October NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 30, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
2 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
3 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
5 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
6 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
7 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
8 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
9 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
10 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
11 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
12 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
12 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
14 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
15 LEE Lukas 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
16 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
17 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
18 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
19 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
20 PARK Jason B. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
21 WOO Christian 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
21 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
23 PO Oliver 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
24 LEWIS Akhil 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
24 LIN James G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
26 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
27 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
28 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
29 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
30 GUO Justin 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
31 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
32 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 96% 78% 35% 6%
33 KANG Anthony 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
33 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
35 MA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
36 PARK Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
37 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
38 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
39 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
40 MIN Eric 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
41 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
42 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 4%
43 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
44 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
45 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
46 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 2%
46 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 1%
46 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
49 HUANG Eythan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
50 ORR Spencer 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 8%
51 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% -
52 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
53 CO Dylan 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
54 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 1%
55 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
56 MA Bryant 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
57 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
58 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
59 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 9%
60 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
61 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11% 1%
62 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
63 PARK Sky 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
64 WANG Ethan 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 11% 1%
65 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4% -
66 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 97% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
67 KIM Aiden 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
68 OH Jaden 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
69 LLIDO Soren 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
70 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
71 ZHANG Jiening G. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
72 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
73 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
74 MAO Lucas 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
75 ZHENG zhe 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
76 GUTH Joseph 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
77 TANG Alexander L. 100% 98% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
77 LEE Jonah 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
77 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
80 SENIC Lucas 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
81 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
82 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
83 WANG Brayden 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
84 NGUYEN martin 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
85 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
86 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
87 SHEN Owen 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
88 LI Aaron 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% 1%
89 TALASILA Arush 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
90 QUINTERO Julian 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
91 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
92 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2% -
93 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
93 LI Samuel 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
93 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
96 HAN Derek 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
97 MATSAKH Philip 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
98 SHENG Dalton 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
99 TANG August L. 100% 98% 82% 48% 18% 3% -
100 LING Eddie 100% 99% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
101 PAN Henry 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
102 TANG Albert 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
103 PONS Diego 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
103 EDISON Ansel 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
105 PARK Sangmin 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
106 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
107 LAM Nicolas 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
108 MOE Annan 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
109 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 96% 56% 16% 2% - -
110 LEE Brendan 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
111 PETERSON Matthew 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
112 WU Lucas 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1% -
112 KUANG Aaron 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
114 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 97% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
115 LAI Twayne 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
116 RIECK Brennan 100% 92% 65% 30% 9% 1% -
117 ZENG Rick 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
118 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 19% 1% - - - -
119 LI Matthew 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
120 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
121 ZHAO Adam 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
122 HUTH Trevor 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
123 ZOU Yuming 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
124 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
125 HUANG Zijian 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
126 KUE Temujin 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
126 JIANG Yehong 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
128 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
129 HE Tyler 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
130 CROOM Tucker 100% 34% 5% - - - -
131 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.