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Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, June 18, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
2 PARK Ian C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
3 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
3 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 98% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
5 WU Joseph 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
7 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
8 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
9 MORSE Tyler 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
10 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12%
11 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
12 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
13 SHIV Rishi 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
14 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
15 BEACH Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
16 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
17 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
18 FULMER Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
19 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
20 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
21 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
22 CLICK Aiden 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
23 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
24 PARK Brian 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
25 STEVENS Daniel 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
26 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
27 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11%
28 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
29 HE Lawrence 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
30 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
31 TREBON Hayden 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% -
32 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 97% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
33 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
34 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3%
35 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
36 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
37 LIU John 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
38 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
39 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
40 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
41 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
42 HORTELANO Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
43 LEE Shwan 100% 99% 93% 65% 26% 4%
44 GAO Daniel 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
45 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
46 GOLDER Will W. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
47 BOWIE George W. 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
48 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
49 PARK Vincent 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2% -
50 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
51 VALES Keyan 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
52 PICCUS Isaac S. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
53 PARNAS Ely 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
54 JUNG Minche 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
55 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
56 WU Jonathan 100% 77% 30% 6% - -
57 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
58 PARK Frederick 100% 98% 74% 33% 7% 1% -
59 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
60 JACKSON James 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
61 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
62 LEE JoonWon 100% 34% 5% - - - -
63 ANDERSON Donald 100% 18% 1% - - - -
64 MILLER Kurt 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.