Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, June 18, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
2 PARK Ian C. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
3 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
3 SCHULZE Ethan 2% 28% 39% 23% 7% 1% -
5 WU Joseph - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
6 WIMMER Chandler M. - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27%
7 IVAKIMOV Vasil - 1% 7% 27% 42% 21% 3%
8 JEYOON Ryan S. 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
9 MORSE Tyler 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
10 RHYU Kozmo - - 4% 18% 34% 32% 12%
11 CHONG christopher - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
12 LEE Daniel Y. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
13 SHIV Rishi 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
14 JIN Owen - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
15 BEACH Nicholas - 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
16 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
17 WOZNIAK Ignacy - 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
18 FULMER Andrew J. - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 9%
19 CRANE Matthew T. 2% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
20 MUNLIN Donovan - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
21 O'HARA Keegan J. - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
22 CLICK Aiden 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
23 KROPP Jack - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
24 PARK Brian 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% -
25 STEVENS Daniel 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
26 DOLMETSCH Max - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
27 SPIER Julian H. - - 1% 11% 35% 42% 11%
28 JIN Alexander - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
29 HE Lawrence 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
30 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
31 TREBON Hayden 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% -
32 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 3% 25% 38% 24% 8% 1% -
33 LEE Timothy S. - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
34 TAMULONIS Fen C. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
35 STOTT Donovan R. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
36 BORODITSKY Ethan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
37 LIU John 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
38 HUGHES Michael D. 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
39 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
40 TIRRELL Justin J. - 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
41 JOSEPH William - 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
42 HORTELANO Ethan - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
43 LEE Shwan 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
44 GAO Daniel 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
45 CHAWLA Armaan 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
46 GOLDER Will W. 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
47 BOWIE George W. 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
48 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
49 PARK Vincent 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 2% -
50 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
51 VALES Keyan 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
52 PICCUS Isaac S. 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
53 PARNAS Ely 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
54 JUNG Minche 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
55 COETZEE Frans M. 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
56 WU Jonathan 23% 47% 24% 5% - -
57 PARCELEWICZ John M. 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
58 PARK Frederick 2% 23% 41% 26% 6% 1% -
59 DIVERIS Joseph 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
60 JACKSON James 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% -
61 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 14% 42% 32% 10% 2% - -
62 LEE JoonWon 66% 29% 5% - - - -
63 ANDERSON Donald 82% 17% 1% - - - -
64 MILLER Kurt 73% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.