March NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Monday, March 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLIVAN Justice - - - - 5% 30% 64%
2 DAI Jonathan T. - - - - 2% 19% 79%
3 JAIN Aditya - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
3 TANG Owen S. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
5 LI Richard - - - - 3% 26% 71%
6 LIN Michael - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
7 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
8 JIANG Owen - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
9 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
9 ZHAI Jeffrey - - - - 7% 35% 58%
11 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - - 3% 25% 71%
12 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
13 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - 1% 16% 47% 37%
14 SISINNI Riccardo - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
15 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - 5% 30% 65%
16 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 3% 17% 40% 34% 6%
17 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
18 LIN James G. - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
19 WONG Garrick G. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
19 LI Matthew - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
21 WU Alber Y. - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
22 WYMAN Julian - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
22 TSAO Lukas - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
24 DESHMUKH Arjun - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
25 KIAYIAS Aris - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
26 LIU Ethan - - 6% 26% 40% 24% 4%
27 LIU Derek - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 5%
28 PO Oliver - - 9% 33% 41% 17%
29 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 3% 27% 48% 22%
30 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
31 GARCIA Sebastian R. - - 3% 16% 39% 36% 5%
32 PAN Henry - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
33 MIN Eric - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
34 LEWIS Akhil - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
35 LI Aaron - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
36 ROSE Ben - - 12% 37% 38% 13%
37 KLOTZ Isaiah - - 2% 14% 40% 37% 7%
38 LEE Jonah - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
39 ZHEN Ethan - - 5% 20% 39% 32% 4%
40 LO Preston 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
41 MORROW Brenden - - 2% 16% 42% 34% 6%
42 CHINO CONSTANTIN - 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
43 KRYLTSOV Michael - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
44 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
45 NGUYEN martin - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
46 TIKHAEV Alexander 1% 10% 32% 39% 17% 2%
47 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 12% 37% 38% 13%
48 GUO Justin - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
49 MIALL Steven A. - - 7% 41% 41% 11%
50 DERRICK Blake 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
51 AKYAMAC Bora 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
52 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
53 CHENG Ethan - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
54 SONG Noel 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
55 YU Jason - - 11% 33% 38% 16% 2%
56 GUTH Joseph - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
57 TSAY Jordan R. 3% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
58 TANG Terry 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
59 ZHANG Aaron - 3% 19% 41% 32% 5%
60 XU Ethan 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
61 TANG Albert 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
62 XU Andy P. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
63 NICOLETTI Luca - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10%
64 YAO Bradley - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
65 SONG Austin - 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
66 ORLOV Dmitriy - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
67 LEE Eugene 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% < 1% -
68 TANG August L. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7% -
69 PARK Gabriel 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
70 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14% 1%
71 LEE Christopher T. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
72 KIM Daniel Y. 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
73 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 7%
74 LEVY Jacob - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
75 STRINGER David - 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
76 FEDELI Francesco - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
77 EDWARDS Maxon 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
78 GERRISH William 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1% -
79 PETERSON Matthew 1% 9% 32% 40% 16% 2% -
80 KAPOOR Aayan 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
81 JEAN PAUL ZUK - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
82 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - 1% 21% 42% 30% 7%
83 ZHAO Adam 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
84 TAN Aidan 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
85 CHEN Ethan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
86 YI William 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
87 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
88 HUANG Eythan - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
89 RARANGE DENVER MARIUS 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
90 MAO Lucas - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
91 CULHANE Dechen 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
92 PARRISH Evan 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
93 GHEDINI Luca - 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
94 SHAPIRO Leon 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
95 LI Ayren - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
96 SUAREZ Adrian 1% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
97 WONG Jackson 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2%
98 QIAN Jason H. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
99 TANG Alexander L. 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
100 JIA Jing Yu 18% 50% 29% 3% - -
101 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
102 CHEN Kyle P. - 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
103 TONKOVICH Ryan 6% 35% 39% 17% 3% -
104 DE LAUZON AUGUSTIN 25% 46% 24% 5% - -
105 RASMUSSEN Sage 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
106 LEE Brendan - 2% 22% 41% 28% 7% -
107 WANG Brian 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
108 ALLEN Henry G. - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
109 PALMA Nathan Anthony 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
110 RAJ Jay 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
111 ZHAO Nathan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
112 LING Eddie - 5% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
113 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
114 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 1% 10% 32% 37% 18% 3%
115 PARK Rion 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
116 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
117 WANG Julang 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
118 SENIC Lucas - 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
119 PARK Sangmin (Steve) 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
120 HUTH Trevor 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
121 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
122 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% -
123 LIU ERIC 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
124 NGAI Julian 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
125 CHUN Dashel 5% 75% 18% 2% - - -
126 SUI Samuel 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
127 ZHANG Matthew 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
128 CHOI Ethan < 1% 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
129 BORG Matthew 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
130 LU Kevin 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
131 WONG Evan 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
132 MARISI Gabriel 4% 24% 42% 24% 5% - -
133 LE Jacob H. 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
134 ZENG Rick 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
135 FOGELSON Hugh 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
135 BROOKS Matthew 67% 29% 4% - - -
137 YANG Charles 7% 36% 47% 10% 1% -
138 KELLY Tommy 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% -
139 YU William 43% 52% 4% - - -
140 JEAN LEPAROUX 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
141 HE Kyle 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
142 RIPA Joseph K. 15% 42% 33% 9% 1% - -
143 CHENG Austyn 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
144 ZHANG Lucas 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
144 XIE Jicheng 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
146 NOFZIGER Bennett 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
147 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
148 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 26% 46% 23% 5% - -
149 DHOKTE Neev 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
150 MAVANI Krishna 51% 40% 8% - - -
151 CHUANG Oscar 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
152 ZHANG Alex 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
153 SHANNON Jack 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
154 PETROV Mikhail 50% 47% 2% - - -
155 REID Wesley 94% 6% - - - - -
155 PAN Edwin 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
155 CALPE Rafel 38% 44% 16% 2% - - -
158 NOLAN Tyler 23% 46% 25% 5% - - -
159 JONES Jackson 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
159 ZMUDA Aiden 67% 28% 4% - - - -
161 POLEBOYINA Amrit 88% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.