Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
2 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
3 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
5 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
6 GALLANT Antoine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
7 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
8 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
9 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
10 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
11 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
12 DONG Haiyi 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
13 CHAI Ethan 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
14 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
15 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
16 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
17 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
18 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
19 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
20 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
21 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
22 SUN Jason 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
23 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
24 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13%
24 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
26 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
27 HU Lucas 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
28 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
29 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
30 SHA Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
31 NESTERCZUK Maddox W. 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
32 REPIC Oliver 100% 99% 85% 51% 16% 2%
33 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
34 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
35 SONG Troy 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
36 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
37 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
38 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
39 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
40 XU Che 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
41 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
42 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
43 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 4%
44 DUKO Phillip 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
45 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
46 ZHAO Zidong 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
47 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
48 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 8%
49 WU Marcus 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
50 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
51 PAN Tristan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
52 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
53 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
54 DURKIN Brian 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
55 LEIBOWITZ Ryan 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
56 HU Anton 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
57 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 2%
58 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 98% 86% 51% 14% 1%
59 AGGELER Donovan 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
60 WANG Xiangdong 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
61 SUN Jeffrey 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
62 WELIWATTA kenula 100% 74% 23% 3% - - -
63 PENG Yue 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
64 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
65 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 16%
66 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
67 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
68 LIN Nathan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
69 LIU Adam 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
70 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
71 SOKOL Luke 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
72 KARIMOV Amir 100% 97% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
73 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
74 LI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
75 JIANG Matthew 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
76 LIN Kason 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
77 YIN Chujun 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
78 ZHAO Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
79 XIAN Andy 100% 97% 78% 32% 6% - -
80 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
81 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
82 ZENG Andrew 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
82 WU Colin 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
82 MA Wilson 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
85 CHEN Luowen 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% - -
86 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
87 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
87 DEITZ Ethan 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
89 SUN Lucas 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
90 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
91 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
92 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
93 WU Chi Kuan 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
94 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1%
95 TATE William Isom 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% -
96 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
97 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
98 RIVERA Louis 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
98 AHMED Mohsen 100% 85% 43% 12% 1% -
100 LENNON Nicholas 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
100 BHARGAVA Vivaan 100% 96% 73% 36% 11% 2% -
102 YU Samuel 100% 97% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
103 SINGH RANGER vir 100% 91% 53% 18% 3% - -
104 ZHONG Lee 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
105 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
106 DOWD Peter L. 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
106 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
108 ZHANG Lucas 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
109 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
109 MEN Junda 100% 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1%
109 HIGGINS Jett 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
112 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
113 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
114 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
115 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
115 GOODWIN Graham 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
117 ZHAO Pierce 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
117 RIM Eugene 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
119 SO Lorenzo 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
120 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
121 SETO Jing 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
122 OKUN Benjamin 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
123 WONG Maximus 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
124 ROBICHAUD Michael 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
125 ZHANG Roland 100% 97% 76% 35% 6% - -
126 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 92% 59% 19% 2% - -
126 ZANELLI Ben 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
128 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
129 ANAFI Ari 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
130 LEE Wyatt 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
131 NILSEN Mark 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
132 MANITT Philip 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
133 LIN Zizhen 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
134 WONG King-Yee 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
135 LEBLANC Samuel 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
136 PRESSLEY David 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
137 YI Nathan 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
138 AGUIRRE Diego 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
138 ALAM Rajan 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
140 DAN Rex 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
141 RVACHEV Michael 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
142 SHIRKHEDKAR Tanuj 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
143 HOWELL Liam 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
144 CHALLAGULLA Manu 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
145 HENNESSY Levon 100% 50% 7% - - - -
145 SUDOL Szymon 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
147 MASSE Jack 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
148 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.