March NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Monday, March 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
2 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
5 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
6 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
7 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
8 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
9 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
9 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
11 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
12 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
13 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 37%
14 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
15 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
16 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 6%
17 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
18 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
19 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
19 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
21 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
22 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
22 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 1%
24 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
25 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
26 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
27 LIU Derek 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
28 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 91% 58% 17%
29 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 97% 70% 22%
30 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
31 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 5%
32 PAN Henry 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
33 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
34 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
35 LI Aaron 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
36 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 87% 50% 13%
37 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 7%
38 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
39 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 4%
40 LO Preston 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
41 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 6%
42 CHINO CONSTANTIN 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
43 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
44 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
45 NGUYEN martin 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
46 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
47 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 88% 51% 13%
48 GUO Justin 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
49 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 100% 92% 51% 11%
50 DERRICK Blake 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
51 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
52 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
53 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
54 SONG Noel 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
55 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 89% 56% 18% 2%
56 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
57 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
58 TANG Terry 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
59 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 5%
60 XU Ethan 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
61 TANG Albert 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
62 XU Andy P. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
63 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 10%
64 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
65 SONG Austin 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
66 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
67 LEE Eugene 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% < 1% -
68 TANG August L. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
69 PARK Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
70 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
71 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
72 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
73 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
74 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
75 STRINGER David 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
76 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
77 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
78 GERRISH William 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
79 PETERSON Matthew 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 2% -
80 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
81 JEAN PAUL ZUK 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
82 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 99% 78% 37% 7%
83 ZHAO Adam 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
84 TAN Aidan 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
85 CHEN Ethan 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
86 YI William 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
87 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
88 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
89 RARANGE DENVER MARIUS 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
90 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
91 CULHANE Dechen 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
92 PARRISH Evan 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
93 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 11% 1%
94 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
95 LI Ayren 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
96 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
97 WONG Jackson 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
98 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
99 TANG Alexander L. 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
100 JIA Jing Yu 100% 82% 32% 3% - -
101 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
102 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
103 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% -
104 DE LAUZON AUGUSTIN 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
105 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
106 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% -
107 WANG Brian 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
108 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
109 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
110 RAJ Jay 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
111 ZHAO Nathan 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
112 LING Eddie 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
113 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
114 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
115 PARK Rion 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
116 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
117 WANG Julang 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
118 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
119 PARK Sangmin (Steve) 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
120 HUTH Trevor 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3% -
121 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
122 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
123 LIU ERIC 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
124 NGAI Julian 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
125 CHUN Dashel 100% 95% 20% 2% - - -
126 SUI Samuel 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
127 ZHANG Matthew 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
128 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
129 BORG Matthew 100% 98% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
130 LU Kevin 100% 82% 40% 11% 1% - -
131 WONG Evan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
132 MARISI Gabriel 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% - -
133 LE Jacob H. 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
134 ZENG Rick 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
135 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
135 BROOKS Matthew 100% 33% 5% - - -
137 YANG Charles 100% 93% 57% 11% 1% -
138 KELLY Tommy 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
139 YU William 100% 57% 4% - - -
140 JEAN LEPAROUX 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
141 HE Kyle 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
142 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% - -
143 CHENG Austyn 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
144 ZHANG Lucas 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
144 XIE Jicheng 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
146 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
147 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
148 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
149 DHOKTE Neev 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
150 MAVANI Krishna 100% 49% 9% - - -
151 CHUANG Oscar 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
152 ZHANG Alex 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
153 SHANNON Jack 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
154 PETROV Mikhail 100% 50% 2% - - -
155 REID Wesley 100% 6% - - - - -
155 PAN Edwin 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
155 CALPE Rafel 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
158 NOLAN Tyler 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
159 JONES Jackson 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
159 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 33% 5% - - - -
161 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.