June NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, June 4, 2021 at 9:45 AM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
2 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
3 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
5 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
6 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
7 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 10%
8 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
9 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
10 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
11 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
12 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
13 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
14 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
15 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
16 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
17 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
18 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
19 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
20 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
21 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
22 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
23 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
24 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 13%
25 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
26 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 13%
27 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
28 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
29 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
30 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
31 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
32 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
33 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
34 BAS Liam 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
34 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
36 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
37 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
38 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
39 XIAO EDWARD 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
40 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
41 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
42 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
43 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
44 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
45 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
46 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
47 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
48 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
49 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
50 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
51 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
52 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
53 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
54 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
55 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
55 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
55 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
58 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
59 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
60 BAE Kevin 100% 98% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
61 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
62 SHA Yi Peng 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
63 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
64 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
65 YANG Luao 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
66 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
67 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
68 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
69 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
70 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
71 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% -
72 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
73 KIM Yonjae 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
74 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 99% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
75 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
76 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 21% 3%
77 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
78 MA Alexander 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
79 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 95% 65% 25% 4% -
80 LIN Dashiell 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
81 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
82 HERGERT Benito 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
83 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
84 YANG Adam 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
85 LEE Chaemin D. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
86 BING Charles 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
87 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
88 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
89 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
90 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 7% -
91 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
92 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
93 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
94 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
95 MURRAY Maximo 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
96 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 91% 57% 16% 2% - -
97 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15% 1%
98 GROSS Roy 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
99 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
100 AHN Jun 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
101 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
102 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
103 LEE Aidan 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1%
104 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
105 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 93% 62% 18% 1%
106 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 4%
107 FLANAGAN James 100% 98% 83% 39% 7% -
108 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% 1%
109 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
110 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
111 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
112 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
113 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% -
114 WU Alexander 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
115 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
116 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
117 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
118 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
119 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 99% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
120 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
121 BALL James T. 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
121 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 17% 2%
123 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
124 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
125 LIU Eric Y. 100% 75% 24% 3% - -
126 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
127 WU Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
128 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 89% 29% 4% - - -
129 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 93% 63% 25% 6% 1% -
130 LE Vyn A. 100% 79% 34% 8% 1% - -
131 LEE Chris 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
132 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 59% 14% 2% - - -
133 EVGENEV Mark 100% 98% 79% 39% 8% 1%
134 NAGER Noah 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
135 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 55% 12% 1% - -
136 HODESS Ethan 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
137 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
138 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 97% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
139 STRAYER Andrew 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
140 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
140 KEE Andrew L. 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
142 UPTON Craig 100% 85% 42% 9% 1% - -
143 BERK Theodore 100% 83% 33% 6% 1% - -
144 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
145 WOO Christian 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
146 WANG Andrew 100% 85% 48% 17% 3% - -
146 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
148 ZHAO Jesse 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
149 ROSS III Paul D. 100% 64% 20% 2% - - -
150 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 75% 26% 5% - - -
151 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% - -
151 GAUTAM Vishnu 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
153 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
154 GONG Benjamin 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
155 HSIUNG Richie 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
156 OH SEAN 100% 95% 63% 25% 5% - -
156 LEE Jacob 100% 75% 26% 4% - - -
158 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
159 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
159 ZHENG zhe 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
161 WERWA Griffith 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
162 DRESSEL Jet 100% 19% 1% - - - -
163 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 41% 6% - - - -
163 RAINS Jackson T. 100% 5% - - - - -
165 FINLEY Dylan 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
166 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 35% 5% - - - -
166 LEE Lukas 100% 35% 5% - - - -
168 LI Avery Peihong 100% 59% 14% 2% - - -
169 PAN Henry 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.