May SJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Reno-Sparks Convention Center - Reno, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
2 MANN Jake R. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
3 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
3 NORMILE Nicholas - 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
5 ROMANOV Ethan - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
6 LEE Stewart S. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
7 LOISEAU Eliott - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
8 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
9 KIM Jayden - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
10 ROBINSON Samuel - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
11 KUGLER Luke - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
12 WU Jonathan - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
13 SAVORETTI Francesco - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
14 LIU Yueri - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
15 CHEN Leonardo - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
16 LAI Boden - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
17 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
18 WONG Baron - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
19 LIU Adam - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
20 PARKER Isaiah - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
21 JAIN Samyak 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4%
22 HUANG Kenneth - 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
23 KIM Sullivan - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
24 SAVORETTI Pietro 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
25 HAMZA Tudor - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
26 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
27 DOUBOV Andrew - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
28 CHOI Kaiden I. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
29 LEE JoonWon - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 11%
30 XIA Dashan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
31 MIZRAHI Michael - 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
32 TANG William - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
33 FU Leon - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
34 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 1% 12% 31% 33% 17% 5% < 1%
35 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
36 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
37 CHEN Brian - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
38 LO Jake - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
39 GINZBURG Adam - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
40 PAK Elliot - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
41 CHOI Zachary - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
42 SONG Troy - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
43 TSE Maxwell - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
44 TRAN Spencer - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
45 CHEN YiHeng 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
46 DANIELS Jonah - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
47 KIM Gene 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
48 ZHU Eric 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
49 YAO Geoffrey B. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
50 LI Yunji (Rain) 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
51 MUENKE Magnus 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
52 LEE Aiden 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
53 YU Austin - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
54 LU Jacob - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
55 LI Tristan 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
56 HE Zhiheng - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
56 ALI Farhan - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
58 TIEN Jabin - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
59 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
60 MCDOWELL Will - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
61 MCLAREN Mason 10% 44% 34% 11% 2% - -
62 WANG Jason 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
63 WU Alistair - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
64 KIM Alexander 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
65 LIU Yikun - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
66 WANG justin - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
67 WANG Joey - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
68 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - 2% 14% 36% 39% 9%
69 LI Timothy 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
70 KHANNA Nikhil - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
71 LEE Aiden - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
72 LOUIE Joseph 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
73 LEE Royce 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1%
74 XIE Brandon 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
75 SANTOS Antonio K. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
76 BORISENKO Samuel - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
77 HU Robert J. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
78 CHANG Andrew 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
79 SIM Ian - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
80 WONG King-Yee - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
82 SIEDOW William 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
83 LI Ray 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
84 LI Grayson 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
85 AGGELER Donovan 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
86 WANG Devin 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
87 WU Steven 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
88 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
89 WU Johnny y. 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
90 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
91 LI Ethan R. 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1%
92 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% -
93 LEE Jayden J. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
94 EMMERT JP 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
95 HE Bronto 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
96 KIM Remington 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
97 PARK Sangwook - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
98 SUH Aiden 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
99 ZHANG Luqi 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
100 SU Samuel 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
101 DEVINENI Avyang 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
102 MIAO Quentin - 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
103 PARKE Nathaniel 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
104 PAN Anthony 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% -
104 DACHELET Sawyer 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
106 PIVOVAROV Lucas 11% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
107 SANTOS Francisco M. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
108 LEE DoWon 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% -
109 LIN Andrew 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
110 LOISEAU Oscar 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
111 LIN Jason 40% 47% 12% 1% - - -
112 AHMED Mohsen 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
113 LESCURE Dimitri - 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
114 HOWARD Jackson 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
115 KE Sebastian 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
115 HERDMAN Julian 6% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
117 MOLLINIER Angel 12% 43% 33% 11% 2% - -
117 ZHANG Austin 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
119 GUO Woody 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
120 VOO Lucas 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
121 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 3% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
122 HERNDON Liam 1% 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
122 GUO Luke 32% 49% 16% 2% - - -
124 LIU Max 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
125 LEE Anton 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
126 WANG-SONG Evan 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
127 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
128 GANESH Maxen 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
129 DAO Alexander 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
130 GADHVI Darius 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
131 KOU Mason 68% 29% 3% - - - -
132 SONG Jonathan 84% 15% 1% - - - -
133 LIGHT Luke 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
134 OLIVAS Joseph 70% 26% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.