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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 99% 88% 51% 13% < 1%
2 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
3 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
5 ULINICH Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
6 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
7 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
8 KIM Dohyun 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
9 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 15%
10 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
11 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
12 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
13 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
14 ZHANG Nathan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
15 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
16 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 5%
17 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
17 FU Leon 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
19 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
20 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
21 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
22 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
23 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
24 KIM Ian 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
25 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
26 SHA Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
27 FANG Hanning 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
28 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
29 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51% 11%
30 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
31 LEE Chun Po 100% 98% 82% 42% 9% -
32 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
33 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
34 MIAO KUNQI 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
35 TORRES Nicolas 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
36 KOPPE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
37 DONAHUE Lake 100% 99% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
38 PEÑA Ethan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
39 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
40 LEE Inwoo 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
41 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
42 WANG owen 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
43 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
44 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
45 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
46 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
46 JACKEL Dylan 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
48 LU Ivan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
49 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
50 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
51 EVERS Gabriel 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
52 NG Biwon 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
53 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
54 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
55 REID James 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
56 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
57 LIU Yikun 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
58 WARD Edward 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
59 LEE Bryson 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
60 HINTON Evan 100% 98% 80% 39% 6% - -
61 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
62 BHATT Arjun 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
63 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
64 LEE JiYuen 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
65 LOFTUS Luca 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
66 KIM Teddy 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
67 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
68 DAO Alexander 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
69 LIU Noah 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
70 PRAKASH Hari 100% 96% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
71 KENT V David 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
71 LIU Yueri 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
73 FAN Joshua 100% 93% 62% 23% 3% - -
74 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
75 MAJAM Brandon Audie 100% 92% 50% 13% 2% - -
76 YU Austin 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
77 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
78 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
79 CHOI Zachary 100% 90% 49% 13% 1% -
80 NUGENT Jack 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
81 SHEN Jiayi 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
82 CLAES Lucas 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
83 DENISON Declan 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
84 LI Yunji 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
85 LI zerong 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
86 GOROZA Eric 100% 31% 4% - - - -
87 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
88 ANDERSON Kai 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
89 BAKKEN Archer 100% 89% 52% 14% 1% - -
90 MILEY Walker 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
91 BARRERA Nathanael 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
92 ARMITAGE Liam 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
93 KIM Justin 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
94 DU Peter 100% 32% 4% - - - -
95 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.