Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CHENG Jonathan | V V V V V V | V V V V V V | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 2 | HOOSHI Dylan M. | D V V V V | V V V V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 3 | ZHANG Henry C. | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 3 | STANLEY Mason B. | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 5 | LIANG Lixi (Henry) | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 6 | BREIER Matthew F. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 7 | KIM Tei D. | D V V V D V | V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 8 | SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. | D V D V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 9 | KASI Sanjay | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 10 | MCCORD Clark | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 11 | PAE Jonathan L. | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 12 | KIM Nicholas W. | D V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 13 | BRUK Peter J. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 14 | DAI Jonathan T. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 15 | DU Samuel R. | V D D V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| 16 | JOSEPH Dominic | V D V D V V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 17 | MARX Oscar L. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 18 | IYOKI Kent | V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 19 | HUTH Mitchell | V V D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 20 | CHIN Julian S. | V V V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 21 | KIM Yonjae | V V V V V D | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 22 | DESERANNO Jeidus | V V V D V V | V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 23 | CATINO Brennen | D V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 24 | ONIK Elijah T. | V V D V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 25 | FU Samuel Y. | V V V V D | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 26 | KNOEPFFLER Alex | V V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 27 | TIAN Aaron C. | V V V D V D | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 28 | KEE Andrew L. | V V V D D V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 29 | HOOSHI Jayden C. | D V D V V V | V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 30 | KWON Ethan | D V V V D V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 31 | BAE Kevin | V D V V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 32 | DOCTOR Aidan L. | D V V V D | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 33 | PELOSKY Zack B. | D V V V V D | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 34 | CHAN Tyler | V V V V D D | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 35 | JIANG Owen | V D D V V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 36 | BAS Liam | V V D V D V | D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 37 | YU Jonathan J. | V V D D V | D | 0.6 | 3 | +2.4 |
| 38 | GORBACHEV Alexander | V V D V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 39 | ZHAO Jesse | D V V D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 40 | GEOGHEGAN Ronan | V V D V D D | D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 41 | GOOR Julian | D V D V D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 42 | KITAGAWA Eric S. | D D V V D V | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 43 | LEE Aidan | V V V D D D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 44 | SURINGA William J. | D D V D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 45 | ANTON Nathaniel | V D V D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 46 | WECHSLER Jacob | V V D D D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 46 | YANG Luao | D D V D V | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 48 | DOUGLAS Oscar M. | V D D D V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 49 | RUSADZE Nickolas | D D V D V D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 50 | TAHOUN Mostafa | D V V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 51 | BOOTSMA Shane-Anson | V D D D D V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 52 | ZHAI Jeffrey | V D D V D D | V D | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| 53 | LEE Joshua | D D D D V V | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 54 | PAE Brian L. | V D D D V D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 55 | AUGUSTINE Aaron A. | V D D V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 56 | SONG Leonardo T. | D D D D V | V D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 57 | KOBAL Maximilian | D D D V D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 58 | SCHLOSSNAGLE Christopher | D D V D D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 59 | GISLER Benjamin B. | D D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 60 | SICHITIU Alexander | D D V D D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 61 | LONG Connor M. | V D D D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 62 | DRESSEL Jet | V D D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 63 | FOTENOS Noah T. | D D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 63 | ORVANANOS Jorge | D D D D D | V D | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| 65 | LIU Eric Y. | D D V D D V | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 66 | GUO Sean | V D D D D V | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 67 | TORRES Treston | D D D V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 68 | GAO William | D D V D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 69 | BROWN Cullen | D V D D D D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 70 | REEVES Liam | D D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 71 | WANG Jackson | D D D D V D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 72 | BADLANI Dev | D D D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 73 | JI Aidan Y. | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 74 | DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 75 | QIU Daniel | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 76 | SOLDATOV Faddey | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 77 | HUGHES Evan J. | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 78 | KOKE Matthew C. | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 79 | DEGER Grant W. | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.