USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Men's Foil

Tuesday, July 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Brandon H. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
2 WINTERBERG-POULSEN Jonas - 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
3 MATHIEU Adam - - 1% 11% 47% 42%
3 KUMBLA Samarth - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
5 CHEN Allen - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
6 PAIK Joon K. - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
7 SERVELLO Augusto - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
8 DICKSON Farr R. - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
9 HUTH Jacob 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
10 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
11 CHEN Andrew - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
12 HO Jia Le Sean 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
13 UM Ethan A. - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
14 BANERJEE Anup 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
15 CHEN Ziyuan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
16 CULLIVAN Justice 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
17 LOUIE Bryce - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
18 KAO Castor T. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
19 LEE Jacob J 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1%
20 KELLY William J. - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
21 ZHANG Andy W. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
22 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
23 LEWIS Paul D. 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
24 KIM Nicholas W. - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
25 LI Owen 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
26 MACHOVEC Andrew C. - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
27 XIAO Ethan J. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
28 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
29 KIM Yonjae 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
30 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
31 KASI Sanjay - 4% 18% 34% 32% 12%
32 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - 3% 21% 48% 24% 3%
33 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
34 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
35 SEZER Kaya 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
36 HOOSHI Jayden C. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
37 LYU Victor 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
38 KO Brian J. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
39 GRAHAM Roy J. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
40 BOROWIAK Arwen - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
41 HOLMES Stuart S. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
42 SONG Aiden S. 1% 10% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
43 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
44 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
45 LIU Niles J. - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
46 VAZQUEZ Zander 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
47 GODZHIK Zachary 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
48 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
49 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
50 JANG Jaewon - 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 9%
51 SINGH Dayaal - 3% 15% 32% 34% 14% 2%
51 GLASSON Joseph 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 1%
53 DAI Jonathan T. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
54 DESERANNO Jeidus - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
55 STANLEY Mason B. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
56 SCHENCK Koen M. 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
57 BING Charles 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
58 MURUHIN Yaroslav 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
59 WONG Garrick G. 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
60 LI Richard - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
61 KIM Brandon J. 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
62 IVERSON Shane D. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
63 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
64 XIAO Enoch A. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
65 BAS Liam 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
66 HUTH Mitchell - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
67 BRUK Peter J. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
68 LIU Patrick - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
69 LI Eric 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
70 CHEN James P. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
70 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
72 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
73 LAURICELLA Douglas 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
74 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
75 WELCH Kyle J. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
75 LUTAR Lucas N. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
77 SONG Leonardo T. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
78 DORAN Wesley C. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
79 LEE Aidan 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
80 LI Raphael C. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 10% 2%
81 LEE Jacob 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
82 LO Conrad - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
83 MITCHELL Philip D. 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
84 SHIN Philip D. 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
85 KAISER Hans Z. 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
86 YU Vinni - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
87 HOWARD Michael 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
88 BUERGIN Aidan 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
89 DIERKS Kian 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
90 LEE Chris 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
92 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
93 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
94 ARIZA Isaac A. 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
95 RUSADZE Nickolas 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
96 CHIN Julian S. 15% 43% 33% 8% 1% -
97 BURKE Spencer W. 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
98 YI Stephen K. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
99 ZHENG Alan H. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
100 KWON Ethan - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
101 OURSLER Jack 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
102 YANG Luao 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
103 GOOR Julian 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
104 LIN Dashiell 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
105 ZHANG Henry C. 5% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2%
106 CHENG Matthew S. 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
106 JEON Caleb A. 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
108 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
109 HSIUNG Richie 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
110 FUKUDA Alessio R. 3% 17% 33% 29% 14% 3% -
111 WU Nicholas 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
112 ZHAI Jeffrey 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
113 KLOSTERMANN Max 7% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
114 FOGELSON Frederick J. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
115 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 9%
115 GIRALDO Pablo E. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
115 MICKELSON Jacob P. 22% 38% 27% 10% 2% - -
118 JAIN Aditya 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
119 SHA Yi Peng 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
120 JIANG Owen 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
120 LU Yikai 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
122 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 2% -
123 ZENG Lucas H. 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
124 LINDNER Ruben - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
125 DANKAR Neel 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
126 CHENG Nathan 37% 45% 17% 2% - -
127 AHN Jun 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
128 YU Eric W. - 4% 17% 37% 33% 10%
129 DAVIS Christopher M. 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
130 ZHAO Jason L. 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2%
131 GAO William 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
132 WU Alexander 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
133 CHUNG Andrew N. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
134 AYUPOV Ilya 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
135 PELOSKY Zack B. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
136 LIN Richard W. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
137 BAE Kevin 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
138 MION Lorenzo 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
139 SUNG Chang-Han S. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
140 MURRAY Maximo 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
141 REALS Alden D. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
142 DU Samuel R. 9% 35% 41% 14% 2% -
143 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
144 DOCTOR Aidan L. 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
145 ZHANG Yun Isaac 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
145 SICHITIU Alexander 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
145 DEGROOT Blake 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
148 LI Jiaan 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
148 OH SEAN 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
150 CANO Marcos E. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
150 MORAIS Paulo < 1% 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
152 STRAYER Andrew 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
153 HEITZ Noah 46% 39% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.