January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, January 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASSIALAS Alexander C. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
3 BRAVO Kenji U. - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
3 EMMER Chase T. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
5 LOUIE Bryce - - - 6% 25% 43% 26%
6 MACHOVEC Andrew C. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
7 DOLZHENKO Bogdan - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
8 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
9 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
10 LO Conrad - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
11 KAO Castor T. 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
12 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - 1% 13% 50% 35%
13 ZHANG Daniel D. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
14 KUCEBA Vitalijs - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
15 NDIAYE Edriss G. - 1% 8% 31% 42% 19%
16 UM Ethan A. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23% 2%
17 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - 1% 18% 81%
18 BOURTIS James S. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
19 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 3% 27% 70%
20 CHEN Andrew 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
21 LI Brandon H. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
22 HASSAN Mohamed H. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
23 MATHIEU Adam - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
24 JEON Caleb A. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
25 DESERANNO Jeidus - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
26 CHEN Earnest P. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
27 CHEN Ziyuan - 1% 9% 32% 38% 17% 3%
28 LI Raphael C. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 2%
29 DANIEL Ashton - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
30 SINGH Dayaal 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
31 HOOSHI Jayden C. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
32 LEVY Cameron - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
33 LEVIN Nestor R. - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
34 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
35 BROSZUS Blake J. - - - 3% 23% 53% 21%
35 NAGIMOV Marsel - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
37 YU Eric W. - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
38 XIAO Ethan J. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
39 LI Richard - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
40 MORAIS Paulo - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
41 CHEN Allen - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
42 KUMBLA Samarth - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
43 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 3% 14% 39% 43%
44 KO Brian J. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
45 LEE Benjamin H. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
46 LEVY Jasper - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
47 ZHAO Jason L. 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
48 ZHANG Andy W. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
49 SHIN Philip D. - 1% 7% 29% 42% 20%
50 KIM Nicholas W. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
51 HUTH Jacob 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
52 GOOR Julian 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
53 SHIH Benjamin - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 5%
54 YANG Luao - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
55 MITBERG Gregory W. - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
55 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
57 ONIK Elijah T. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
58 PRILUTSKY David B. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
59 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
60 WU Alexander 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
61 ZHENG Andrew R. - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 9%
62 CHUNG Andrew N. - 1% 8% 36% 55%
63 JAIN Aditya 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
64 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
65 CHEN James P. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
66 STANLEY Mason B. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
67 WELCH Kyle J. 1% 13% 38% 38% 8%
68 BRUK Peter J. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
69 KELLY William J. - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
70 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
71 TANG Owen S. 34% 42% 19% 4% - < 1% -
72 ZENG Lucas H. - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
73 VOGLER Justin K. - 2% 17% 39% 33% 9%
74 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 8% 34% 40% 16% 2%
75 GRIFFIN John O. - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
76 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
77 THAYER Jake T. 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
78 FUKUDA Alessio R. 1% 9% 32% 42% 15% 2% -
79 KASI Sanjay - - 4% 23% 47% 22% 3%
80 CHENG Matthew S. 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
81 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - 1% 13% 48% 38%
81 CHIN Julian S. - 6% 23% 39% 27% 5% -
83 GIRALDO Pablo E. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
83 JANG Jaewon - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
85 IVERSON Shane D. - - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
85 YEROKHIN Michael N. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
87 YANG Andy H. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
88 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
89 MITCHELL Philip D. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
90 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
91 SHIH William 1% 13% 39% 34% 11% 1%
92 SONG Leonardo T. 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
93 DAI Jonathan T. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
94 PELOSKY Zack B. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
95 SONG Aiden S. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
96 XIAO EDWARD 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
96 AHN Jun 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
98 PRINCE Nicholas J. 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% -
99 WONG Adam L. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
100 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
100 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
102 YEE Maxwell J. - - - 4% 18% 43% 35%
103 RANADIVE Rishi R. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
103 BANERJEE ANUP 4% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
105 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
105 PARK Luke J. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
107 ANDREWS Nathan J. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
108 KLOSTERMANN Max - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
109 BURKE Spencer W. - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
110 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 2% 13% 31% 35% 15% 2%
111 KATAYAMA Kevin - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
112 PETER Griffin 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
112 TAN Christien 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
114 GRIFFITH JACK 1% 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
115 KIM Brandon J. 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8% -
116 OURSLER Jack 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
117 YI Stephen K. 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
118 LIU Justin - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
119 TULYAG Fyze A. - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
120 LIN Richard W. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
121 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
122 YU Anders 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
123 DEGROOT Blake 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
124 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - < 1% 2% 12% 38% 47%
124 OH Samuel H. 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
126 BERMENDER Cameron 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
127 DOBBINS Evan W. 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
127 RUSADZE Nickolas 5% 28% 44% 20% 4% - -
129 ZILINSKIY Eduard 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
130 ZHENG Alan H. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
131 LAURICELLA Douglas 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
132 LUTAR Lucas N. - 1% 9% 27% 40% 21% 1%
133 BAS Liam 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
134 ROSOWSKY Ahmed - - - 5% 25% 48% 21%
135 GODZHIK Zachary 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
136 DANKAR Neel 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
137 BING Charles 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
138 KWON Ethan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
139 YU Vinni - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
139 HUTH Mitchell - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
141 PYO Michael M. 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
142 ZHAI Jeffrey 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
143 HAY Gavin - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
143 KORABLIN Anton - 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
145 BAE Kevin 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
145 DORAN Wesley C. 2% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
147 TSANG Matthew K. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
148 GRANT Lachlan K. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
149 LIU Niles J. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
150 TSAY Jeremy M. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
151 LAO Scott E. 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
152 BALL James T. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
153 ROJAS Jorge 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
154 WU Nicholas 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
155 KIM Isaiah G. 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
156 MAURER Ned (John) E. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
157 EVANS Cameron R. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 3%
158 GRAHAM Roy J. 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
159 REALS Alden D. 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
159 HOBSON Aaron K. 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
161 GEE Brandon 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
161 NAGER Noah 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
163 MILLER Jeffrey E. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
164 FOGELSON Frederick J. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
165 SOTO Ulises G - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
166 LEVY Jacob M. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
167 OTAKE Jared K. 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
168 WU Alexander 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
169 JI Aidan Y. 14% 40% 35% 11% 1% - -
170 PRASANNA Advaith 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
171 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
172 FULTON Richard A. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
173 MURUHIN Yaroslav 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
173 SHA Yi Peng 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
173 HSIUNG Richie 34% 45% 18% 2% - - -
176 GOBBO Alexander 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
177 HO Ryan J. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
178 DESAI Nalin H. 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
179 SIU Aiden 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
180 SUNG Chang-Han S. 40% 43% 15% 2% -
181 DIERKS Kian 11% 47% 33% 8% 1% -
182 BUERGIN Aidan 39% 41% 16% 3% - -
183 KIM Yonjae 5% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
184 KAISER Hans Z. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
185 NGUYEN Nish 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
186 CHAN Matthew 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
187 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
188 LEE Jacob J 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
189 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
190 DESANDO Michael R. 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
191 LEE Aidan 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
192 LE Vyn A. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
193 LIN Michael 26% 48% 22% 4% - - -
194 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
194 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
194 WOO Christian 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
197 DAVIS Christopher M. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
197 KIM Ryan Y. 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
199 LU Yikai 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
200 LI Owen 3% 15% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
201 HO Jia Le Sean 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
202 BAE Junnie 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
203 ADAMS Luke C. 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
203 CHENG Nathan 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
205 SEZER Kaya 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
206 ZHANG Luke T. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
207 MORALES Ian N. 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% - -
208 MIN Eric 8% 32% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
209 DESOLA Aidan J. 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
210 SHAFAIE Ali 8% 34% 40% 16% 2%
211 GONG Benjamin 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
212 GOGOI Vir K. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
212 DAUM Charlie 38% 45% 15% 2% - - -
214 KIM Aaron J. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
215 MURRAY Maximo 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
215 LUH Ethan K. 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
217 GAO William 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
218 KUZMAK Michael J. 65% 31% 4% - - -
219 SCHWIEBERT Michael F. 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
219 KUO Evan 29% 44% 22% 4% - - -
219 WYMAN Julian 32% 42% 20% 4% - - -
222 JAUME Andrei 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
222 LI Matthew 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
224 XIAO Anthony 23% 47% 25% 4% - - -
225 SEAL Maximus R. 65% 29% 5% - - - -
226 SONG Bryan 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.