% 21% 3% - -
39 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
40 WANG Trontour 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% - -
41 MODULLA Yathin 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
42 JORDAN Anton 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 6% -
43 ZHANG Andy 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
44 ZHANG Caden 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -
44 DAVIS Jonah 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
46 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
47 MILLER Kurt 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
48 MING Isaac 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
49 JUNG Minche 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
50 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
50 LAM Bill 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
52 JONES Tyler 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
53 POIST Wylie 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
54 LIN Harrison 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
55 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
56 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
57 FU Ethan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
58 SLOUGH Sean 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
59 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
60 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
61 COREY Colin 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.