Division 1/Para Championships + April NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, April 11, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Los Angeles Convention Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAO Castor T. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 KIM Yonjae - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
3 BRUK Peter J. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
3 LIU Jinning - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
5 JEON Caleb A. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
6 LEWIS Akhil - - 1% 5% 23% 42% 29%
7 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
8 CHENG Ethan - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
9 LIN James G. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
10 LEE Jacob J - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
11 MATSAKH Philip - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
12 SONG Aiden S. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
13 RASMUSSEN Sage - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
14 CO Dylan - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 17%
15 SENIC Lucas - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
16 LU Royce - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 1%
17 CANLAS Nathan - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
18 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
19 LEE Aidan - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
19 CHEN Kyle P. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
21 WYMAN Julian - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
22 LI Toby Muhua - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
23 LIN Michael - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
24 YI William W. - 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 3%
25 SONG Noel - 5% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
26 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
27 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 6% 25% 44% 25%
28 LE Jacob H. - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
29 ROSE Ben - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
30 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
31 WANG Aaron - 1% 10% 37% 43% 9%
32 TAN Aidan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
33 LI Bradley - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
34 CHALUT Etienne - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
35 LO Conrad - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
36 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
36 DAI Jonathan T. - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
38 GONG Benjamin - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
39 SISINNI Riccardo - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
40 TIYA BIAYA K. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
41 PARRISH Evan - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
42 WU Alexander - - - 5% 32% 63%
43 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 3% 22% 46% 26% 3%
44 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
45 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 15% 39% 34% 11% 1%
46 TANG Owen S. - - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
47 NGUYEN Martin - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
47 LIN Youlong - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
49 KNIZHNIK David - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
50 LI Aaron - 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
50 RAUTUREAU Hugo - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
52 JIANG Owen - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
53 TANG Alexander L. - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10% 1%
54 WOO Christian - - 2% 13% 32% 38% 15%
55 KLOTZ Isaiah 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
56 ZHANG Aaron - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
56 LIN Xilong - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
58 XU Andy P. - 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
59 KRYLTSOV Michael - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
60 KIM Aiden 2% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
61 DINSAY Kristjan - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
62 KIM Ryan Y. - 5% 24% 45% 25%
63 ZHANG Jacob 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
64 ARIZA Abraham J. 1% 17% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
65 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% < 1%
66 KONG Luculentus X. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
67 WU Alber Y. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
68 CULLIVAN Justice - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
69 LIU William 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4% -
70 PO Oliver - - 3% 15% 38% 37% 8%
71 CHOI Ethan - 1% 8% 31% 44% 16%
72 LING Eddie - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
73 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
73 ROZALSKI Eli - 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
75 MAZAHERI Fletcher 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
76 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
76 CHEN Hanson - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
78 LEE Christopher T. 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
79 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9%
80 NICOLETTI Luca - - 2% 15% 38% 35% 9%
81 HAN Changhee - 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
82 SHENG Dalton - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
83 JAIN Aditya - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
84 LU Yikai - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
85 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
86 HARROCH Faustin 4% 45% 39% 11% 1% - -
87 SHAPIRO Leon 3% 18% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
88 DERRICK Blake - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
89 QIAN Jason H. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
90 HUANG Eythan - 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 1%
91 LIU Derek - 1% 5% 21% 40% 29% 5%
92 KIM Daniel Y. - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
93 KIM Harrison - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
94 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 1% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
95 PONS Diego 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
95 TALASILA Arush 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
97 WANG Michael 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
98 BORG Matthew 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
98 SISINNI Leonardo 5% 32% 39% 19% 4% - -
98 BAE Eugene 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
101 LI Samuel 1% 16% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
101 YAO Bradley - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
101 KETTELLE John 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
101 BORKOWSKI Olgierd - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
105 HOWLAND Jonas - 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
106 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 13% 38% 36% 12% 1%
107 LI Matthew - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
108 SHAO Eric 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
109 SIMA Congyu Josh - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
110 PARK Sky 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
111 TANG August L. - 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
111 ZHOU Shawn 12% 49% 31% 7% 1% - -
113 SHAGIDANYAN German - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
114 SUAREZ Adrian 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
115 GUTH Joseph 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
116 FINNEY Lorenz 1% 20% 47% 27% 5% -
117 CHANG Jonathan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
118 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
119 COSTE Fabien 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
120 XIE Buster - 6% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
121 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
122 FUKUDA Diego - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
123 LEE Jonah - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
124 DUNLAP Ezra 64% 30% 6% - - - -
125 MARTIN Darius - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
126 BADLANI Dev - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
127 BARRETT Austin 27% 46% 22% 5% - - -
128 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 8% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
129 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
130 MORROW Brenden 2% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
131 PINCHENG Yao - 10% 35% 39% 15% 2%
132 CHUANG Oscar 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
133 BIELER Mason 6% 46% 38% 10% 1% -
134 RAUTUREAU Arthur 1% 13% 39% 35% 11% 1%
135 XU Ethan - 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
136 LEE Brendan - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
137 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
138 CHOI Ethan 16% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -
139 OH SEAN - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
140 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - - 6% 25% 41% 24% 4%
141 HE Patrick - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
142 ONG Nicholas 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
143 GORDON William L. 25% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
144 CHO Xzander 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
145 LING Carson Jr 25% 45% 24% 5% 1% - -
146 WANDJI Noah 1% 8% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
147 KIM Brian - 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
148 WU Lucas 2% 16% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
149 TEH Tang-Ngu 18% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
150 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 8% 46% 35% 10% 1% - -
151 TANG Albert - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
152 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 3% 36% 42% 17% 2% -
153 FENG Michael 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
154 TRUJILLO Jonah 81% 18% 1% - - -
155 YAP Nathan 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
156 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 8% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
157 CHA James 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
158 RAJ Jay 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
159 LEE Eugene 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
159 QIU Zhaocheng 2% 14% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
161 CHANG Eric Jonathan 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
162 HARRIS Julien 34% 46% 17% 3% - - -
163 PARK Rion 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
163 DAI Christopher 28% 47% 21% 4% - - -
165 LO Preston 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
166 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 66% 30% 4% - - - -
166 LOCKWOOD Jacob 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
168 PARK William 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
169 FOY Grant 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
170 NISHIHIRA Tyler 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
171 LI Matthew - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
171 KIM Jonah 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
173 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
174 BHANOT Arjun 85% 14% 1% - - - -
175 WU Trevor 20% 42% 30% 8% 1%
176 PETROV Mikhail 43% 41% 13% 2% - - -
177 ZHONG Maxwell 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
178 SUMIN Yang 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
179 LEE Christopher 80% 19% 1% - - -
180 HOLCOMB Alexander 69% 27% 4% - - - -
181 MARTIRE Luca 44% 42% 13% 2% - - -
181 SMITH Jeremiah 74% 23% 3% - - - -
181 HUNTER Phillip 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
184 ORNELAS Matteo 31% 46% 19% 4% - - -
185 CHANG Nathan 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
186 POUND Michael 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
186 KARPMAN Benny 84% 15% 1% - - - -
188 TSAY Jordan R. 28% 45% 22% 5% - - -
189 BURLINGAME Owen 77% 22% 2% - - - -
190 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.