USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Men's Foil

Thursday, July 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 65%
2 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
3 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
5 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
6 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
7 BING Charles 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
8 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
9 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
10 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
11 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
12 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
13 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
14 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
15 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
16 LOVIN Vlad 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
17 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
18 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
19 BALL James T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
20 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
21 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 99% 91% 57% 12%
22 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
22 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
24 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
25 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
26 HAN Lawrence 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1%
27 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
28 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 86% 40% 8% -
29 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
30 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
31 FULTON Richard A. 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
32 LEE Jacob 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
33 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12%
34 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
35 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
36 HONDA Kazu Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
36 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
38 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
39 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
40 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
41 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
42 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
43 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
44 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
45 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
46 SONG Bryan 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
47 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
48 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 3%
49 KUO Evan 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
50 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
51 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
52 KNIZHNIK David 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
53 LIN Michael 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
54 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
54 LI Matthew 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
56 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
57 GAO William 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
58 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 92% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
59 PAI Dong-Ying 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
60 DIERKS Kian 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
61 KEE Andrew L. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
62 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
63 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
64 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
65 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
66 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
67 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
68 NAGER Noah 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
69 MICKELSON Jacob P. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
70 LI Eric 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 1%
71 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 30%
72 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
73 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
74 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
75 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
76 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
77 DETERING Julian 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
77 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
79 GONG Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
80 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
81 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
81 CANLAS Nathan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
83 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
84 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
85 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
86 UPTON Craig 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
87 KHER Roan 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
88 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
89 HSIUNG Richie 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
90 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
91 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
92 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
93 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
94 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 65% 23% 5% - -
95 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
96 WOO Christian 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 1%
96 ZHENG Zhe 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
98 MYERS Dean 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
99 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
100 JI Aidan Y. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
100 LEE Jonah 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% - -
102 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
103 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
104 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
105 STRAYER Andrew 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
106 WANG Michael 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
106 REYES Omar 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 4% -
108 KIM Derek A. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
109 LI Jett 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
110 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
111 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
112 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
113 WANG Eric J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
114 LI Samuel 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
115 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 96% 68% 23% 2%
116 TAN Christien 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
117 JAUME Andrei 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1%
118 FINLEY Dylan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
119 LI Avery Peihong 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
120 WONG Garrick G. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
121 WANG Winston 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
122 BERK Theodore 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
123 CHENG Nathan 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 6% -
124 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
125 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
126 LUH Ethan K. 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
126 TALASILA Arush 100% 28% 3% - - - -
128 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
128 SONG Austin 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
130 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
131 SMITH Erick 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
132 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
133 ZENG Michael L. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
133 GATZA Logan 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
135 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
136 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
137 LISONDRA Niko 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
138 WILKINS Mateo 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
139 TEH Ryan 100% 52% 12% 1% -
140 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
141 BERNABE Rafael 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
142 MIN Eric 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
142 LIN James G. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
144 HUANG Eythan 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
145 TSAO Lukas 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
146 POPE Alexander 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.