Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
2 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
3 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
3 CAO Brad 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 9%
5 CAO Albert 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
6 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
7 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
8 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
9 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
10 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
11 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
12 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
13 HIGGIN Matthew 100% 96% 53% 13% 1% -
14 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 27%
15 ZHANG Kingston 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
16 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
17 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
18 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
19 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
20 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
21 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
22 CHAI Ethan 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
23 SKORUPAN Grant 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
24 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
25 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
26 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
27 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
28 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
29 WOLFE Alex 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
30 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
31 SHARMA Om V. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
32 QUINTERO Julian 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
33 DANIZ T FERNANDO A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
34 CHO Ethan H. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
35 PAN Tristan 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
36 WALCH Logan 100% 99% 83% 41% 8% 1%
37 LEE Aiden 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
38 JONES Aidan 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% -
39 JIANG Matthew 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
40 KIM Jaden 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
41 RICHARDS Colin W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
42 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 91% 57% 15% 1%
43 YU Austin 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
44 LEE JoonWon 100% 29% 4% - - - -
45 YU Jason 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
46 BANSAL Arjun 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
47 CHENH Justin 100% 96% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
48 ALI Farhan 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
49 GONZALEZ ARRIETA Orlando Javier 100% 96% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
50 KIM Brandon 100% 94% 65% 27% 5% -
51 FARBER Ian S. 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
52 LEE DoWon 100% 20% 1% - - -
53 TRIPATHY Ayush 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
54 DAN Rex 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.