October NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 30, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Jacob J - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
2 WU Alexander - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
3 CULLIVAN Justice - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
3 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
5 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
6 LO Conrad - - - - 1% 13% 87%
7 WYMAN Julian - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
8 JIANG Owen - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
9 LI Eric - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
10 LEE Aidan - - - 1% 6% 30% 64%
11 GOOR Julian - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
12 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
12 VALOUEV Aleksey 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
14 SIU Aiden - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
15 LEE Lukas 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
16 CANLAS Nathan - 1% 7% 31% 44% 16%
17 JAIN Aditya - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
18 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
19 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
20 PARK Jason B. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
21 WOO Christian - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
21 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
23 PO Oliver - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
24 LEWIS Akhil 1% 7% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
24 LIN James G. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
26 WONG Adrian - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
27 TANG Owen S. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
28 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7% -
29 LIN Michael - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10%
30 GUO Justin 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
31 SIMA Congyu Josh - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
32 KRYLTSOV Michael - 3% 19% 42% 29% 6%
33 KANG Anthony - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
33 LI Richard - - - - 5% 31% 64%
35 MA Andrew - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
36 PARK Gabriel 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
37 REEVES Liam - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
38 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
39 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
40 MIN Eric - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
41 GONG Benjamin - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
42 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 4% 19% 40% 33% 4%
43 WONG Garrick G. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
44 DESHMUKH Arjun - 4% 17% 33% 32% 12% 1%
45 ROSE Ben - 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 3%
46 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
46 YAO Bradley - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18% 1%
46 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
49 HUANG Eythan 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
50 ORR Spencer - 1% 5% 18% 37% 32% 8%
51 KIAYIAS Aris 20% 42% 30% 7% 1% -
52 KIM Ryan Y. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
53 CO Dylan 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
54 LIU Ethan - 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 1%
55 DINSAY Kristjan - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
56 MA Bryant 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
57 HOSKERI Anik S. - 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
58 LI Matthew - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
59 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 2% 12% 35% 41% 9%
60 ZHEN Ethan - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
61 FUKUDA Diego - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11% 1%
62 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
63 PARK Sky 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
64 WANG Ethan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
65 SHAGIDANYAN German 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
66 SISINNI Riccardo 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
67 KIM Aiden 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
68 OH Jaden 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
69 LLIDO Soren 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
70 LIPPMAN Sam 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
71 ZHANG Jiening G. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
72 ZHANG Aaron - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
73 GUERRA Gabriel H. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
74 MAO Lucas 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
75 ZHENG zhe 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
76 GUTH Joseph 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
77 TANG Alexander L. 2% 23% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
77 LEE Jonah 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
77 SUAREZ Adrian 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% -
80 SENIC Lucas 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
81 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
82 CHEN Kyle P. 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 7% -
83 WANG Brayden 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
84 NGUYEN martin 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
85 LORENZO Alejandro 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
86 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
87 SHEN Owen 1% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
88 LI Aaron 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1%
89 TALASILA Arush 9% 36% 36% 16% 3% - -
90 QUINTERO Julian 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
91 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - 2% 12% 31% 36% 18% 2%
92 PALMA Nathan Anthony 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
93 WECHSLER Jacob - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
93 LI Samuel 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
93 CHOI Ethan - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
96 HAN Derek 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
97 MATSAKH Philip 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
98 SHENG Dalton 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
99 TANG August L. 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
100 LING Eddie 1% 21% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
101 PAN Henry 17% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
102 TANG Albert 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
103 PONS Diego 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
103 EDISON Ansel 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
105 PARK Sangmin 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
106 RASMUSSEN Sage 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
107 LAM Nicolas 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
108 MOE Annan 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
109 ARIZA Abraham J. 4% 39% 41% 14% 2% - -
110 LEE Brendan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
111 PETERSON Matthew 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
112 WU Lucas 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
112 KUANG Aaron 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
114 CHOE Jayden K. 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
115 LAI Twayne 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
116 RIECK Brennan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
117 ZENG Rick 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
118 HIGGASON Hugh 81% 18% 1% - - - -
119 LI Matthew < 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
120 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
121 ZHAO Adam 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
122 HUTH Trevor 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
123 ZOU Yuming 32% 45% 19% 4% - - -
124 AGRAWAL Niki 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
125 HUANG Zijian 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
126 KUE Temujin 48% 42% 9% 1% - - -
126 JIANG Yehong 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
128 NOFZIGER Bennett 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
129 HE Tyler 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
130 CROOM Tucker 66% 28% 5% - - - -
131 RIPA Joseph K. 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.