Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 7, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHENG Jonathan - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
2 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 1% 9% 45% 45%
3 ZHANG Henry C. - 1% 9% 31% 40% 18%
3 STANLEY Mason B. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
5 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 2% 27% 71%
6 BREIER Matthew F. - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
7 KIM Tei D. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
8 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - 2% 14% 38% 36% 10%
9 KASI Sanjay - 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
10 MCCORD Clark - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
11 PAE Jonathan L. 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
12 KIM Nicholas W. - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
13 BRUK Peter J. - 2% 16% 40% 35% 7%
14 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 14% 43% 38% 3%
15 DU Samuel R. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
16 JOSEPH Dominic 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
17 MARX Oscar L. - - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
18 IYOKI Kent - 1% 7% 33% 49% 11%
19 HUTH Mitchell - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 8%
20 CHIN Julian S. 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
21 KIM Yonjae - - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
22 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 4% 17% 40% 38%
23 CATINO Brennen - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
24 ONIK Elijah T. - - 6% 29% 53% 12%
25 FU Samuel Y. - - 2% 16% 51% 31%
26 KNOEPFFLER Alex - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
27 TIAN Aaron C. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
28 KEE Andrew L. 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
29 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
30 KWON Ethan - 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 2%
31 BAE Kevin - 4% 23% 42% 26% 5%
32 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
33 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 8% 29% 38% 20% 3%
34 CHAN Tyler 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
35 JIANG Owen - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
36 BAS Liam - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
37 YU Jonathan J. 54% 35% 9% 1% - -
38 GORBACHEV Alexander 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
39 ZHAO Jesse 3% 22% 45% 25% 5% -
40 GEOGHEGAN Ronan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
41 GOOR Julian 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
42 KITAGAWA Eric S. 6% 27% 38% 22% 5% - -
43 LEE Aidan 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
44 SURINGA William J. 3% 23% 43% 26% 4% -
45 ANTON Nathaniel 1% 23% 44% 26% 5% -
46 WECHSLER Jacob - 5% 33% 49% 12% -
46 YANG Luao - 2% 12% 37% 44% 5%
48 DOUGLAS Oscar M. 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
49 RUSADZE Nickolas - 2% 15% 37% 33% 11% 1%
50 TAHOUN Mostafa 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
51 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
52 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
53 LEE Joshua - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
54 PAE Brian L. - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
55 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
56 SONG Leonardo T. 44% 44% 11% 1% - -
57 KOBAL Maximilian 21% 51% 24% 4% - -
58 SCHLOSSNAGLE Christopher 35% 51% 14% 1% - -
59 GISLER Benjamin B. 13% 69% 16% 1% - -
60 SICHITIU Alexander 13% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
61 LONG Connor M. 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
62 DRESSEL Jet 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
63 FOTENOS Noah T. 45% 43% 12% 1% - -
63 ORVANANOS Jorge < 1% 4% 26% 41% 24% 5%
65 LIU Eric Y. 49% 41% 9% 1% - - -
66 GUO Sean - 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
67 TORRES Treston 27% 45% 24% 4% - -
68 GAO William 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
69 BROWN Cullen 67% 29% 4% - - - -
70 REEVES Liam 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
71 WANG Jackson 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
72 BADLANI Dev 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
73 JI Aidan Y. 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
74 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
75 QIU Daniel 12% 52% 31% 4% - - -
76 SOLDATOV Faddey 15% 41% 34% 10% 1% -
77 HUGHES Evan J. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
78 KOKE Matthew C. 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
79 DEGER Grant W. 21% 43% 28% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.