November NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 SEO Yechan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12%
3 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
5 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
6 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
7 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
8 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5% -
9 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
10 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
11 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
11 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
13 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
14 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
15 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
16 ZHANG Aaron 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
17 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
18 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
19 CO Dylan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
20 LI Richard Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
21 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
21 GLASSON Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 10%
23 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 9%
24 KIM Jongsik 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
25 KIM Minseo 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 19% 1%
26 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 15%
27 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
29 GU Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
30 YI William W. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
31 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
32 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
33 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
34 BUDOVSKYI Borys 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
35 YU Jason 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
36 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
37 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
38 LI Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
39 CHANG Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
40 LO Preston 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 1%
41 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
42 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
43 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 5%
44 LI Aaron 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
45 LING Eddie 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
46 ROSE Ben 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
47 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
48 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 11% -
49 ISOLANI Gregorio 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
50 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
51 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 23%
52 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
52 KNIZHNIK David 100% 98% 68% 25% 4% -
52 PAN Qiwen 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
55 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
56 HASSANIN Mohamed 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
57 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
58 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
59 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17% -
60 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 99% 86% 48% 10% 1% -
61 LI Bradley 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 16%
62 MARTIN Darius 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
63 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
64 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
65 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
66 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13% 1%
67 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 5%
68 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1% < 1%
69 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
69 HASHIMOTO Shoei 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
71 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
72 KIM Siwoo 100% 100% 98% 78% 34% 5%
73 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 5%
74 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 9% 1%
75 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
76 CHOI Dongyun 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8%
77 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 3%
78 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12% -
79 ZHENG Marcus 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
80 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
81 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%
82 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
83 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
83 BARMAKOV Bogdan 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
85 LI Toby Muhua 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% -
86 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
87 CHALUT Etienne 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 9% -
88 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
89 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
90 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
91 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
92 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 69%
92 LIM Hyeseong 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
94 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
95 SONG Noel 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
96 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
97 WONG Adrian 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
98 LING Xiangqian(Daniel) 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
99 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
100 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
101 HAYES Stewart 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
102 YAO Bradley 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
103 ZHOU Chenqiao 100% 98% 84% 46% 11% 1%
104 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
105 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
106 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 98% 77% 39% 10% 1%
107 CHAN Matthew 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1%
107 GHEDINI Luca 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
109 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
110 LI Edison M. 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% -
111 LIU Zixian 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3% -
112 MION Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35% 4%
112 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 6% -
114 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% -
115 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14%
116 CHEN Nuo 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
117 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
118 HAN Changhee 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
119 TANG Terry 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
120 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
122 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12% 1%
123 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 10% 1%
123 DORE Davis 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1%
125 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7% -
126 CHUANG Oscar 100% 92% 59% 20% 2% - -
127 SHENG Dalton 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
128 DERRICK Blake 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
129 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 22%
130 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
131 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61% 13%
132 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
133 WANG Rory 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
134 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 13%
135 LEE Brendan 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
136 WOO Christian 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 10%
137 CHEUNG Hank 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
138 TANG Albert 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
139 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 95% 67% 28% 5% -
140 KIM Brian 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
141 WU DING-JUN 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
142 LU Yikai 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
143 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 3%
144 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
145 WU Alistair 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
146 LU Andy 100% 83% 37% 7% - - -
147 TOTUSEK Marek 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 12%
148 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46% 3%
149 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
150 LEE Christopher T. 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
151 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
152 HUTH Jacob 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1%
152 BAI Brian 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
154 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 2%
155 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
156 BAI Austin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
157 VAABEN Frode 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
158 TORO Alejandro 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
158 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
160 LIU Derek 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
161 NGUYEN Martin 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
162 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
162 CLARK Benjamin 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
164 DOELL Ethan 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
165 NUCKLES Caden 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% - -
166 ZAIDI Adil 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
167 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
168 ACUNA Gabriel G. 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
169 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
170 LEUNG Ethan 100% 99% 85% 48% 12% 1%
171 YAO Pincheng 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
172 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
173 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 99% 83% 47% 14% 2%
174 FANG Haoyu 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
175 SHANNON Jack 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
176 HUA Aaron 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
177 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
178 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
179 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
180 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 98% 84% 45% 11% 1% -
181 FINLEY Dylan 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
182 HOU Gaven 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
183 YUE Jackson 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
183 LIU Yinhong 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
183 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5% -
183 HUANG Jonathan 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
187 GUTH Joseph 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
188 JIN Andy 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
189 BELCHAMBER Mason 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
190 WONG Jacob W. 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
190 XIE Jicheng 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
190 HAN Alexander 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
193 ELGHAYESH Seif 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
195 WONG Evan 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
195 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
197 LI Daniel 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
198 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
199 HICKEY Connor 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
200 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 6% -
200 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
200 YOON Junhyeok 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
203 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% - -
204 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
205 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
206 OROSZLAN Daniel 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
206 BAE Eugene 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
208 HABBOUB Qusai 100% 87% 48% 11% 1% - -
209 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
210 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 92% 60% 19% 3% - -
211 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
212 PARRISH Evan 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% 1%
213 TANG Alexander L. 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 1%
214 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
215 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
216 CHEN Ethan 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
217 YU William 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
218 GAO Andrew 100% 20% 2% - - -
219 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% - -
220 WANDJI Noah 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
221 JAUME Andrei 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
221 MORROW Brenden 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
223 CHONG Tristan 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
224 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 98% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
225 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
226 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
226 ZHANG Jacob 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
228 RAJ Jay 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% - -
229 LU Kevin 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
229 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
231 TANG August L. 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
232 CHENG Ethan 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
233 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
234 CHEN Anson 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% - -
235 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
235 CHOI Ethan 100% 89% 37% 6% - - -
235 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
238 LEE Charles T 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
239 GE Felix Fei 100% 80% 36% 6% - - -
240 ANDRIC Borna 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% -
241 HARRIS Julien 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
242 GORDON William L. 100% 86% 39% 7% - - -
243 BI Ryan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
244 FEDELI Francesco 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% - -
245 YANG Charles 100% 76% 31% 5% - - -
245 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
247 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% - -
248 CHENG Logan 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
249 MAO Lucas 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% - -
250 VIVEROS Evan 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% -
250 NEICE William 100% 28% 3% - - -
252 ONG Nicholas 100% 82% 35% 6% - - -
252 CHEZ Nolan 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
252 MCKEE Calvin 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
252 JOHNSON Chance 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
256 PARK Rion 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
257 MCKINLEY Luke 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
258 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
258 YU Stephen 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
258 METZ Mason 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
258 YOU Martin 100% 29% 3% - - - -
262 LI Samuel 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
263 RIVERA Miguel 100% 76% 30% 5% - - -
264 GNEUHS Sam 100% 29% 4% - - - -
264 TSOI Spencer 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
264 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador 100% 16% 1% - - -
267 CHA James 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
268 KANAR Ian 100% 93% 63% 23% 3% - -
268 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
270 CHENG Mason 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
271 GATES Combustion 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
271 TOEWS Jackson 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.