January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, January 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASSIALAS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
3 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
3 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
5 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
6 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
7 DOLZHENKO Bogdan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
8 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
9 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
10 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
11 KAO Castor T. 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
12 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 35%
13 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
14 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
15 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
16 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 2%
17 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
18 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
19 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
20 CHEN Andrew 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
21 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
22 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
23 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
24 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
25 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
26 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 29%
27 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3%
28 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
29 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
30 SINGH Dayaal 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
31 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
32 LEVY Cameron 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
33 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
34 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
35 BROSZUS Blake J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 21%
35 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 9%
37 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
38 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
39 LI Richard 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
40 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
41 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
42 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
43 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
44 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
45 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
46 LEVY Jasper 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
47 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
48 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
49 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
50 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
51 HUTH Jacob 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
52 GOOR Julian 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
53 SHIH Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 5%
54 YANG Luao 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
55 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
55 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
57 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 2%
58 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
59 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
60 WU Alexander 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
61 ZHENG Andrew R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 9%
62 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
63 JAIN Aditya 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
64 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
65 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
66 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
67 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 99% 85% 47% 8%
68 BRUK Peter J. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
69 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
70 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
71 TANG Owen S. 100% 66% 23% 4% - < 1% -
72 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
73 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
74 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 92% 58% 18% 2%
75 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
76 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
77 THAYER Jake T. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
78 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 99% 90% 58% 17% 2% -
79 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 25% 3%
80 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
81 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
81 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 5% -
83 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
83 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
85 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
85 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
87 YANG Andy H. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
88 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
89 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
90 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
91 SHIH William 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 1%
92 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
93 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
94 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
95 SONG Aiden S. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
96 XIAO EDWARD 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
96 AHN Jun 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
98 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% -
99 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3%
100 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
100 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
102 YEE Maxwell J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
103 RANADIVE Rishi R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
103 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
105 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 3%
105 PARK Luke J. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
107 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
108 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
109 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
110 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 2%
111 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
112 PETER Griffin 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
112 TAN Christien 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
114 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
115 KIM Brandon J. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8% -
116 OURSLER Jack 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
117 YI Stephen K. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
118 LIU Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
119 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
120 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
121 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
122 YU Anders 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
123 DEGROOT Blake 100% 94% 65% 27% 5% - -
124 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
124 OH Samuel H. 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 5% -
126 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
127 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
127 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 95% 67% 23% 4% - -
129 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
130 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
131 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
132 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23% 1%
133 BAS Liam 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
134 ROSOWSKY Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 21%
135 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
136 DANKAR Neel 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
137 BING Charles 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
138 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
139 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
139 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
141 PYO Michael M. 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
142 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 99% 86% 54% 18% 2% -
143 HAY Gavin 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
143 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
145 BAE Kevin 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 5% -
145 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
147 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
148 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
149 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
150 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
151 LAO Scott E. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
152 BALL James T. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
153 ROJAS Jorge 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
154 WU Nicholas 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
155 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
156 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
157 EVANS Cameron R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
158 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
159 REALS Alden D. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
159 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 94% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
161 GEE Brandon 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
161 NAGER Noah 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
163 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
164 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
165 SOTO Ulises G 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
166 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
167 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
168 WU Alexander 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3% -
169 JI Aidan Y. 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% - -
170 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
171 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
172 FULTON Richard A. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
173 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% - -
173 SHA Yi Peng 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
173 HSIUNG Richie 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
176 GOBBO Alexander 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
177 HO Ryan J. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
178 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
179 SIU Aiden 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
180 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 60% 17% 2% -
181 DIERKS Kian 100% 89% 42% 9% 1% -
182 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
183 KIM Yonjae 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
184 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
185 NGUYEN Nish 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
186 CHAN Matthew 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
187 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
188 LEE Jacob J 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
189 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
190 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
191 LEE Aidan 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
192 LE Vyn A. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
193 LIN Michael 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
194 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
194 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
194 WOO Christian 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
197 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
197 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
199 LU Yikai 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
200 LI Owen 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 5% -
201 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
202 BAE Junnie 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
203 ADAMS Luke C. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
203 CHENG Nathan 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
205 SEZER Kaya 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
206 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
207 MORALES Ian N. 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% - -
208 MIN Eric 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
209 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
210 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 92% 58% 17% 2%
211 GONG Benjamin 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
212 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
212 DAUM Charlie 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
214 KIM Aaron J. 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
215 MURRAY Maximo 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
215 LUH Ethan K. 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
217 GAO William 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
218 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 35% 4% - - -
219 SCHWIEBERT Michael F. 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
219 KUO Evan 100% 71% 27% 4% - - -
219 WYMAN Julian 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
222 JAUME Andrei 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
222 LI Matthew 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
224 XIAO Anthony 100% 77% 30% 5% - - -
225 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 35% 6% - - - -
226 SONG Bryan 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.